Realized P&L
+$292
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
13,102
Trades
26,802
lifetime
Volume
$324.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 313 days
Categories
Other
77% 98% +$704
Crypto
15% 97% -$473
Politics
7% 95% +$167
Pop-Culture
1% 95% -$126
Sports
1% 92% +$18
Tech
0% 82% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 676 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -715 -$700 98¢ $-703 -$3 11-02 02:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +282 $199 66¢ $185 -$14 11-12 09:00
will there be 5 earthquakes of 6pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25 copy copy copy copy No +51 $49 96¢ $49 -$1 11-14 03:40
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25 copy copy copy copy No +51 $50 96¢ $49 -$1 11-14 03:40
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +45 $45 99¢ $45 +$0 11-14 02:32
spy closes above 735 on november 16 2026 Yes +43 $42 97¢ $42 -$1 11-13 14:55
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$1 11-14 05:10
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +30 $29 98¢ $29 $0 11-13 20:52
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +30 $28 94¢ $28 $0 11-14 01:16
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +30 $29 92¢ $28 -$1 11-13 21:33
spy closes above 780 on november 16 2026 No +25 $25 99¢ $25 +$0 11-13 14:35
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +30 $28 78¢ $24 -$5 11-14 05:00
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +24 $22 92¢ $22 +$0 11-14 07:00
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 18:43
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 04:01
Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 14:00
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 09:29
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 17:07
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 16:20
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% or more in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 10:51
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-07 06:00
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 10:52
Will Péricles Tavares win the Cape Verde presidential election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-07 14:02
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-26 16:42
Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-07 10:02
Will Mongolia win Eurovision Asia 2026? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-08 12:00
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 20:00
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 06:24
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-24 00:00
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 10:51