US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
open
Total volume
$685
Trades
142
Unique wallets
49
Liquidity
$4,647
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-04 23:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $56
vs crowd: 11% YES on $343)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $24 | $159 | $135 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $1 | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $3 | $72 | $70 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $11 | $66 | $55 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $56 | $56 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $7 | $28 | $21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $9 | $1 | +$8 |
| Median | 4 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $14 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $3 | $104 | $100 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 25 | $11 | $98 | $87 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | +123 | $7 | $7 | 13 | 06-23 17:59 |
| Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | +67 | $3 | $3 | 12 | 07-04 09:58 |
| Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | +60 | $56 | $56 | 7 | 07-01 01:12 |
| Virtual-Execution 0x3d14…ee01 | No | +60 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 06-23 17:59 |
| Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 06-12 21:55 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +29 | $2 | $17 | 13 | 06-23 01:05 |
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-16 02:56 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-04 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 14:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 06:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b68…28c4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 06-25 10:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e0…6895 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-20 13:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c82…5b75 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-01 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-01 01:12 |
| Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-04 19:06 |
| Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 02:54 |
| Instructive-Computer 0x6933…e6a6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 22:55 |
| Agitated-Rancher 0xb6c2…4708 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xedbc…6824 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 01:13 |
| Greedy-Shoelace 0x1f63…bfe3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 01:12 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +1 | $1 | $12 | 3 | 05-30 11:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 23:00:32 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x78781d… |
| 07-04 23:00:32 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x78781d… |
| 07-04 19:06:14 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc7eb7d… |
| 07-04 19:06:14 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc7eb7d… |
| 07-04 19:06:13 | Mundane-Screwdriver 0xbecd…f54e | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd5a908… |
| 07-04 19:06:13 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd5a908… |
| 07-04 09:58:19 | Wrong-Viscose 0x3594…2599 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xea75c2… |
| 07-04 09:58:19 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xea75c2… |
| 07-01 01:13:07 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb34911… |
| 07-01 01:13:07 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe9679e… |
| 07-01 01:13:07 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe9679e… |
| 07-01 01:13:07 | (anonymous) 0xedbc…6824 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb34911… |
| 07-01 01:12:56 | Greedy-Shoelace 0x1f63…bfe3 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x3a8772… |
| 07-01 01:12:56 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xa08be5… |
| 07-01 01:12:56 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa08be5… |
| 07-01 01:12:56 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3a8772… |
| 07-01 01:12:55 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xc28f21… |
| 07-01 01:12:55 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xc28f21… |
| 06-30 10:12:41 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x28d510… |
| 06-30 10:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x3d9c…d863 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x28d510… |
| 06-29 22:55:13 | Instructive-Computer 0x6933…e6a6 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x6a9e76… |
| 06-29 22:55:13 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6a9e76… |
| 06-29 22:55:11 | Homely-Highrise-Keystone 0xd2d6…e0c8 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x39c0c4… |
| 06-29 22:55:11 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x39c0c4… |
| 06-29 15:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x12d4…aee3 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfa9cbb… |
| 06-29 15:59:28 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xfa9cbb… |
| 06-29 09:05:31 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 21 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xe389af… |
| 06-29 09:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x12d4…aee3 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe389af… |
| 06-29 09:05:31 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4955c0… |
| 06-29 09:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x3d9c…d863 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4955c0… |
| 06-25 10:36:58 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x85f1c7… |
| 06-25 10:36:58 | (anonymous) 0x9b68…28c4 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x85f1c7… |
| 06-23 21:46:47 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7e5c58… |
| 06-23 21:46:47 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7e5c58… |
