Realized P&L
+$5.80K
Unrealized P&L
-$733
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
28
Trades
24,929
lifetime
Volume
$308.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$4.46K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
45% 27% $-920
Politics
43% 25% +$6,723
Crypto
9%
Tech
2%
Sports
1% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 604 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -9,099 $-1,220 14¢ $-1228 $-8 06-30 07:27
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +8,125 $1,219 12¢ $1.0K $-203 06-27 09:36
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +3,912 $435 11¢ $411 $-24 07-01 00:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -200 $-192 100¢ $-200 $-8 05-31 02:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -200 $-184 96¢ $-192 $-8 05-31 23:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -200 $-178 94¢ $-187 $-9 05-31 12:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No -200 $-172 90¢ $-181 $-9 05-30 14:25
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -200 $-160 86¢ $-171 $-11 06-07 17:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -200 $-166 86¢ $-171 $-5 05-30 22:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +646 $73 26¢ $165 +$92 06-25 08:26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +1,651 $160 $140 $-20 06-20 09:44
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No -200 $-146 68¢ $-137 +$9 05-31 13:49
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +50 $40 87¢ $44 +$3 06-15 00:25
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +50 $42 75¢ $38 $-4 06-12 13:41
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? No +32 $26 99¢ $32 +$6 06-12 05:37
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No -25 $-29 100¢ $-25 +$4 06-16 13:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -25 $-21 99¢ $-25 $-4 06-17 11:21
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? No -25 $-24 99¢ $-25 $-1 06-02 20:16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? No -25 $-24 99¢ $-25 $-1 06-09 15:09
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +202 $18 11¢ $21 +$3 06-22 10:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +15 $4 100¢ $15 +$11 06-30 01:47
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30? No -6 $-9 98¢ $-6 +$3 06-27 16:47
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -257 $-5 $-5 +$1 06-21 16:48
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -987 $487 $-2 $-490 06-26 09:05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -25 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-06 04:42
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-10 05:17
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +50 $37 $0 $-37 06-04 11:37
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +0 $24 $0 $-24 06-30 13:34