Realized P&L (7d)
-$857
Unrealized P&L
+$240
Hit rate
39.4%
Resolved (7d)
82
Trades (7d)
1,231
113,688 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$35.9K
$2.67M lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 292 days
Categories
Other
75% 36% -$30,144
Politics
10% 47% +$5,981
Sports
10% 40% -$8,851
Crypto
5% 32% +$2,818
Pop-Culture
1% 20% -$172
Tech
0% 45% +$834
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -688 -$245 80¢ $-550 -$305 07-17 18:07
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +806 $292 33¢ $266 -$26 10-28 23:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +347 $190 68¢ $236 +$46 10-30 21:46
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes +300 $139 42¢ $126 -$13 10-30 19:59
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -123 -$64 99¢ $-122 -$58 07-29 18:30
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +297 $26 34¢ $101 +$75 07-26 09:26
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes -390 -$112 26¢ $-99 +$13 10-29 02:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +136 $74 62¢ $84 +$11 10-30 18:14
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes -750 -$108 10¢ $-71 +$37 07-30 15:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -83 -$247 82¢ $-68 +$179 10-27 20:03
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No +470 $60 14¢ $63 +$3 10-29 17:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes -999 -$130 4¢ $-45 +$85 05-10 01:40
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +83 $101 50¢ $42 -$59 06-24 03:58
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +83 -$217 50¢ $41 +$259 10-08 06:08
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Playoffs HOTU +80 $39 50¢ $40 +$1 11-01 07:30
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes -692 -$147 6¢ $-39 +$109 09-27 08:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +261 $154 15¢ $38 -$116 10-07 04:18
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +106 $38 34¢ $37 -$2 10-30 18:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +179 $70 16¢ $28 -$43 10-31 21:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418 Yes +300 $36 6¢ $20 -$16 08-02 04:02
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -100 -$47 14¢ $-14 +$33 05-09 01:00
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -498 -$65 2¢ $-10 +$55 05-04 09:01
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +10 $4 97¢ $10 +$6 07-10 01:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $1 98¢ $10 +$9 09-17 23:39
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +20 $39 48¢ $10 -$29 11-01 06:00
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +13 $10 63¢ $8 -$2 06-11 22:46
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +8 -$1 92¢ $8 +$9 10-20 23:15
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +297 $33 2¢ $7 -$26 08-07 04:33
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? Yes +8 $0 81¢ $7 +$7 11-01 10:56
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes +112 $8 6¢ $6 -$1 06-09 07:33