Unhappy-Sleuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$232

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

741

Trades

942

lifetime

Volume

$5.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$127

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-28 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

67% 57% -$166

Sports

24% 62% -$78

Politics

9% 72% +$28

Crypto

0% 33% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$20	98¢	$21	+$1	05-30 06:36
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	No	+22	$20	96¢	$21	+$1	06-03 08:22
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+20	$18	97¢	$19	+$1	06-21 16:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$1	05-24 20:05
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+15	$10	71¢	$10	+$0	09-19 07:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+10	$9	94¢	$10	+$1	09-01 14:28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	+10	$9	97¢	$10	+$1	05-24 20:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+10	$8	96¢	$10	+$1	05-24 20:06
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	+7	$5	80¢	$6	+$1	05-11 21:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
World Championships: Austria vs. Hungary	3	$126	121	10	+111	Austria	$0	05-17 16:18
World Championships: Canada vs. Denmark	3	$60	63	0	+63	Canada	+$3	05-18 15:35
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$60	37	37	+0	No	$0	09-20 09:24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	+$5	05-01 20:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	2	$48	39	39	+0	No	-$12	06-17 18:38
World Championships: USA vs. Germany	9	$47	38	38	+0	USA	-$6	05-20 19:22
Will South Africa finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	3	$43	52	0	+52	No	-$43	06-18 16:07
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$40	53	0	+53	Max Holloway	+$13	06-02 11:58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$40	26	26	+0	open	—	09-17 10:35
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$38	45	45	+0	Yes	-$2	05-30 16:11
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$36	44	0	+44	Justin Gaethje	-$36	06-10 01:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$35	24	24	+0	No	-$5	05-24 08:12
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$35	47	47	+0	No	-$25	05-15 15:47
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Czechia	3	$33	20	20	+0	Slovenia	-$2	05-16 20:15
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Latvia	6	$32	21	21	+0	Switzerland	-$1	05-16 19:32
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$30	39	0	+39	Yes	+$9	09-19 12:11
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$30	45	0	+45	Roman Kopylov	-$30	10-01 18:22
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$30	37	20	+17	No	-$7	06-03 20:43
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	3	$29	33	33	+0	Petr Yan	-$11	10-24 20:10
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$27	42	0	+42	Yes	+$15	05-28 20:32
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia	4	$27	29	15	+14	Czechia	+$1	05-18 19:32
World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway	4	$27	26	26	+0	Norway	-$1	05-25 15:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$26	32	32	+0	Yes	-$21	04-17 13:07
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$26	34	22	+12	No	-$14	05-30 18:58
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	2	$26	18	18	+0	Yes	-$4	05-08 05:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$24	15	15	+0	No	+$4	04-24 14:24
Nothing Ever Happens: May	3	$24	29	0	+29	Nothing	+$5	05-28 15:47
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	2	$24	29	0	+29	Robelis Despaigne	+$5	09-19 12:08
World Championships: Great Britain vs. Latvia	2	$23	27	0	+27	Latvia	+$4	05-23 19:57
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austria	4	$23	25	15	+10	Austria	+$5	05-19 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:10:56	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xd2adaf…
10-28 08:18:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$5	0x65322c…
10-27 14:39:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x3755e4…
10-27 07:54:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0d599d…
10-26 17:34:06	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xa9fa3e…
10-24 20:42:50	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x73befb…
10-24 20:10:26	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0x2168eb…
10-24 20:10:14	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0x8f4c36…
10-24 12:49:44	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8b2190…
10-24 12:46:51	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x576aff…
10-24 12:46:21	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xcb34db…
10-22 06:52:33	Will Páfos FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x5d534e…
10-21 20:10:30	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Noah Gugnon	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe7dcd9…
10-21 20:09:29	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Daniel Santos	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x83118d…
10-21 20:05:29	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Grant Dawson	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xaa8391…
10-21 20:02:14	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Cam Rowston	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3e5814…
10-21 20:01:48	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9eb6b9…
10-21 20:00:35	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x869b70…
10-21 19:55:59	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x588aaa…
10-21 19:21:11	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x594d84…
10-21 19:19:17	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdd113d…
10-21 19:18:51	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6f7be0…
10-21 09:38:54	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Nothing	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf89c27…
10-21 09:37:57	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xee8d6d…
10-21 09:35:56	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa23894…
10-21 09:35:44	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x484d1a…
10-21 09:35:38	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x674ddc…
10-21 09:32:45	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd56e9e…
10-21 09:32:14	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x014887…
10-21 09:32:00	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xfb750b…
10-21 09:31:33	Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xd06f26…
10-20 19:07:03	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x44d8e5…
10-20 19:06:09	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa009a1…
10-18 12:22:18	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x96ca85…
10-18 12:21:18	Málaga CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa1eeb6…
10-17 21:14:45	FK Dinamo Moskva vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x38dd43…
10-17 21:11:35	UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Erin Blanchfield	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2a9c3d…
