U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
open
Total volume
$27,896
$1 in 24h
Trades
1,185
Unique wallets
654
Liquidity
$1,702
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-22 08:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+91.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $51
vs crowd: 9% YES on $14.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $31 | $405 | $374 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $51 | — | +$51 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $6 | $1.8K | $1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 626 | $1.2K | $11.0K | $9.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $51 | — | +$51 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $7 | $3 | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $328 | $327 |
| Median | 91 | $23 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 34 | $10 | $183 | $173 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $71 | $13 | +$59 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $30 | $67 | $37 |
| unranked | 506 | $1.1K | $11.5K | $10.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | +839 | $744 | $744 | 4 | 07-16 04:16 |
| Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | +605 | $67 | $67 | 3 | 06-15 18:23 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +570 | $51 | $51 | 8 | 07-20 07:55 |
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +350 | $318 | $318 | 2 | 07-19 10:56 |
| Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | +288 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 06-21 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +53 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-18 14:45 |
| Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 4 | 07-12 23:03 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +44 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-15 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb0d…624f | Yes | +43 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-16 23:55 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-10 15:57 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +35 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-15 10:28 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +33 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 07-15 04:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x8263…7ed2 | Yes | +28 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-18 03:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x28a3…f9e7 | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4895…3ed6 | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-13 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x44f6…1f61 | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-16 21:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f54…62b7 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2131…0716 | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-14 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xff30…8a07 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-15 18:16 |
| Unhappy-Sleuth 0x670c…a7df | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-03 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc180…fe6e | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xee6c…1c59 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x8feb…0e5b | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 17:31 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3d…38bc | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdde…eb83 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-17 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1502…d3ab | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xbff1…ac85 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-08 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x80a2…67cc | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-21 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x6294…3552 | No | +18 | $16 | $27 | 3 | 06-22 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b19…96e4 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb16…2e90 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-22 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1974…99d3 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-16 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ded…379d | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-23 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4adc…7ac1 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-19 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cf9…28ff | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c57…a577 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x836a…4dba | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7e2…3612 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-21 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xeab1…c6c1 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-08 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4cd…1021 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-15 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xc392…630f | No | +16 | $14 | $24 | 4 | 06-22 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xab49…f2da | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x536f…156d | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x9654…f4f4 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 08:01 |
| Candid-Subsidence 0xf518…fcf6 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-13 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x313a…53ee | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-13 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xee9b…f8fd | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-16 16:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 08:07:15 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc82461… |
| 07-22 08:07:15 | Embarrassed-Lymphocyte 0xf82a…d221 | No | SELL | 16 | 91¢ | $15 | 0xc82461… |
| 07-22 08:07:15 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc82461… |
| 07-20 07:55:15 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 46 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x95db49… |
| 07-20 07:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x0d50…d062 | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x95db49… |
| 07-20 07:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x11b4…cb17 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x95db49… |
| 07-19 10:56:04 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 300 | 9¢ | $27 | 0xe4e1a6… |
| 07-19 10:56:04 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 300 | 91¢ | $273 | 0xe4e1a6… |
| 07-19 08:04:49 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xb8e5d5… |
| 07-19 08:04:49 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xb8e5d5… |
| 07-18 14:45:00 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xd4cbd4… |
| 07-18 14:45:00 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 38 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xd4cbd4… |
| 07-18 14:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xd4cbd4… |
| 07-18 14:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd4cbd4… |
| 07-18 14:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xcf4a…3c1e | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x412d59… |
| 07-18 14:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x121f…0d65 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x412d59… |
| 07-18 08:56:52 | (anonymous) 0xcf4a…3c1e | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x6b420b… |
| 07-18 08:56:52 | (anonymous) 0x4daa…9165 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x6b420b… |
| 07-18 03:56:54 | (anonymous) 0x8263…7ed2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x47df23… |
| 07-18 03:56:54 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…9f8e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x47df23… |
| 07-18 03:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x8e08…fdc3 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xfb1181… |
| 07-18 03:39:36 | (anonymous) 0x4c27…0c24 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xfb1181… |
| 07-17 21:54:12 | (anonymous) 0x5093…672e | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x2d1495… |
