US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
open
Total volume
$505
Trades
70
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$4,647
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-16 02:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $18 | $42 | $24 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $5 | $47 | $42 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $3 | $28 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $7 | $1 | +$6 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $43 | $43 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| unranked | 14 | $5 | $80 | $75 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | +54 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-12 11:18 |
| Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 06-12 21:55 |
| Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-16 02:56 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-05 06:29 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 06:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c82…5b75 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 06:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b68…28c4 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-04 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 02:54 |
| Agitated-Rancher 0xb6c2…4708 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 12:45 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +1 | $1 | $12 | 3 | 05-30 11:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 02:56:19 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe1983b… |
| 06-16 02:56:19 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xe1983b… |
| 06-16 02:54:48 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf0331f… |
| 06-16 02:54:48 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xf0331f… |
| 06-12 21:55:03 | Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x283c9a… |
| 06-12 21:55:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x283c9a… |
| 06-12 21:55:03 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x283c9a… |
| 06-12 21:55:03 | Threadbare-Tapioca 0x602c…0c62 | No | SELL | 68 | 89¢ | $61 | 0x283c9a… |
| 06-12 11:23:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6ba9e9… |
| 06-12 11:23:12 | Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x6ba9e9… |
| 06-12 11:18:27 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x118104… |
| 06-12 11:18:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x118104… |
| 06-12 03:53:55 | Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x14e0e3… |
| 06-12 03:53:55 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x14e0e3… |
| 06-10 09:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x4b67…ee63 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x82491f… |
| 06-10 09:31:19 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 38 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x82491f… |
| 06-07 22:42:40 | (anonymous) 0xf589…9d0e | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x5cf1de… |
| 06-07 22:42:40 | Quizzical-Satin 0xcd80…7e2c | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x5cf1de… |
| 06-07 12:47:37 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x666a2b… |
| 06-07 12:47:37 | (anonymous) 0xf589…9d0e | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x666a2b… |
| 06-07 12:45:37 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc4c003… |
| 06-07 12:45:37 | Agitated-Rancher 0xb6c2…4708 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc4c003… |
| 06-07 00:45:36 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x927d54… |
| 06-07 00:45:36 | Twin-Detention 0x7f82…c446 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x927d54… |
| 06-05 09:55:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x09b91b… |
| 06-05 09:55:52 | Agreeable-Facelift 0xf1a7…cbb1 | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x09b91b… |
| 06-05 09:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x4bf1…74fb | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xcf1494… |
| 06-05 09:35:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xcf1494… |
| 06-05 09:28:01 | (anonymous) 0xb7c8…7f8d | No | SELL | 4 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x7641b6… |
| 06-05 09:28:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x7641b6… |
| 06-05 09:17:48 | Live-Rod 0x73a4…899c | No | SELL | 4 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xd08648… |
| 06-05 09:17:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd08648… |
| 06-05 09:06:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x75e14c… |
| 06-05 09:06:42 | Untrue-Spice 0xdb1a…f963 | No | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x75e14c… |
| 06-05 06:29:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xb3ac1e… |
| 06-05 06:29:52 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xb3ac1e… |
| 06-05 06:29:52 | Critical-Mass 0x323d…781c | No | SELL | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0xb3ac1e… |
| 06-04 17:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x9b68…28c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x63e728… |
| 06-04 17:11:36 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x63e728… |
| 06-04 16:21:40 | (anonymous) 0x9b68…28c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xd7d78e… |
| 06-04 16:21:40 | Empty-Addiction 0x4818…bf0b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd7d78e… |
| 05-30 16:13:46 | Woeful-Wildebeest 0x7c0d…835b | No | SELL | 68 | 93¢ | $64 | 0x65feda… |
| 05-30 16:13:46 | Threadbare-Tapioca 0x602c…0c62 | No | BUY | 68 | 93¢ | $64 | 0x65feda… |
| 05-30 14:23:50 | (anonymous) 0x4416…a6a6 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x238dad… |
| 05-30 14:23:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x238dad… |
| 05-30 12:17:40 | (anonymous) 0x4416…a6a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xdee995… |
| 05-30 12:17:40 | Woeful-Wildebeest 0x7c0d…835b | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xdee995… |
| 05-30 12:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x4416…a6a6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x300b41… |
| 05-30 12:17:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x300b41… |
| 05-30 12:17:19 | Woeful-Wildebeest 0x7c0d…835b | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x300b41… |
| 05-30 12:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x4416…a6a6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x342a0e… |
| 05-30 12:16:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x342a0e… |
| 05-30 12:16:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x342a0e… |
| 05-30 11:47:55 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x1f101d… |
| 05-30 11:47:55 | Sorrowful-Sentiment 0x2e03…ccef | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x1f101d… |
| 05-29 06:57:01 | Woeful-Wildebeest 0x7c0d…835b | No | SELL | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x0e9215… |
| 05-29 06:57:01 | (anonymous) 0x9c82…5b75 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x0e9215… |
| 05-28 11:31:59 | Woeful-Wildebeest 0x7c0d…835b | No | SELL | 47 | 93¢ | $44 | 0x2f7de0… |
| 05-28 11:31:59 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x2f7de0… |
| 05-28 08:45:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x97536d… |
| 05-28 08:45:32 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x97536d… |
| 05-28 08:45:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 23 | 90¢ | $21 | 0x97536d… |
| 05-28 08:45:32 | (anonymous) 0x4416…a6a6 | Yes | SELL | 155 | 9¢ | $15 | 0x97536d… |
| 05-28 08:45:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x97536d… |
| 05-28 06:59:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x00ac9d… |
| 05-28 06:59:02 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $6 | 0x00ac9d… |
| 05-28 06:35:48 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x477bca… |
| 05-28 06:35:48 | (anonymous) 0x4416…a6a6 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x477bca… |
| 05-28 06:35:23 | (anonymous) 0x4416…a6a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xe47394… |
| 05-28 06:35:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xe47394… |