Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$281

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

31.2%

Resolved

599

Trades

1,645

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$59

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-30 03:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

75% 19% -$152

Politics

15% 16% -$74

Tech

5% 19% -$25

Crypto

3% 26% -$21

Sports

1% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

1% 22% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+26	$25	94¢	$25	$0	10-30 03:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-20	-$13	86¢	$-17	-$4	05-10 01:14
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+18	$17	97¢	$17	$0	10-30 03:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wayne rooney attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630265	8	$198	200	200	+0	No	-$1	08-10 01:26
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	10	$197	205	205	+0	Yes	-$1	08-10 01:27
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	15	$196	200	200	+0	No	$0	08-09 07:41
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	6	$192	110	110	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 11:53
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	8	$192	200	150	+50	No	-$1	09-04 19:56
will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	5	$188	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-08 01:24
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	7	$188	150	150	+0	Yes	+$3	08-01 13:36
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?	12	$173	139	139	+0	No	$0	08-30 09:45
next mythos class model released by october 31 2026 374 866	8	$172	140	140	+0	Yes	-$1	09-01 11:23
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	10	$116	100	100	+0	No	-$2	07-28 10:34
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	10	$116	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	09-20 11:06
will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	8	$115	86	86	+0	No	$0	07-30 08:22
will mohammed bin salman attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630264	8	$105	200	200	+0	No	-$2	08-08 10:27
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	10	$104	140	140	+0	Yes	+$2	07-31 16:11
will there be houthi military action against israel by september 30 2026	7	$101	150	150	+0	No	$0	09-21 03:27
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	9	$101	170	170	+0	No	-$2	08-09 00:41
will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	4	$100	100	100	+0	No	$0	08-06 10:34
will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	6	$99	101	101	+0	Yes	+$0	08-06 11:14
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by december 31 2026 20260715004553752	5	$99	150	100	+50	Yes	-$2	07-28 13:14
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	5	$98	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-10 01:26
will mitch mcconnell vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821977	3	$98	100	50	+50	No	+$0	08-08 09:33
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	5	$98	100	100	+0	No	$0	09-21 23:18
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	09-02 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?	7	$97	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 12:21
will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	3	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-23 02:19
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	4	$97	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	07-25 15:15
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?	4	$97	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	09-06 05:55
will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-23 08:00
will spy dip to 690 in june 2026	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-22 15:46
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?	7	$97	150	150	+0	No	-$3	08-31 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:19:25	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xef0700…
10-30 03:18:55	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd9fa60…
10-09 04:15:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x1a5e84…
10-09 04:15:03	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x856147…
10-05 17:21:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x27e648…
10-05 14:05:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb81210…
10-05 13:28:44	will coin reach 187 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x0c17b2…
10-05 11:42:17	will ewy reach 190 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4db335…
10-05 11:27:38	will xagusd reach 62 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x308a55…
10-05 11:04:14	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7466c3…
10-05 11:04:05	Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xac232d…
10-05 10:26:23	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbb1a4f…
10-05 10:06:35	Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaf768a…
10-05 10:06:22	Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4f6884…
10-05 10:04:01	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xd4f7c7…
10-05 08:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x43b928…
10-05 08:26:10	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc84dbf…
10-05 08:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5529cb…
10-05 07:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x5ed6e9…
10-05 06:56:02	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x640268…
10-05 06:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe2b6e7…
10-05 05:56:31	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xd8c3c6…
10-05 05:24:13	will pltr reach 189 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb599f7…
10-05 05:05:58	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x99b317…
10-05 02:28:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x690c0c…
10-05 02:06:28	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x80bbad…
10-04 05:17:22	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x3a4523…
10-04 05:17:14	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x44061d…
10-04 05:16:25	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xe17c1b…
10-04 04:59:47	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7046ed…
10-04 04:48:25	Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x688e45…
10-04 04:07:13	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xc9aeeb…
