Realized P&L
-$4.52K
Unrealized P&L
-$817
Hit rate
7.8%
Resolved
126
Trades
1,799
lifetime
Volume
$10.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.14K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 10-24 09:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
52%
11%
-$2,902
Other
33%
11%
-$1,245
Crypto
15%
9%
-$372
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk
• peak 7 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by June 30? | 255 | $2.6K | 241,653 | 107,134 | +134,519 | No | -$1,854 | 06-26 18:50 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | 217 | $1.0K | 13,941 | 0 | +13,941 | open | — | 10-23 20:47 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 60 | $967 | 500,196 | 101,105 | +399,092 | Yes | -$765 | 03-25 15:01 |
| will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026 | 10 | $337 | 350 | 350 | +0 | Yes | +$40 | 03-19 12:05 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | 20 | $253 | 1,100 | 1,100 | +0 | No | -$112 | 04-27 19:51 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 12 | $219 | 1,426 | 1,426 | +0 | No | -$122 | 04-12 20:08 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | 13 | $197 | 1,473 | 0 | +1,473 | open | — | 10-24 04:51 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | 63 | $165 | 10,212 | 16,302 | -6,089 | No | -$133 | 06-27 12:06 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 21 | $157 | 6,492 | 150 | +6,342 | No | -$133 | 04-29 23:19 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | 24 | $138 | 1,510 | 0 | +1,510 | open | — | 07-13 21:39 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | 50 | $133 | 2,449 | 0 | +2,449 | open | — | 07-14 13:26 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 4 | $128 | 855 | 5,855 | -5,000 | open | — | 09-24 15:04 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 24 | $95 | 3,020 | 3,083 | -63 | No | -$64 | 03-26 18:40 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | 20 | $92 | 2,360 | 3,312 | -952 | No | -$79 | 06-22 18:41 |
| us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363 | 10 | $91 | 800 | 800 | +0 | No | -$34 | 03-31 05:05 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 16 | $91 | 3,650 | 3,800 | -150 | No | -$83 | 06-25 20:48 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 8 | $86 | 727 | 727 | -0 | No | -$31 | 03-28 10:19 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june | 23 | $82 | 3,333 | 0 | +3,333 | No | -$82 | 06-22 18:41 |
| will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026 | 2 | $82 | 200 | 200 | +0 | No | -$22 | 03-19 12:05 |
| XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? | 21 | $79 | 9,271 | 1,933 | +7,338 | No | -$71 | 06-24 12:56 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? | 26 | $76 | 3,675 | 22 | +3,653 | No | -$76 | 05-01 01:00 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | 15 | $73 | 2,550 | 2,550 | +0 | No | -$38 | 04-20 12:58 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $73 | 50 | 50 | +0 | Yes | -$1 | 03-19 12:05 |
| houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026 | 9 | $71 | 80 | 80 | +0 | Yes | +$32 | 03-28 18:01 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397 | 4 | $68 | 500 | 500 | +0 | No | -$48 | 03-28 12:52 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026 | 4 | $67 | 491 | 491 | +0 | No | -$18 | 03-19 12:05 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 3 | $66 | 400 | 400 | +0 | open | — | 05-14 22:27 |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? | 19 | $65 | 2,961 | 0 | +2,961 | No | -$65 | 06-15 13:22 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 26 | $63 | 4,800 | 4,800 | +0 | No | -$53 | 04-24 14:38 |
| will netanyahu tweet again by saturday | 5 | $62 | 39 | 39 | +0 | No | +$11 | 03-14 21:29 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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