| 07-17 21:54:12 | (anonymous) 0xb130…fff1 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x2d1495… |
| 07-17 20:26:16 | (anonymous) 0x32be…fc4a | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x715c1f… |
| 07-17 20:26:16 | (anonymous) 0x5e48…559a | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x715c1f… |
| 07-17 15:55:46 | (anonymous) 0xa284…d6c9 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x9fbc56… |
| 07-17 15:55:46 | (anonymous) 0x29d6…13cf | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x9fbc56… |
| 07-17 13:31:52 | (anonymous) 0xa284…d6c9 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x5c0e26… |
| 07-17 13:31:52 | (anonymous) 0x6c28…7a0d | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x5c0e26… |
| 07-17 12:26:21 | (anonymous) 0xb130…fff1 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x1877f7… |
| 07-17 12:26:21 | Delayed-Cufflink 0x72ba…8f66 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x1877f7… |
| 07-17 10:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x5a83…4493 | No | BUY | 14 | 89¢ | $12 | 0xe80aa0… |
| 07-17 10:51:46 | (anonymous) 0xb1ad…079d | No | SELL | 14 | 89¢ | $12 | 0xe80aa0… |
| 07-17 10:17:04 | (anonymous) 0xff92…1c93 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x296d58… |
| 07-17 10:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x4f6e…05cb | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x296d58… |
| 07-17 05:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xab1f…1574 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xbf6155… |
| 07-17 05:16:31 | (anonymous) 0x2e1b…9ad3 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xbf6155… |
| 07-17 05:11:21 | (anonymous) 0x7882…9774 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x4f4c76… |
| 07-17 05:11:21 | (anonymous) 0xab1f…1574 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x4f4c76… |
| 07-17 04:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xd940…b821 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x5bc7e3… |
| 07-17 04:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xb1ad…079d | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x5bc7e3… |
| 07-16 23:15:44 | (anonymous) 0xc495…d26c | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x011ef1… |
| 07-16 23:15:44 | (anonymous) 0x678f…7847 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x011ef1… |
| 07-16 18:21:53 | (anonymous) 0xdab8…4154 | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x3f9ce0… |
| 07-16 18:21:53 | (anonymous) 0xfe00…6347 | No | BUY | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x3f9ce0… |
| 07-16 17:40:59 | (anonymous) 0x88a0…1868 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x90cd30… |
| 07-16 17:40:59 | (anonymous) 0xc60b…f1dc | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x90cd30… |
| 07-16 11:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xac06…6886 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x2dd7ba… |
| 07-16 11:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xc60b…f1dc | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x2dd7ba… |
| 07-16 08:36:40 | (anonymous) 0x8425…f634 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x628bef… |
| 07-16 08:36:40 | (anonymous) 0x6720…83c7 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x628bef… |
| 07-16 05:49:29 | (anonymous) 0xac06…6886 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xa12938… |
| 07-16 05:49:29 | (anonymous) 0x0c48…f923 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xa12938… |
| 07-16 05:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x4091…b5fe | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x381b2d… |
| 07-16 05:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x87cf…a6fd | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x381b2d… |
| 07-16 04:56:53 | (anonymous) 0xfe4c…28b4 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x20a74a… |
| 07-16 04:56:53 | (anonymous) 0xbb33…a5f2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x20a74a… |
| 07-16 04:32:22 | (anonymous) 0x75f5…8873 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb3a44d… |
| 07-16 04:32:22 | (anonymous) 0x15de…653c | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb3a44d… |
| 07-16 04:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x49a8…188d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9c9f31… |
| 07-16 04:16:56 | Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x9c9f31… |
| 07-16 00:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x88e1…5e0a | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x3fa4ac… |
| 07-16 00:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a63…f028 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x3fa4ac… |
| 07-15 18:16:52 | (anonymous) 0xff30…8a07 | No | BUY | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xa17bbc… |
| 07-15 18:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x9a63…f028 | No | SELL | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xa17bbc… |
| 07-15 17:31:47 | (anonymous) 0xa479…1f26 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x741e56… |
| 07-15 17:31:47 | (anonymous) 0x6185…e9cf | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0x741e56… |
| 07-15 11:22:17 | (anonymous) 0xd341…f215 | No | SELL | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xe2f007… |
| 07-15 11:22:17 | Delayed-Cufflink 0x72ba…8f66 | No | BUY | 8 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xe2f007… |
| 07-15 11:16:17 | (anonymous) 0x6c28…7a0d | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x207074… |
| 07-15 11:16:17 | (anonymous) 0xd04b…c937 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x207074… |
| 07-15 06:52:02 | (anonymous) 0x68c2…b963 | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xca0d57… |
| 07-15 06:52:02 | (anonymous) 0x32be…fc4a | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xca0d57… |
| 07-15 06:51:19 | (anonymous) 0x0902…7955 | No | SELL | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xdc1f83… |
| 07-15 06:51:19 | (anonymous) 0x8101…0a8e | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xdc1f83… |
| 07-15 06:16:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd70c6f… |
| 07-15 06:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xd70c6f… |
| 07-15 04:56:17 | (anonymous) 0x7a2d…78b0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9e5eaf… |
| 07-15 04:56:17 | (anonymous) 0xab1f…1574 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9e5eaf… |
| 07-15 04:27:02 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xa33301… |
| 07-15 04:27:02 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa33301… |
| 07-15 04:27:02 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xa33301… |
| 07-15 04:27:02 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xa33301… |
| 07-14 14:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x035964… |
| 07-14 14:01:01 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x035964… |
| 07-14 14:01:01 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x035964… |
| 07-13 06:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa3dcc5… |
| 07-13 06:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa3dcc5… |
| 07-13 06:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xa3dcc5… |
| 07-12 23:03:19 | Negative-Shell 0x6b41…c74a | No | SELL | 77 | 89¢ | $68 | 0x0e261a… |
| 07-12 23:03:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x0e261a… |
| 07-12 23:03:19 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | BUY | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x0e261a… |
| 07-12 23:03:19 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 24 | 89¢ | $21 | 0x0e261a… |
| 07-12 23:03:19 | (anonymous) 0xd81e…0fe5 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x0e261a… |
| 07-12 23:03:19 | (anonymous) 0x526b…cdee | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x0e261a… |
| 07-09 14:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x759c20… |
| 07-09 14:01:04 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x759c20… |
| 07-08 05:03:29 | (anonymous) 0x3662…c58c | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd19c6a… |
| 07-08 05:03:29 | (anonymous) 0x681e…fa55 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd19c6a… |