U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
open
Total volume
$26,815
$1 in 24h
Trades
1,068
Unique wallets
608
Liquidity
$1,702
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-01 11:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+90.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $18
vs crowd: 9% YES on $13.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $31 | $87 | $56 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $2 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 588 | $1.2K | $11.4K | $10.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $3 | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| Median | 84 | $21 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 31 | $9 | $95 | $86 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $71 | $13 | +$59 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $30 | $67 | $37 |
| unranked | 474 | $1.1K | $11.3K | $10.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | +831 | $736 | $736 | 3 | 06-23 20:10 |
| Dependent-Sausage 0x904f…50c6 | Yes | +605 | $67 | $67 | 3 | 06-15 18:23 |
| Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | +288 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 06-21 16:55 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | +202 | $18 | $18 | 4 | 06-22 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb0d…624f | Yes | +43 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-16 23:55 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +40 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-10 15:57 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +35 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 06-15 10:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x28a3…f9e7 | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x4895…3ed6 | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-13 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x44f6…1f61 | No | +26 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-16 21:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f54…62b7 | Yes | +24 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-06 04:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2131…0716 | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 06-14 18:20 |
| Unhappy-Sleuth 0x670c…a7df | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-03 08:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x8feb…0e5b | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xc180…fe6e | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xee6c…1c59 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 21:50 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 19:56 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3d…38bc | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-16 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdde…eb83 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-17 21:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x1502…d3ab | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x80a2…67cc | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 06-21 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xbff1…ac85 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-08 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8263…7ed2 | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x6294…3552 | No | +18 | $16 | $27 | 3 | 06-22 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5b19…96e4 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb16…2e90 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-22 11:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1974…99d3 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-16 20:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9ded…379d | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-23 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4adc…7ac1 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-19 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c57…a577 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe7e2…3612 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-21 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cf9…28ff | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x836a…4dba | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4cd…1021 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-15 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xc392…630f | No | +16 | $14 | $24 | 4 | 06-22 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xeab1…c6c1 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-08 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xab49…f2da | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9654…f4f4 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 08:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x536f…156d | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 12:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x91d5…4ee5 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 17:15 |
| Candid-Subsidence 0xf518…fcf6 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-13 06:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xee9b…f8fd | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-16 16:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x69c4…c62d | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 06-21 10:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x313a…53ee | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-13 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd488…4b87 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d1b…35c6 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2a1…f740 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-27 20:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7d2…de96 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-17 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd486…f04b | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-05 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a23…7e3d | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-10 05:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 11:44:46 | Cluttered-Incense 0x4add…8cdf | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x905207… |
| 07-01 11:44:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x905207… |
| 06-28 10:56:58 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xaed444… |
| 06-28 10:56:58 | (anonymous) 0x34fe…4275 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xaed444… |
| 06-28 10:56:58 | Useless-Reservation 0xe96e…164e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xaed444… |
| 06-24 03:06:41 | (anonymous) 0xb278…e9a8 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x6a79d6… |
| 06-24 03:06:41 | (anonymous) 0xb208…8437 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x6a79d6… |
| 06-24 01:24:35 | (anonymous) 0x22c6…2b04 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x5ece41… |
| 06-24 01:24:35 | (anonymous) 0x6cc8…088c | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x5ece41… |
| 06-23 22:56:17 | (anonymous) 0x91b5…52ee | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x81b1e3… |
| 06-23 22:56:17 | (anonymous) 0x22c6…2b04 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x81b1e3… |
| 06-23 21:37:04 | (anonymous) 0xf3e5…a4d5 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb96944… |
| 06-23 21:37:04 | (anonymous) 0xfdab…760b | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb96944… |
| 06-23 21:11:16 | (anonymous) 0xe9e6…eaee | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xe28ed0… |
| 06-23 21:11:16 | (anonymous) 0x9ded…379d | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0xe28ed0… |
| 06-23 21:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x327a…4dfc | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x81a68c… |
| 06-23 21:08:55 | (anonymous) 0xc099…8414 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x81a68c… |
| 06-23 20:36:35 | (anonymous) 0x1e38…4d80 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6071f3… |
| 06-23 20:36:35 | (anonymous) 0xada6…7ab9 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6071f3… |
| 06-23 20:10:04 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x0f83d0… |
| 06-23 20:10:04 | (anonymous) 0x1ce3…2317 | No | SELL | 335 | 88¢ | $295 | 0x0f83d0… |
| 06-23 20:10:04 | Scared-Cardboard 0x031d…6570 | No | BUY | 315 | 88¢ | $277 | 0x0f83d0… |
| 06-23 20:10:04 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x0f83d0… |
| 06-23 20:10:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x0f83d0… |
