Realized P&L
+$5.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$57
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
28
Trades
26,694
lifetime
Volume
$329.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$3.76K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 11:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
44% 27% $-920
Politics
43% 25% +$6,723
Crypto
10%
Tech
2%
Sports
1% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 604 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +6,717 $1,034 12¢ $806 $-228 07-19 21:56
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +5,502 $588 11¢ $578 $-11 07-19 07:29
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -19,999 $-380 $-390 $-9 07-10 22:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,901 $90 $332 +$242 07-08 17:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,246 $201 22¢ $268 +$67 07-04 15:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +2,351 $220 10¢ $223 +$3 07-18 14:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -200 $-184 98¢ $-195 $-11 05-31 23:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -200 $-178 94¢ $-187 $-9 05-31 12:17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -200 $-160 88¢ $-175 $-15 06-07 17:14
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -200 $-146 82¢ $-164 $-18 05-31 13:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 $-166 72¢ $-145 +$21 05-30 22:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -200 $-172 72¢ $-145 +$27 05-30 14:25
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +554 $49 $47 $-2 07-20 07:55
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +50 $40 80¢ $40 $-0 06-15 00:25
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +50 $42 76¢ $38 $-4 06-12 13:41
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +160 $22 16¢ $26 +$4 07-20 14:02
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -25 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-06 04:42
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-10 05:17