Realized P&L
+$5.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$252
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
28
Trades
23,138
lifetime
Volume
$275.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$3.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 19:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
48% 27% $-920
Politics
39% 25% +$6,723
Crypto
10%
Tech
3%
Sports
0% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1067 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -6,131 $-563 $-521 +$42 06-05 16:33
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +2,330 $396 18¢ $408 +$12 06-09 13:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,413 $313 26¢ $374 +$62 06-09 16:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -200 $-192 97¢ $-194 $-2 05-31 02:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -200 $-184 94¢ $-189 $-5 05-31 23:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -200 $-178 90¢ $-179 $-1 05-31 12:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 $-166 82¢ $-165 +$1 05-30 22:49
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -200 $-160 80¢ $-159 +$1 06-07 17:14
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +1,000 $120 15¢ $145 +$25 06-05 07:22
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -200 $-146 72¢ $-143 +$3 05-31 13:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -200 $-172 72¢ $-143 +$29 05-30 14:25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? Yes -500 $-118 16¢ $-77 +$41 06-07 19:16
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No +76 $66 92¢ $69 +$3 06-06 15:27
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? No +50 $43 94¢ $47 +$4 06-07 19:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +50 $42 94¢ $47 +$4 06-05 06:56
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026? No +50 $44 92¢ $46 +$2 06-04 15:03
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +50 $42 92¢ $46 +$4 06-03 14:02
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +50 $36 92¢ $46 +$10 06-03 11:54
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +50 $44 90¢ $45 +$2 06-04 03:15
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30? No +50 $40 90¢ $45 +$5 06-03 18:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +50 $42 90¢ $45 +$2 06-03 11:07
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? No +50 $43 90¢ $45 +$2 06-03 13:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +50 $37 88¢ $44 +$7 06-03 10:24
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +50 $44 86¢ $43 $-1 06-06 14:36
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No +50 $44 84¢ $42 $-1 06-07 07:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +50 $37 84¢ $42 +$5 06-03 10:02
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May? No +50 $45 84¢ $42 $-3 06-04 02:10
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +47 $39 87¢ $41 +$2 06-03 10:58
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? No +50 $41 80¢ $40 $-1 06-06 18:34
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30? No +44 $39 90¢ $40 +$0 06-09 19:37