Realized P&L
+$297
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
13,135
Trades
26,913
lifetime
Volume
$326.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$2.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 12:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 313 days
Categories
Other
77% 98% +$709
Crypto
15% 97% -$473
Politics
7% 95% +$167
Pop-Culture
1% 95% -$126
Sports
1% 92% +$18
Tech
0% 82% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 676 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -715 -$700 98¢ $-703 -$4 11-02 02:30
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +282 $199 66¢ $185 -$14 11-12 09:00
Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? No +152 $150 99¢ $151 +$1 11-15 13:19
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? No +159 $150 84¢ $134 -$16 11-15 12:19
Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m? No +122 $120 99¢ $120 +$0 11-15 13:16
Will "The Cat in the Hat" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? No +93 $90 99¢ $93 +$3 11-15 11:04
Will "The Cat in the Hat" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? No +94 $90 96¢ $90 $0 11-15 11:01
Will "The Cat in the Hat" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? No +92 $90 94¢ $87 -$3 11-15 11:01
Will "Ghost Soldier" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m? No +62 $60 99¢ $61 +$1 11-14 21:47
Will "Ghost Soldier" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m? No +61 $60 100¢ $61 +$1 11-14 17:03
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25 copy copy copy copy No +51 $50 96¢ $49 -$1 11-14 03:40
will there be 5 earthquakes of 6pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25 copy copy copy copy No +51 $49 96¢ $49 -$1 11-14 03:40
Will "Ghost Soldier" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +45 $45 99¢ $45 +$0 11-14 02:32
spy closes above 735 on november 16 2026 Yes +43 $42 97¢ $42 -$1 11-13 14:55
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? No +35 $35 99¢ $35 +$0 11-15 07:47
Will "Ghost Soldier" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m? No +31 $30 100¢ $31 +$1 11-14 15:16
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? No +32 $30 94¢ $30 +$0 11-15 11:10
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +30 $29 100¢ $30 +$1 11-14 05:10
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +30 $29 99¢ $30 +$0 11-13 20:52
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 11m? No +30 $30 98¢ $30 $0 11-14 15:35
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +30 $28 99¢ $30 +$1 11-14 01:16
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$1 11-13 21:33
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$2 11-14 09:00
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +30 $29 94¢ $28 -$1 11-15 08:25
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +30 $28 93¢ $28 $0 11-14 05:00
spy closes above 780 on november 16 2026 No +25 $25 99¢ $25 +$0 11-13 14:35
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 17:07
Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-06 14:00
Will Janine Lélis win the Cape Verde presidential election? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-07 10:02
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 11-07 06:00