10-17 21:11:03	UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)	Marc-Andre Barriault	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xc6700a…
10-17 21:09:51	UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3e195c…
10-11 09:55:33	RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Baltika Kaliningrad: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x7e1b93…
10-11 09:52:48	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Dominick Reyes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc5d9cc…
10-11 09:52:34	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x3aba5a…
10-11 09:52:19	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa383a9…
10-10 17:16:24	UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Alice Pereira	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5ace5b…
10-10 17:14:45	UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Felipe Franco (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Felipe Franco	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc7f4da…
10-10 17:14:31	UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)	Leon Shahbazyan	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x22b2ad…
10-10 17:14:21	UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ismael Bonfim	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x896088…
10-10 17:14:09	UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Gerald Meerschaert	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0b4897…
10-10 17:13:57	UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Malcolm Wellmaker	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xae7993…
10-10 17:13:46	UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)	Andre Fili	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2cbaee…
10-10 17:13:36	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Loopy Godínez	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x4ed99b…
10-10 17:13:13	UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)	Matheus Camilo	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xf38544…
10-10 17:12:55	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Brendan Allen	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xdbad7b…
10-10 16:59:51	Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xd2b8dc…
10-06 11:55:42	England vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x2404cb…
10-06 11:53:54	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x3f2fe2…
10-01 19:23:03	UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Natalia Silva	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcc8ba3…
10-01 19:19:57	UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Payton Talbott	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x638160…
10-01 19:04:24	UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)	Esteban Ribovics	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x221c69…
10-01 19:01:27	UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)	Roberto Soldic	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6a7dd4…
10-01 18:56:14	UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)	Andrey Pulyaev	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4fc9ba…
10-01 18:55:50	UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Bernardo Sopaj (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Marcus McGhee	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x80bbcd…
10-01 18:53:00	UFC 332: Anthony Wint vs. Lucas Armand (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	Anthony Wint	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xcf1079…
10-01 18:29:14	UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	Mick Parkin	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xa0b48a…
10-01 18:27:02	UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Alexander Hernandez	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xece209…
10-01 18:22:59	UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Ismail Naurdiev	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbbabb3…
10-01 18:22:44	UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Eric Nolan	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5404e0…
10-01 18:22:23	UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x00a6fa…
09-30 03:13:33	Will "Digger" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xe3a380…
09-30 03:11:23	UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x42c258…
09-30 03:11:17	UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xaaa380…
09-30 03:10:32	Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4b2080…
09-30 03:09:08	Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x73fedb…
09-30 03:08:30	Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0e8a40…
09-29 17:49:51	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Croatia	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8555a7…
09-29 17:49:32	Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xafc3e3…
09-29 17:48:56	Will England win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xedad09…
09-29 17:48:14	Czechia vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x2b5d97…
09-29 14:48:57	Russia vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf49096…
09-29 14:48:32	Spread: Russia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x2f1d77…
09-28 17:25:06	Will Cyprus win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x168f5b…
09-28 17:18:11	Belgium vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x5441e3…
09-28 17:17:35	Spread: Italy (-1.5)	Türkiye	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x91079f…
09-28 17:15:27	Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x14541f…
09-25 18:46:20	Spread: France (-2.5)	Türkiye	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3a6ff2…
09-24 18:52:59	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Germany	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x91c284…
09-24 18:38:38	Spread: Portugal (-2.5)	Wales	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0ac4f8…
09-24 18:37:48	Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4d1f20…
09-24 18:37:33	Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x3134a9…
09-20 09:24:46	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x6eb9bb…
09-20 09:23:45	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xda6ff4…
09-19 21:42:57	UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Eduarda Moura	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x5c48fb…
09-19 12:13:03	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb560e8…
09-19 12:12:35	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd3ac06…
09-19 12:11:32	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x4aa506…
09-19 12:09:36	UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x77cba5…
09-19 12:08:47	UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Iwo Baraniewski	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd0c8c6…
09-19 12:08:29	UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Robelis Despaigne	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xf4b114…
09-19 12:08:12	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6174cf…
09-19 12:07:35	Will the fight be won by decision?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x882092…