| 06-23 21:26:50 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd6c5bb… |
| 06-23 21:26:50 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd6c5bb… |
| 06-23 21:17:29 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe99db7… |
| 06-23 21:17:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe99db7… |
| 06-23 21:16:43 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf8b745… |
| 06-23 21:16:43 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf8b745… |
| 06-23 21:09:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4579cf… |
| 06-23 21:09:47 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4579cf… |
| 06-23 19:11:05 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5f29b3… |
| 06-23 19:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x5f29b3… |
| 06-23 17:59:56 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 60 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xf4c9d7… |
| 06-23 17:59:56 | Virtual-Execution 0x3d14…ee01 | No | BUY | 60 | 94¢ | $56 | 0xf4c9d7… |
| 06-23 17:59:49 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x675267… |
| 06-23 17:59:49 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x675267… |
| 06-23 17:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | SELL | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0x59e6d2… |
| 06-23 17:59:46 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 0 | 93¢ | $0 | 0x59e6d2… |
| 06-23 17:52:28 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x53691c… |
| 06-23 17:52:28 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x53691c… |
| 06-23 17:52:26 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc46205… |
| 06-23 17:52:26 | (anonymous) 0x475b…8594 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x3ea7ac… |
| 06-23 17:52:26 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3ea7ac… |
| 06-23 17:52:26 | Stormy-Bracket 0xa927…52a3 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc46205… |
| 06-23 17:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x5826…d54a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3e3eba… |
| 06-23 17:52:25 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x3e3eba… |
| 06-23 17:52:25 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x474a15… |
| 06-23 17:52:25 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x474a15… |
| 06-23 01:05:20 | (anonymous) 0xff09…25ab | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x901a45… |
| 06-23 01:05:20 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x901a45… |
| 06-23 01:05:16 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x0f6dd8… |
| 06-23 01:05:16 | (anonymous) 0x21a6…7442 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x0f6dd8… |
| 06-23 01:05:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2f218e… |
| 06-23 01:05:14 | Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5 | No | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x2f218e… |
| 06-20 13:21:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xaf564b… |
| 06-20 13:21:31 | (anonymous) 0xa0e0…6895 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xaf564b… |
| 06-18 11:21:35 | (anonymous) 0x6f64…4dbf | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6d06cc… |
| 06-18 11:21:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6d06cc… |
| 06-17 14:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4b3a40… |
| 06-17 14:19:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4b3a40… |
| 06-16 02:56:19 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe1983b… |
| 06-16 02:56:19 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe1983b… |
| 06-16 02:54:48 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf0331f… |
| 06-16 02:54:48 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf0331f… |
| 06-12 21:55:03 | Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x283c9a… |
| 06-12 21:55:03 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x283c9a… |
| 06-12 21:55:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x283c9a… |
| 06-12 21:55:03 | Threadbare-Tapioca 0x602c…0c62 | No | SELL | 68 | 89¢ | $61 | 0x283c9a… |
| 06-12 11:23:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6ba9e9… |
| 06-12 11:23:12 | Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6ba9e9… |
| 06-12 11:18:27 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x118104… |
| 06-12 11:18:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x118104… |
| 06-12 03:53:55 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x14e0e3… |
| 06-12 03:53:55 | Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x14e0e3… |
| 06-10 09:31:19 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x82491f… |
| 06-10 09:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x4b67…ee63 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x82491f… |
| 06-07 22:42:40 | Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x5cf1de… |
| 06-07 22:42:40 | (anonymous) 0xf589…9d0e | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x5cf1de… |
| 06-07 12:47:37 | (anonymous) 0xf589…9d0e | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x666a2b… |
| 06-07 12:47:37 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x666a2b… |
| 06-07 12:45:37 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc4c003… |
| 06-07 12:45:37 | Agitated-Rancher 0xb6c2…4708 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc4c003… |
| 06-07 00:45:36 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x927d54… |
| 06-07 00:45:36 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x927d54… |
| 06-05 09:55:52 | Agreeable-Facelift 0xf1a7…cbb1 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x09b91b… |
| 06-05 09:55:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x09b91b… |
| 06-05 09:35:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xcf1494… |
| 06-05 09:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x4bf1…74fb | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xcf1494… |