10-04 04:03:56	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa3dda6…
10-04 04:03:55	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x5c8e94…
10-04 03:47:40	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xbd75f4…
10-04 03:42:01	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x3f9193…
10-04 03:40:43	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5141bd…
10-04 03:38:43	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3c3adf…
10-04 03:08:31	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x872cdb…
10-04 01:56:53	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe5486f…
10-04 01:47:56	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xf0ee79…
10-04 01:47:50	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x1d4c80…
10-04 01:42:50	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe2b4e3…
10-04 01:11:47	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xd0bcba…
10-02 14:16:27	Will "Patient Zero" hit 100m first week streams?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x258785…
10-02 12:21:20	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x930812…
10-01 20:10:38	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbc1fcb…
10-01 20:10:38	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x3f7581…
09-30 08:54:17	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x96ff84…
09-29 04:16:44	will abnb dip to 128 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x34fe3b…
09-28 13:35:08	will abnb dip to 128 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xde5e45…
09-28 13:35:06	will abnb dip to 128 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf1b8cb…
09-28 08:25:17	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 700k	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8bba5a…
09-28 08:25:09	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x66d9b9…
09-28 05:33:48	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 700k	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x65e2e4…
09-28 05:33:14	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3e124e…
09-28 03:42:29	will the announcers say safety during the rams vs broncos game 20260928	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x6babf9…
09-28 01:46:33	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xc8d5cb…
09-28 01:34:53	will patient zero hit 90m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x328317…
09-28 01:34:42	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa4ca62…
09-28 00:35:11	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x071fb4…
09-28 00:27:53	will patient zero hit 90m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa3cfd0…
09-28 00:26:45	will patient zero hit 80m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xd159cf…
09-28 00:26:27	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa07c8a…
09-27 18:12:29	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x417372…
09-27 18:06:51	will patient zero hit 90m first week streams	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x697f62…
09-27 14:29:36	will patient zero hit 80m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x34f956…
09-27 11:05:24	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd55fab…
09-27 05:12:41	US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x67def0…
09-27 03:28:24	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	No	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xc74eb9…
09-27 03:26:56	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x5ffd42…
09-27 03:26:54	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	No	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xbddb03…
09-27 03:01:51	Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 10?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x402deb…
09-27 03:01:35	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x526175…
09-27 03:01:23	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x22cca1…
09-26 22:43:27	Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 10?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe5c745…
09-26 15:42:05	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x401a58…
09-26 15:42:02	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x6838d5…
09-26 13:40:20	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x505064…
09-26 13:35:36	will patient zero hit 100m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa59abe…
09-26 11:51:18	Will MrBeast's next video get 70.0 million or more views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa2eb7e…
09-26 11:51:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.5 and 70.0 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcf3dc2…
09-26 10:34:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.5 and 70.0 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x96ec87…
09-26 09:14:05	Will MrBeast's next video get 70.0 million or more views in week 1?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5840a2…
09-26 09:14:03	Will MrBeast's next video get 70.0 million or more views in week 1?	No	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x8ef8d9…
09-26 08:17:33	will the next grok model 4pt7 debut at a score of at least 1470 by june 30 2027 copy	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xb1a037…
09-26 08:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xb36526…
09-26 07:41:32	will the next grok model 4pt7 debut at a score of at least 1470 by june 30 2027 copy	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1253be…
09-26 07:09:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xef609c…
09-26 06:58:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd113ae…
09-26 06:55:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x18e1e1…
09-26 05:57:08	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf93c89…
09-26 05:53:59	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfbd64a…
09-26 03:57:54	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xae4996…
09-26 03:46:51	will the next gpt sol model 5pt7 debut at a score of at least 1480 by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x04b677…
09-25 00:26:05	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x6f86d2…
09-25 00:23:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd76536…
09-24 23:11:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc98040…
09-24 21:01:06	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x7b6216…
09-24 20:58:47	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x7d2eb7…