U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
open
Total volume
$36,569
$1 in 24h
Trades
1,268
Unique wallets
677
Liquidity
$1,702
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-10 15:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+91.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $87
vs crowd: 9% YES on $19.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $31 | $852 | $821 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $89 | $33 | +$56 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $10 | $2.7K | $2.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 642 | $1.6K | $13.8K | $12.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $87 | — | +$87 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $9 | $27 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $1 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Median | 94 | $23 | $2.7K | $2.6K |
| Below median | 38 | $10 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $156 | $13 | +$143 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $31 | $67 | $35 |
| unranked | 516 | $1.4K | $11.5K | $10.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | +1,106 | $989 | $989 | 8 | 08-07 15:25 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +966 | $83 | $92 | 10 | 08-01 13:01 |
| Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | +605 | $67 | $67 | 3 | 06-15 18:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +459 | $422 | $422 | 1 | 07-27 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | +222 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 07-26 23:59 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +84 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 08-10 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +67 | $3 | $3 | 15 | 08-10 15:44 |
| Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 4 | 07-12 23:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb0d…624f | Yes | +43 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-16 23:55 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-10 15:57 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +35 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-15 10:28 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +33 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-15 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8263…7ed2 | Yes | +28 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-18 03:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x28a3…f9e7 | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4895…3ed6 | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-13 18:06 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 08-10 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x44f6…1f61 | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-16 21:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f54…62b7 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2131…0716 | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-14 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xff30…8a07 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-15 18:16 |
| Unhappy-Sleuth 0x670c…a7df | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-03 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc180…fe6e | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x8feb…0e5b | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xee6c…1c59 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3d…38bc | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 21:10 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdde…eb83 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-17 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1502…d3ab | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x80a2…67cc | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-21 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xbff1…ac85 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-08 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6294…3552 | No | +18 | $16 | $27 | 3 | 06-22 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b19…96e4 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ded…379d | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-23 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb16…2e90 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-22 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x4adc…7ac1 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-19 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1974…99d3 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-16 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c57…a577 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cf9…28ff | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7e2…3612 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-21 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x836a…4dba | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc392…630f | No | +16 | $14 | $24 | 4 | 06-22 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xeab1…c6c1 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-08 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4cd…1021 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-15 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xab49…f2da | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x91d5…4ee5 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x536f…156d | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 12:16 |
| Candid-Subsidence 0xf518…fcf6 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-13 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x69c4…c62d | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-21 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x313a…53ee | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-13 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xee9b…f8fd | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-16 16:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 15:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x125c…ce57 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x19bc64… |
| 08-10 15:44:00 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x19bc64… |
| 08-10 15:43:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x4d0ed8… |
| 08-10 15:43:58 | (anonymous) 0x125c…ce57 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4d0ed8… |
| 08-10 15:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x125c…ce57 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5f4a11… |
| 08-10 15:41:48 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5f4a11… |
| 08-10 15:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5b2… |
| 08-10 15:41:34 | (anonymous) 0x125c…ce57 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe4e5b2… |
| 08-10 15:41:33 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbe1581… |
| 08-10 15:41:33 | (anonymous) 0x125c…ce57 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbe1581… |
| 08-10 15:41:30 | (anonymous) 0x125c…ce57 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8236c8… |
| 08-10 15:41:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x8236c8… |
| 08-10 15:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd477da… |
| 08-10 15:37:27 | (anonymous) 0xe756…3503 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd477da… |
| 08-10 15:37:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x73b7d4… |
| 08-10 15:37:25 | (anonymous) 0x125c…ce57 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x73b7d4… |
| 08-10 15:37:21 | (anonymous) 0x125c…ce57 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7515af… |
| 08-10 15:37:21 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x7515af… |
| 08-10 15:37:21 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 38 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7515af… |
| 08-09 00:22:07 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfc3db2… |
| 08-09 00:22:07 | (anonymous) 0xe756…3503 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xfc3db2… |
| 08-09 00:22:03 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3d97f8… |