| 06-22 19:32:35 | (anonymous) 0xde62…5f93 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x21e7fb… |
| 06-22 19:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x46b5…5fca | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x21e7fb… |
| 06-22 19:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x9d96…2134 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x5a2e46… |
| 06-22 19:20:41 | (anonymous) 0xbf8e…a915 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x5a2e46… |
| 06-22 19:01:56 | (anonymous) 0x4f3b…9312 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa97ee2… |
| 06-22 19:01:56 | (anonymous) 0xfd2d…43b6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa97ee2… |
| 06-22 18:48:01 | (anonymous) 0x9d96…2134 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x0e02f2… |
| 06-22 18:48:01 | (anonymous) 0xdbec…5216 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x0e02f2… |
| 06-22 18:32:17 | (anonymous) 0x3c13…9285 | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xfea07b… |
| 06-22 18:32:17 | (anonymous) 0x68c2…b963 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xfea07b… |
| 06-22 15:51:02 | (anonymous) 0x8c02…ea73 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x3bc470… |
| 06-22 15:51:02 | (anonymous) 0x327a…4dfc | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x3bc470… |
| 06-22 15:47:04 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…9f8e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x56581a… |
| 06-22 15:47:04 | (anonymous) 0x4c8b…7616 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x56581a… |
| 06-22 15:36:59 | (anonymous) 0x4c8b…7616 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcd5f24… |
| 06-22 15:36:59 | (anonymous) 0x0add…8f2d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcd5f24… |
| 06-22 13:53:23 | (anonymous) 0x8f6a…c1fa | Yes | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf83c31… |
| 06-22 13:53:23 | (anonymous) 0x6d1b…35c6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf83c31… |
| 06-22 12:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x6294…3552 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x34acd9… |
| 06-22 12:31:50 | (anonymous) 0xb019…456f | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x34acd9… |
| 06-22 12:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x83cf…9316 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x369c40… |
| 06-22 12:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x0c64…14a5 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x369c40… |
| 06-22 12:06:19 | (anonymous) 0xb5b7…c33d | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x75618c… |
| 06-22 12:06:19 | (anonymous) 0xcb2b…3190 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x75618c… |
| 06-22 11:24:53 | (anonymous) 0x327a…4dfc | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x7c224c… |
| 06-22 11:24:53 | (anonymous) 0xdb16…2e90 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x7c224c… |
| 06-22 11:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x6e7c…f698 | No | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x7820bf… |
| 06-22 11:02:08 | (anonymous) 0xc392…630f | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x7820bf… |
| 06-22 10:01:53 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | Yes | BUY | 178 | 9¢ | $16 | 0xb4901d… |
| 06-22 10:01:53 | Impish-Cupola 0xc406…ba02 | Yes | SELL | 183 | 9¢ | $17 | 0xb4901d… |
| 06-22 10:01:53 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb4901d… |
| 06-22 07:13:26 | (anonymous) 0xf82d…3907 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xbdf1e3… |
| 06-22 07:13:26 | (anonymous) 0xdff2…29d7 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xbdf1e3… |
| 06-22 02:33:34 | (anonymous) 0x7f54…62b7 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xcc5a72… |
| 06-22 02:33:34 | (anonymous) 0xb917…3885 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xcc5a72… |
| 06-22 02:00:28 | (anonymous) 0xc192…80ef | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xce8450… |
| 06-22 02:00:28 | (anonymous) 0x86fb…32ae | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xce8450… |
| 06-21 22:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x60f9…54be | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2037b6… |
| 06-21 22:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x28a3…f9e7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x2037b6… |
| 06-21 21:30:44 | (anonymous) 0x7f54…62b7 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xe67948… |
| 06-21 21:30:44 | (anonymous) 0xac20…2b2d | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xe67948… |
| 06-21 19:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x9ded…379d | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xa067e6… |
| 06-21 19:10:55 | (anonymous) 0x358a…e8fa | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xa067e6… |
| 06-21 17:41:11 | (anonymous) 0x91b5…52ee | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x96a699… |
| 06-21 17:41:11 | (anonymous) 0xac20…2b2d | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x96a699… |
| 06-21 16:55:58 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x633518… |
| 06-21 16:55:58 | Infatuated-Devastation 0xeda0…7dff | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x633518… |
| 06-21 16:54:58 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7c4449… |
| 06-21 16:54:58 | Internal-Hail 0x2884…d0c3 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7c4449… |
| 06-21 16:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x5a40…4579 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xba6e4f… |
| 06-21 16:45:34 | (anonymous) 0x7387…a8a5 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xba6e4f… |
| 06-21 14:46:04 | (anonymous) 0xb130…fff1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe0191e… |
| 06-21 14:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x5d1b…de0e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe0191e… |
| 06-21 13:27:38 | (anonymous) 0x7653…3823 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xd40e7f… |
| 06-21 13:27:38 | (anonymous) 0x855f…d534 | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xd40e7f… |
| 06-21 11:51:02 | (anonymous) 0x9177…6f5a | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xf82c78… |
| 06-21 11:51:02 | (anonymous) 0x8a21…31ea | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xf82c78… |
| 06-21 10:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x69c4…c62d | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xd8bcec… |
| 06-21 10:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x35eb…0436 | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xd8bcec… |
| 06-21 09:04:29 | (anonymous) 0xc2d5…05f3 | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x4298a7… |
| 06-21 09:04:29 | (anonymous) 0xd8c4…15d6 | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0x4298a7… |
| 06-21 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0xf3e5…a4d5 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xe9e2e5… |
| 06-21 06:55:20 | (anonymous) 0xcc9c…c439 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xe9e2e5… |
| 06-21 04:47:10 | (anonymous) 0xf48e…b243 | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x4eea81… |
| 06-21 04:47:10 | (anonymous) 0xe9e6…eaee | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x4eea81… |
| 06-21 03:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x6008…4cfa | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xb526cd… |
| 06-21 03:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x012e…6e32 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xb526cd… |
| 06-21 02:40:41 | (anonymous) 0x970a…ed4c | No | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xae878d… |
| 06-21 02:40:41 | (anonymous) 0xf48e…b243 | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xae878d… |
| 06-21 02:36:32 | (anonymous) 0xd779…eb69 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x037d09… |
| 06-21 02:36:32 | (anonymous) 0x22fa…6b7e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x037d09… |
| 06-21 02:10:59 | (anonymous) 0x871c…0358 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xafb886… |
| 06-21 02:10:59 | (anonymous) 0xe66b…42de | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xafb886… |
| 06-21 02:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x2e1b…9ad3 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x03f189… |
| 06-21 02:02:38 | (anonymous) 0xa8ae…559c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x03f189… |
| 06-21 00:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xe7e2…3612 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xceda01… |