Loud-Barley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

4,883

Trades

40,247

lifetime

Volume

$5.15M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

$124

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-27 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5,122

Crypto

3% 94% +$34

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 604 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes		+100	$96	97¢	$97	+$1	10-04 05:33
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No		+27	$27	100¢	$27	+$0	10-15 17:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	42	$36.9K	36,915	0	+36,915	No	+$53	09-17 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 31?	18	$34.2K	34,321	0	+34,321	No	+$73	09-01 01:19
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 7?	21	$28.0K	28,075	0	+28,075	No	+$95	09-07 10:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 5?	27	$26.1K	26,100	0	+26,100	Yes	+$26	10-05 15:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2?	51	$24.5K	24,500	0	+24,500	Yes	+$25	10-02 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 25?	32	$23.8K	23,814	0	+23,814	Yes	+$34	08-26 01:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4?	19	$21.3K	21,300	0	+21,300	Yes	+$21	10-04 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?	24	$20.3K	20,390	0	+20,390	No	+$88	07-01 05:46
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	4	$20.1K	20,412	0	+20,412	England	+$302	07-18 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 24?	34	$19.4K	19,442	0	+19,442	No	+$19	09-24 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 24?	10	$16.8K	16,812	0	+16,812	No	+$18	08-25 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 26?	13	$16.8K	16,793	0	+16,793	Yes	+$17	08-26 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	64	$16.2K	16,221	0	+16,221	No	+$16	08-11 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?	8	$14.9K	14,900	0	+14,900	No	+$26	08-26 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18?	28	$14.5K	10,093	4,406	+5,687	No	+$12	10-25 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 24?	11	$14.1K	14,152	0	+14,152	Yes	+$14	08-25 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 9?	14	$14.1K	14,081	0	+14,081	No	+$14	09-10 05:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 13?	30	$13.7K	13,731	0	+13,731	No	-$8	10-14 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 31?	39	$13.7K	13,700	0	+13,700	No	+$14	08-31 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 14?	32	$13.4K	13,392	0	+13,392	Yes	+$19	09-15 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 26?	29	$13.4K	13,384	0	+13,384	No	+$13	10-26 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 14?	31	$13.0K	13,048	0	+13,048	No	+$24	09-15 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	43	$13.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$13	09-04 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 17?	36	$12.8K	12,860	0	+12,860	No	+$13	10-17 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 2?	35	$12.5K	12,418	100	+12,318	No	+$35	09-03 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?	54	$12.1K	12,085	0	+12,085	No	+$12	09-10 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 22?	14	$11.5K	11,553	0	+11,553	Yes	+$12	08-23 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10?	3	$11.4K	11,490	0	+11,490	No	+$114	10-10 01:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 31?	22	$10.9K	10,898	0	+10,898	Yes	+$12	08-31 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 23?	2	$10.0K	10,033	0	+10,033	No	+$10	08-24 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x4b9af7…
10-27 08:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$301	0xb13be7…
10-27 08:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29f450…
10-27 07:53:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf10808…
10-27 07:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xde4fcc…
10-27 07:34:05	Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x638ecc…
10-27 07:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc65a5f…
10-27 07:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7550eb…
10-27 07:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xafb6eb…
10-27 06:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1eaaab…
10-27 06:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x48875e…
10-27 06:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf3a56b…
10-27 06:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa224b4…
10-27 06:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8d3b5d…
10-27 06:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3ca31f…
10-27 05:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06bf42…
10-27 05:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x2b9c84…
10-27 05:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0f380e…
10-27 05:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f9336…
10-27 05:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x489e1d…
10-27 05:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x177bc0…
10-27 05:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbb3db2…
10-27 05:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x7ec381…
10-27 05:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa1c006…
10-27 05:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa3dad8…
10-27 05:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x0c46ca…
10-27 05:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x410509…
10-27 05:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91ef1a…
10-27 05:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe106c5…
10-27 05:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xba826d…
10-27 05:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x29fa27…
10-27 05:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x84ce39…
10-27 05:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x800e9f…
10-27 05:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf65af2…
10-27 05:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x98ac2d…
10-27 05:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xed6e65…
10-27 05:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x67447f…
10-27 05:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf8e84…
10-27 05:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x67ed14…
10-27 05:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23e68c…
10-27 05:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0fb1b…
10-27 05:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa3e5d2…
10-27 05:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa72a46…
10-27 05:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x032142…
10-27 05:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x6acc7f…
10-27 05:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x5ec172…
10-27 05:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x06dc33…
10-27 05:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d39a7…
10-27 05:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f8c3c…
10-27 05:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x13ed66…
10-27 05:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55a40b…
10-27 05:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8305fb…
10-27 05:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xa61f74…
10-27 05:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ae0af…
10-27 05:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0ba140…
10-27 05:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf8e7ac…
10-27 05:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c88b1…
10-27 05:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xd51cf0…
10-27 05:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcfb455…
10-27 05:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x600776…
10-27 05:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2eeea4…
10-27 05:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1c75fc…
10-27 05:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xbafc54…
10-27 05:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9033cb…
10-27 05:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	713	100¢	$712	0x6237e0…
10-27 05:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3,872	100¢	$3,868	0x2c9d74…
10-27 05:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$114	0x01d310…
10-27 05:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xd10cd5…
10-27 05:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a1ff3…
10-27 05:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebd652…
10-27 04:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8be8c…
10-27 04:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b73ce…
10-27 04:52:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x8d6c76…
10-27 04:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9616cb…
10-27 04:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x5b420c…
10-27 04:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x3524bd…
10-27 04:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x91509d…
10-27 04:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x1276f4…
10-27 04:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x4d4583…
10-27 04:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x39d5fb…
10-27 04:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x78017d…
10-27 04:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x7e5619…
10-27 04:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf19a34…
10-27 04:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe42485…
10-27 04:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xadd9d1…
10-27 04:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3bac1c…
10-27 04:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x7af53c…
10-27 04:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	499	100¢	$499	0x77d411…
10-27 03:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8e7482…
10-27 03:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x0e1466…
10-27 03:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8de218…
10-27 03:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xc1ddda…
10-27 03:43:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 26?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xde96d6…
10-27 03:42:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xe64b73…
10-27 03:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x796844…
10-27 03:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x05db28…
10-27 03:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x8899cb…
10-27 03:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x26c417…
10-27 03:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	681	100¢	$680	0xda22a4…
10-27 03:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x353d8a…