Realized P&L (90d)
-$437
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
98.2%
Resolved (90d)
6,207
Trades (90d)
10,808
25,050 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$154.8K
$305.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 02:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 305 days
Categories
Other
77% 98% +$638
Crypto
15% 97% -$477
Politics
7% 95% +$167
Pop-Culture
1% 95% -$135
Sports
1% 92% +$18
Tech
0% 82% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 676 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -715 -$700 98¢ $-702 -$2 11-02 02:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +182 $130 68¢ $123 -$7 11-05 16:49
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 song this week? Yes +123 $120 99¢ $121 +$1 11-04 20:40
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week? Yes +123 $120 97¢ $120 $0 11-04 20:32
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-24 00:00
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-25 06:56
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-24 00:00
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-26 16:42
Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 02:01
Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 00:01
Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 22:01
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 12:01
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 11-05 18:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 7? Yes +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 11-05 17:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 7? Yes +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 11-05 17:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 7? Yes +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 11-05 15:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 7? Yes +20 $20 98¢ $20 $0 11-05 15:43
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 97¢ $19 $0 11-05 17:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 7? Yes +20 $20 97¢ $19 $0 11-05 15:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 7? Yes +20 $20 96¢ $19 -$1 11-05 15:05
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +20 $19 96¢ $19 $0 11-04 17:48
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 96¢ $19 -$1 11-05 07:02
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 $0 11-04 18:57
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? No +20 $20 94¢ $19 -$1 11-05 18:43
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat? No +20 $20 94¢ $19 -$1 11-01 22:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 93¢ $19 -$1 10-24 00:00
Will the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat? Yes +20 $20 93¢ $19 -$1 11-01 18:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 7? Yes +20 $20 86¢ $17 -$2 11-05 14:11
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 11-06 02:01
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? No +15 $15 88¢ $13 -$1 11-02 02:01