| 08-09 00:22:03 | Specific-Pear-Whirlwind 0x7091…96f8 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x3d97f8… |
| 08-07 15:25:34 | (anonymous) 0xe756…3503 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x28ea60… |
| 08-07 15:25:34 | Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | BUY | 40 | 95¢ | $38 | 0x28ea60… |
| 08-07 15:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3f4519… |
| 08-07 15:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3f4519… |
| 08-07 15:25:31 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3f4519… |
| 08-05 08:34:33 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe59d45… |
| 08-05 08:34:33 | Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe59d45… |
| 08-04 14:38:05 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa7ce18… |
| 08-04 14:38:05 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 53 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xa7ce18… |
| 08-04 14:38:05 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $7 | 0xa7ce18… |
| 08-04 14:38:05 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa7ce18… |
| 08-04 14:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xb84939… |
| 08-04 14:12:33 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0xb84939… |
| 08-01 13:01:56 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | SELL | 350 | 93¢ | $325 | 0xa52f14… |
| 08-01 13:01:56 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | SELL | 58 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xa52f14… |
| 08-01 13:01:56 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xa52f14… |
| 08-01 13:01:56 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 287 | 7¢ | $20 | 0xa52f14… |
| 07-29 16:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x6f5292… |
| 07-29 16:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6f5292… |
| 07-27 23:25:19 | Jumpy-Cyclamen 0x9fe7…95c3 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x82491d… |
| 07-27 23:25:19 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x82491d… |
| 07-27 09:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 459 | 92¢ | $422 | 0x3a4e41… |
| 07-27 09:20:40 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 454 | 8¢ | $36 | 0x3a4e41… |
| 07-27 09:20:40 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x3a4e41… |
| 07-26 23:59:40 | (anonymous) 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0xb5206a… |
| 07-26 23:59:40 | Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | BUY | 111 | 91¢ | $101 | 0xb5206a… |
| 07-26 23:56:01 | (anonymous) 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x9f192a… |
| 07-26 23:56:01 | Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | BUY | 111 | 91¢ | $101 | 0x9f192a… |
| 07-25 03:25:06 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…4181 | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x3d2161… |
| 07-25 03:25:06 | (anonymous) 0x41bb…3906 | Yes | SELL | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x3d2161… |
| 07-25 03:24:57 | (anonymous) 0x41bb…3906 | Yes | SELL | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x080e1a… |
| 07-25 03:24:57 | (anonymous) 0x6ea4…e13c | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x080e1a… |
| 07-25 03:24:45 | (anonymous) 0x140a…8e8a | Yes | SELL | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x970957… |
| 07-25 03:24:45 | (anonymous) 0x9b58…37ac | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x970957… |
| 07-25 03:24:37 | (anonymous) 0x140a…8e8a | Yes | SELL | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x796c0d… |
| 07-25 03:24:37 | (anonymous) 0x94ab…cf48 | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x796c0d… |
| 07-25 03:21:39 | (anonymous) 0x3036…2b44 | Yes | SELL | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x3a876a… |
| 07-25 03:21:39 | (anonymous) 0x084f…cba3 | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x3a876a… |
| 07-25 03:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x3036…2b44 | Yes | SELL | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x07c8c7… |
| 07-25 03:21:27 | (anonymous) 0xc676…2ba4 | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x07c8c7… |
| 07-25 03:21:15 | (anonymous) 0x1c4d…26cb | No | SELL | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0xf04feb… |
| 07-25 03:21:15 | (anonymous) 0xa326…95dc | Yes | SELL | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0xf04feb… |
| 07-25 03:21:06 | (anonymous) 0xa326…95dc | Yes | SELL | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x82aba6… |
| 07-25 03:21:06 | (anonymous) 0x46d2…9df1 | No | SELL | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x82aba6… |
| 07-25 02:38:54 | (anonymous) 0x1c4d…26cb | No | BUY | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x74d53f… |
| 07-25 02:38:54 | (anonymous) 0x3036…2b44 | Yes | BUY | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x74d53f… |
| 07-25 02:38:39 | (anonymous) 0x3036…2b44 | Yes | BUY | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x59ef5c… |
| 07-25 02:38:39 | (anonymous) 0x46d2…9df1 | No | BUY | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x59ef5c… |
| 07-25 02:38:10 | (anonymous) 0xa326…95dc | Yes | BUY | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x73cf33… |
| 07-25 02:38:10 | (anonymous) 0xc676…2ba4 | No | BUY | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x73cf33… |
| 07-25 02:37:45 | (anonymous) 0x084f…cba3 | No | BUY | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x5cbd97… |
| 07-25 02:37:45 | (anonymous) 0xa326…95dc | Yes | BUY | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x5cbd97… |
| 07-25 02:35:04 | (anonymous) 0x9b58…37ac | No | BUY | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0x6a6764… |
| 07-25 02:35:04 | (anonymous) 0x41bb…3906 | Yes | BUY | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0x6a6764… |
| 07-25 02:34:51 | (anonymous) 0x41bb…3906 | Yes | BUY | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x8a7571… |
| 07-25 02:34:51 | (anonymous) 0x94ab…cf48 | No | BUY | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x8a7571… |
| 07-25 02:34:36 | (anonymous) 0x140a…8e8a | Yes | BUY | 475 | 9¢ | $43 | 0xd064ba… |
| 07-25 02:34:36 | (anonymous) 0x6ea4…e13c | No | BUY | 475 | 91¢ | $432 | 0xd064ba… |
| 07-25 02:34:16 | (anonymous) 0x97c6…4181 | No | BUY | 465 | 91¢ | $423 | 0x3ad747… |
| 07-25 02:34:16 | (anonymous) 0x140a…8e8a | Yes | BUY | 465 | 9¢ | $42 | 0x3ad747… |
| 07-22 08:07:15 | Embarrassed-Lymphocyte 0xf82a…d221 | No | SELL | 16 | 91¢ | $15 | 0xc82461… |
| 07-22 08:07:15 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc82461… |
| 07-22 08:07:15 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc82461… |
| 07-20 07:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x0d50…d062 | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x95db49… |
| 07-20 07:55:15 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x95db49… |
| 07-20 07:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x11b4…cb17 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x95db49… |
| 07-19 10:56:04 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 300 | 91¢ | $273 | 0xe4e1a6… |
| 07-19 10:56:04 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 300 | 9¢ | $27 | 0xe4e1a6… |
| 07-19 08:04:49 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xb8e5d5… |
| 07-19 08:04:49 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xb8e5d5… |
| 07-18 14:45:00 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xd4cbd4… |
| 07-18 14:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd4cbd4… |
| 07-18 14:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xd4cbd4… |
| 07-18 14:45:00 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 38 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xd4cbd4… |
| 07-18 14:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xcf4a…3c1e | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x412d59… |
| 07-18 14:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x121f…0d65 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x412d59… |
| 07-18 08:56:52 | (anonymous) 0x4daa…9165 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x6b420b… |