Realized P&L
+$287
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
13,061
Trades
26,693
lifetime
Volume
$323.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 14:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 311 days
Categories
Other
77% 98% +$700
Crypto
15% 97% -$474
Politics
7% 95% +$167
Pop-Culture
1% 95% -$126
Sports
1% 92% +$18
Tech
0% 82% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 676 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -715 -$700 98¢ $-703 -$3 11-02 02:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +282 $199 66¢ $185 -$14 11-12 09:00
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 11-06 17:13
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 17:08
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 18:43
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 12:01
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 09:29
Will the National Party win 50 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 16:51
Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 14:00
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 04:01
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 10:51
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 16:20
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% or more in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 10:51
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.2% or less in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 10:52
Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 00:01
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-26 16:42
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-07 06:00
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-10 06:24
Will the Labour Party win 55 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 18:06
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-24 00:00
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 10-24 00:00
Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 02:01
Will Cambodia win Eurovision Asia 2026? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-12 10:00
Will Joe Bartolozzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 22:00
Will the Labour Party win 50-54 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 12:02
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-07 06:00
Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-05 22:01
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 22:00
Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-07 10:02
Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 20:28