Realized P&L
+$5.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$252
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved
28
Trades
23,138
lifetime
Volume
$275.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$3.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 19:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
48%
27%
$-920
Politics
39%
25%
+$6,723
Crypto
10%
—
—
Tech
3%
—
—
Sports
0%
0%
$-1
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk
• peak 1067 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4? | 199 | $11.1K | 14,052 | 11,128 | +2,924 | Down | $-506 | 05-04 16:06 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | 81 | $10.2K | 38,800 | 29,400 | +9,400 | Yes | +$4,183 | 05-09 07:53 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 418 | $7.1K | 198,917 | 196,221 | +2,696 | open | — | 03-26 14:25 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1? | 72 | $5.2K | 5,302 | 3,701 | +1,601 | open | — | 05-01 20:08 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15? | 48 | $5.1K | 5,354 | 2,676 | +2,678 | open | — | 05-15 17:35 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 310 | $5.0K | 120,795 | 110,258 | +10,537 | open | — | 05-21 15:56 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4? | 123 | $5.0K | 6,127 | 2,343 | +3,783 | Down | $-366 | 05-04 16:06 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | 238 | $4.9K | 75,853 | 77,272 | -1,418 | open | — | 05-18 19:57 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1? | 55 | $4.5K | 4,083 | 3,322 | +761 | open | — | 05-01 20:07 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 172 | $4.3K | 43,686 | 41,757 | +1,929 | open | — | 04-27 17:37 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 194 | $4.1K | 64,092 | 66,135 | -2,044 | open | — | 04-25 17:18 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29? | 72 | $4.0K | 4,092 | 4,092 | +0 | open | — | 04-29 19:52 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 56 | $3.9K | 43,811 | 33,811 | +10,000 | Yes | +$2,581 | 05-09 18:16 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15? | 46 | $3.4K | 4,672 | 3,203 | +1,469 | open | — | 05-15 09:24 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 222 | $3.3K | 30,168 | 31,115 | -946 | open | — | 05-25 22:26 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | 204 | $2.9K | 5,746 | 4,333 | +1,413 | open | — | 06-09 16:00 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18? | 41 | $2.8K | 2,907 | 2,022 | +885 | open | — | 05-18 18:56 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | 171 | $2.6K | 59,058 | 63,406 | -4,349 | open | — | 05-20 06:56 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 51 | $2.6K | 8,008 | 8,008 | +0 | open | — | 05-01 13:54 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15 | 135 | $2.6K | 40,138 | 40,138 | +0 | open | — | 04-14 18:29 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | 270 | $2.4K | 10,160 | 10,160 | -0 | open | — | 04-28 14:32 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 131 | $2.3K | 99,030 | 99,030 | +0 | open | — | 04-27 13:32 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | 155 | $2.2K | 55,516 | 56,251 | -735 | open | — | 05-20 08:16 |
| lol dk t1 2026 04 17 | 62 | $2.1K | 5,043 | 5,043 | +0 | open | — | 04-17 12:39 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30? | 53 | $2.0K | 1,516 | 1,516 | +0 | open | — | 04-30 17:25 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18? | 31 | $2.0K | 3,143 | 1,350 | +1,793 | open | — | 05-18 19:59 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21? | 39 | $1.9K | 2,248 | 1,224 | +1,024 | open | — | 05-21 19:54 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 94 | $1.9K | 7,899 | 7,899 | +0 | open | — | 04-13 16:31 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 67 | $1.9K | 7,986 | 7,986 | +0 | open | — | 04-26 22:39 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 78 | $1.8K | 20,308 | 20,308 | +0 | open | — | 04-26 14:22 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 537 | $52.4M | 90,511 | 06-10 04:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | 448 | $168.6K | 19,310 | 06-09 20:22 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | 442 | $1.01M | 79,640 | 06-10 03:45 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 415 | $2.42M | 41,813 | 06-10 03:50 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 411 | $751.5K | 58,342 | 06-01 05:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | 394 | $60.8K | 3,414 | 06-09 22:06 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 394 | $47.0K | 8,321 | 06-10 00:46 |
| Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | 374 | $247.8K | 7,364 | 06-10 03:50 |