Realized P&L
-$2.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$226
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
101
Trades
82,862
lifetime
Volume
$1.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 20:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
73% 36% $-2,245
Sports
12% 0% $-224
Politics
9% 100% +$12
Crypto
7% 50% +$234
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1187 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -889 $-415 54¢ $-476 $-61 06-26 03:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +382 $331 100¢ $382 +$51 06-11 15:29
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -275 $-295 98¢ $-270 +$25 06-30 15:50
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +300 $247 82¢ $244 $-2 06-18 09:34
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +200 $128 94¢ $189 +$61 06-18 21:27
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +163 $144 99¢ $161 +$17 06-19 16:49
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +237 $94 56¢ $134 +$40 06-22 20:04
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -750 $-114 15¢ $-109 +$5 06-30 20:50
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -188 $-100 56¢ $-106 $-7 05-29 05:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +227 $90 46¢ $106 +$15 06-25 14:42
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +208 $43 44¢ $90 +$47 06-25 18:45
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $131 28¢ $82 $-49 06-30 16:33
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -80 $-78 87¢ $-70 +$9 06-03 07:22
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -90 $-62 59¢ $-53 +$9 06-14 17:22
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +299 $27 16¢ $46 +$19 06-19 06:34
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +288 $29 11¢ $30 +$1 06-21 16:55
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -140 $-22 13¢ $-19 +$3 06-26 14:46
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -299 $-21 $-16 +$5 06-25 05:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +299 $15 $15 +$1 06-24 12:34
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -16 $-14 90¢ $-14 +$0 05-28 07:24
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes -299 $-13 $-12 +$1 06-25 05:20
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes +112 $8 10¢ $11 +$3 06-09 07:33
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes +27 $5 23¢ $6 +$1 06-24 15:21
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes +11 $4 38¢ $4 +$0 06-24 11:17
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No -10 $-6 31¢ $-3 +$3 06-24 03:57
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? No +1 $-3 95¢ $1 +$3 06-23 06:59
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -8 $-16 11¢ $-1 +$15 06-12 02:43
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-17 00:49
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes -49 $-6 $-1 +$5 06-19 23:22
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +1 $-3 69¢ $1 +$3 06-24 03:58