Realized P&L (7d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
84.0%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
0
761 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$1.21K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$60
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 11-05 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
51% 76% -$13
Politics
38% 72% -$14
Sports
7% 82% $0
Tech
2% 83% +$0
Crypto
1% 67% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +3 $1 98¢ $3 +$2 11-05 05:28
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-07 08:06
Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-05 05:55
Will Tencent be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 11-05 05:57
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 05-13 08:37
Will Xiaomi be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-05 05:56
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:48
Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-05 05:55
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-05 05:49
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 11-05 05:55
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 10-31 18:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 04-30 08:59
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-13 08:39
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 04-30 08:58
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:45
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:40
Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 11-05 05:58
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-19 14:35
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:43
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-19 14:34
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-19 14:34
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:48
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 11-05 05:56
Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 11-05 05:51
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:46
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 05-01 16:48
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$0 05-13 08:38
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 04-30 08:58