Realized P&L
-$2.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$49
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
101
Trades
79,960
lifetime
Volume
$1.84M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$821
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
72% 36% $-2,245
Sports
12% 0% $-224
Politics
9% 100% +$12
Crypto
7% 50% +$234
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1319 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +328 $249 76¢ $251 +$2 06-06 20:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -264 $-127 50¢ $-133 $-6 06-05 10:15
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -188 $-100 64¢ $-120 $-21 05-29 05:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +216 $74 50¢ $107 +$33 06-09 11:18
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No -80 $-78 88¢ $-70 +$8 06-03 07:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +35 $21 98¢ $34 +$12 06-10 01:10
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? Yes +30 $28 94¢ $28 +$1 06-09 08:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +261 $17 $19 +$1 06-08 20:11
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -141 $-23 12¢ $-17 +$6 06-09 03:22
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -16 $-14 90¢ $-14 +$0 05-28 07:24
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes +112 $8 $8 +$1 06-09 07:33
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +9 $7 68¢ $6 $-1 06-07 05:17
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +46 $-9 12¢ $5 +$14 06-09 00:01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes -279 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-08 06:05
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +1 $-19 89¢ $1 +$20 06-10 02:20
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes -67 $-6 $-1 +$5 06-04 06:36
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes -3 $-2 32¢ $-1 +$1 06-08 09:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +34 $-18 $1 +$19 06-10 04:57
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +0 $3 98¢ $0 $-2 06-03 16:47
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? No +5 $41 $0 $-41 06-08 20:30
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes -0 $5 11¢ $-0 $-5 05-30 05:47