Avaricious-Salt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$483

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 08-05 09:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

49% 80% $-0

Politics

38% 57% $-3

Sports

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-11 14:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	06-14 21:55
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Metropolitan Division?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 09:42
Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 08:36
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 08:36
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 10:20
Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 08:36
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 08:36
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 07:39
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-28 08:52
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-28 08:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 07:08
Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 07:24
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 08:56
Military action against Iran ends by April 10, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-10 08:56
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-23 08:18
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-18 10:00
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 10:01
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 07:24
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 07:24
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-16 14:40
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-18 09:59
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 18:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 07:24
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 08:55
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-12 17:09
will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 08:56
will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 08:55
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	3	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 16:05
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 09:40:08	ukraine agrees not to join nato by august 31 20260619004335094	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x98a9c2…
08-05 09:38:03	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc84c37…
08-04 08:03:47	Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf9e690…
08-04 08:03:30	Haiti elections delayed again?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeb21a7…
08-04 07:57:33	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x871faa…
08-04 07:56:20	Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd22dce…
08-04 07:56:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x52ae2b…
08-04 07:55:47	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by december 31	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x555799…
07-22 09:13:36	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc6f19d…
07-22 09:13:36	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x342951…
07-03 09:35:13	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b0264…
07-03 09:35:13	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8cb8f9…
07-03 09:32:46	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x131376…
07-01 13:57:22	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd5bd0d…
06-25 09:30:55	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xca257e…
06-19 20:48:29	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x812c69…
06-18 13:39:52	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1db9cc…
06-17 08:55:59	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x8cec82…
06-16 12:12:04	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x742868…
06-16 12:11:52	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8eff37…
06-16 12:11:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x673ac3…
06-15 13:39:10	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x861b39…
06-14 21:55:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x305e31…
06-14 21:55:48	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x4d09d4…
06-14 21:55:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x26280e…
06-13 11:26:57	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x9d62ff…
06-13 11:26:33	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7bca9c…
06-13 11:26:33	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x629b2f…
06-13 11:26:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8a6546…
06-13 11:24:54	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x18d233…
06-13 11:22:48	Another Canada election called by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x740afb…
06-13 11:21:37	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x0d6790…
06-06 13:23:16	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3fbfc4…
06-06 13:22:54	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6c380d…
06-03 12:06:35	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf6af32…
06-01 07:45:36	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf4c655…
06-01 07:45:20	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8347f7…
06-01 07:44:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xb53c3d…
06-01 07:44:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x137a6f…
06-01 07:44:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcf503b…
06-01 07:24:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf44a49…
06-01 07:24:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe5f9f7…
06-01 07:24:22	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xafe733…
06-01 07:24:15	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x249199…
05-28 08:58:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3db33c…
05-28 08:57:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8d59e8…
05-28 08:57:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xba7cc9…
05-28 08:56:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xa74b63…
05-28 08:53:47	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x88c231…
05-28 08:52:37	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb44243…
05-28 08:52:33	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcdc954…
05-19 14:36:07	Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xaac743…
05-19 14:35:53	Will Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x546ddd…
05-13 08:37:50	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x27afdd…
05-13 08:36:13	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xf3d6ef…
05-08 07:43:01	Will a hurricane form by May 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcff3a0…
05-08 07:42:20	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x4e809e…
05-05 07:39:26	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x993d7c…
05-01 16:40:08	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8bb788…
04-30 08:57:08	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x508068…
04-30 08:56:44	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb60074…
04-30 08:56:08	Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x950c18…
04-30 08:36:50	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x65d639…
04-30 08:36:44	Will Oman strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x825d65…
04-30 08:36:32	Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd7798d…
04-30 08:36:24	Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0a9923…
04-27 16:22:30	Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x39b3c8…
04-27 09:56:24	Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x81d80a…
04-27 07:10:16	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xe931c6…
04-27 07:10:16	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbbe714…
04-27 07:10:16	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x82c8c8…
04-27 07:10:16	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x795bb8…
04-27 07:10:16	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3b92a9…
04-27 07:10:16	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x08bc07…
04-27 07:10:16	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x06456e…
04-27 07:10:00	Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x56a058…
04-27 07:10:00	Will Sheila Korth-Focken win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x20551c…
04-27 07:08:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8e29b6…
04-23 08:18:16	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2515c6…
04-23 08:16:20	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x9900c0…
04-22 13:34:06	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3db4e3…
04-22 13:27:04	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x26113c…
04-22 13:26:48	Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb978e7…
04-22 13:26:26	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x275868…
04-22 13:26:12	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x756f08…
04-19 13:36:02	Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x998af3…
04-19 13:35:10	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x390051…
04-19 13:34:44	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1b4d27…
04-19 13:34:10	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x100138…
04-18 10:06:12	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x59d43d…
04-18 10:06:12	will morality unity honour mech win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1f29b8…
04-18 10:06:00	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x24d739…
04-18 10:05:44	Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcb0651…
04-18 10:05:30	Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3a632a…
04-18 10:05:04	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xfa2d7b…
04-18 10:04:48	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb02457…
04-18 10:04:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7f9041…
04-18 10:02:02	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x38396e…
04-18 10:01:12	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeaaa77…
04-18 10:00:38	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x120931…