Realized P&L
-$28.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$564
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
6,443
Trades
112,537
lifetime
Volume
$2.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 287 days
Categories
Other
75% 36% -$29,407
Sports
10% 41% -$8,735
Politics
10% 47% +$5,981
Crypto
5% 32% +$2,766
Pop-Culture
1% 20% -$172
Tech
0% 45% +$834
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 431 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -688 -$245 86¢ $-592 -$347 07-17 18:07
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +280 $249 98¢ $276 +$27 10-22 04:28
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +396 $229 64¢ $255 +$26 10-21 00:23
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -123 -$64 97¢ $-120 -$56 07-29 18:30
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +297 $109 36¢ $107 -$2 10-16 07:00
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +297 $26 32¢ $97 +$71 07-26 09:26
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -750 -$108 11¢ $-79 +$29 07-30 15:03
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +361 $95 18¢ $67 -$28 10-23 12:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +261 $154 23¢ $60 -$94 10-07 04:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes -999 -$130 6¢ $-55 +$75 05-10 01:40
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes -144 -$46 34¢ $-48 -$2 09-28 13:36
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +83 $101 55¢ $45 -$56 06-24 03:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +78 -$128 55¢ $43 +$170 10-26 21:43
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +83 -$217 45¢ $38 +$255 10-08 06:08
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +103 -$160 36¢ $37 +$196 10-20 23:40
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +54 $13 64¢ $35 +$22 10-20 15:08
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 Yes +300 $36 8¢ $25 -$11 08-02 04:02
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +138 $67 16¢ $22 -$46 10-21 00:29
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -100 -$47 16¢ $-16 +$31 05-09 01:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +35 -$125 45¢ $16 +$141 10-27 05:04
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes -692 -$147 2¢ $-15 +$133 09-27 08:11
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -498 -$65 2¢ $-12 +$52 05-04 09:01
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -299 -$21 4¢ $-12 +$10 06-25 05:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $1 98¢ $10 +$9 09-17 23:39
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +10 $4 97¢ $10 +$6 07-10 01:01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +300 $30 3¢ $9 -$21 05-23 14:57
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +13 $10 64¢ $8 -$1 06-11 22:46
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? Yes +198 $29 4¢ $8 -$21 10-23 08:05
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +8 -$1 92¢ $8 +$9 10-20 23:15
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +268 $20 3¢ $7 -$12 09-21 12:02