Realized P&L
-$2.22K
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
101
Trades
85,640
lifetime
Volume
$2.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$2.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
74% 36% $-2,245
Sports
11% 0% $-224
Politics
9% 100% +$12
Crypto
6% 50% +$234
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 705 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -846 $-412 58¢ $-495 $-83 07-21 05:34
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -275 $-299 98¢ $-268 +$30 07-09 00:57
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +300 $247 84¢ $252 +$5 06-18 09:34
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +148 $78 96¢ $143 +$65 07-16 10:51
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -188 $-100 60¢ $-114 $-14 05-29 05:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +227 $76 42¢ $94 +$18 07-19 23:02
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -750 $-114 12¢ $-86 +$28 06-30 20:50
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -80 $-77 90¢ $-72 +$6 07-10 01:01
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +299 $27 22¢ $64 +$37 06-19 06:34
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +201 $7 29¢ $57 +$50 07-16 19:44
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +127 $20 44¢ $55 +$35 07-21 20:52
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -90 $-62 61¢ $-55 +$7 06-14 17:22
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +299 $169 17¢ $50 $-119 07-21 15:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $131 12¢ $36 $-96 06-30 16:33
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +57 $104 52¢ $29 $-74 07-21 18:46
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +53 $19 48¢ $26 +$6 07-21 18:43
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +288 $29 $24 $-4 06-21 16:55
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -299 $-21 $-16 +$6 06-25 05:23
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -16 $-14 92¢ $-15 $-0 05-28 07:24
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -139 $-20 10¢ $-14 +$5 07-16 19:02
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +24 $-23 56¢ $13 +$36 07-21 19:05
Will Venezuela become 51st state? Yes -299 $-13 $-8 +$5 06-25 05:20
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +214 $9 $5 $-4 07-11 05:26
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes -29 $-10 16¢ $-4 +$5 07-04 03:40
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes +112 $8 $4 $-4 06-09 07:33
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes +27 $5 12¢ $3 $-2 06-24 15:21
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes +11 $4 24¢ $3 $-1 06-24 11:17
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No -10 $-6 24¢ $-2 +$4 06-24 03:57
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +52 $9 $2 $-7 07-19 15:20
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -8 $-16 13¢ $-1 +$15 06-12 02:43