Realized P&L (30d)
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$463
Hit rate
16.5%
Resolved (30d)
14
Trades (30d)
14
44,491 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$215
$571.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$746
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 272 days
Categories
Other
62% 49% -$3,261
Politics
30% 58% +$3,881
Crypto
6% 24% -$198
Tech
1% 43% +$57
Sports
0% 40% +$769
Pop-Culture
0% 53% -$43
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +5,297 $591 4¢ $209 -$382 08-09 07:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -9,480 -$1,052 2¢ $-175 +$876 08-17 08:54
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +3,535 $507 4¢ $159 -$348 09-16 07:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -1,615 -$246 8¢ $-121 +$124 10-23 13:33
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -891 -$77 3¢ $-30 +$47 05-02 04:36
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes -500 -$46 2¢ $-12 +$33 05-02 17:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -80 $15 12¢ $-10 -$25 07-30 01:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -335 -$60 3¢ $-10 +$51 05-03 19:02
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,187 $12 0¢ $5 -$7 08-30 13:33
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 05-02 18:34
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 -$1 05-02 18:32
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +855 $10 0¢ $3 -$6 08-30 13:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +0 -$100 2¢ $0 +$100 08-16 13:11