Mundane-Screwdriver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,745

lifetime

Volume

$65.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 08-11 17:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% — —

Other

20% 100% +$0

Politics

14% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$4

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	15	$1.1K	426	735	-309	open	—	06-27 09:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	11	$833	420	420	+0	open	—	07-01 05:44
Trump out as President by June 30?	15	$801	395	416	-21	open	—	06-13 04:51
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	52	$742	335	412	-77	open	—	06-11 04:15
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	28	$726	529	210	+319	open	—	05-20 20:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	34	$706	450	269	+181	open	—	05-20 22:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	41	$630	316	349	-33	open	—	08-06 11:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	11	$551	284	284	+0	open	—	08-12 00:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	10	$535	239	383	-144	open	—	06-11 17:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	33	$467	393	84	+309	open	—	07-01 23:57
iran closes its airspace by june 8	10	$409	410	0	+410	open	—	06-08 03:24
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	10	$393	197	197	+0	open	—	05-29 20:42
ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	8	$386	364	364	+0	open	—	07-10 19:07
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	17	$338	342	0	+342	open	—	07-04 03:33
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	11	$333	336	0	+336	open	—	06-09 21:54
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	8	$326	328	0	+328	open	—	08-09 22:11
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	13	$325	328	0	+328	open	—	07-01 17:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	8	$325	328	0	+328	open	—	07-03 06:06
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	8	$324	328	0	+328	open	—	07-08 04:25
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	9	$324	330	0	+330	open	—	07-01 14:26
new stranger things episode released by july 31	10	$323	326	0	+326	open	—	07-10 02:33
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	8	$323	328	0	+328	open	—	07-03 06:49
ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	8	$322	408	0	+408	open	—	08-08 23:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	10	$322	663	0	+663	open	—	08-10 14:11
ufc gcanut car24 2026 08 08	8	$321	472	0	+472	open	—	08-08 16:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$320	0	327	-327	open	—	06-01 13:40
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	16	$319	326	0	+326	open	—	05-20 15:21
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	42	$317	320	0	+320	open	—	06-18 17:16
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	14	$314	317	0	+317	open	—	06-09 18:58
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	8	$309	312	0	+312	open	—	06-08 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:02:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x9bab38…
08-12 00:56:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	284	98¢	$278	0xdfaf1c…
08-11 17:00:57	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x15be83…
08-11 11:12:37	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x07efde…
08-10 19:37:13	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x4cab60…
08-10 19:34:57	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xec65a9…
08-10 14:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	86	47¢	$40	0x73fda8…
08-10 13:17:06	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x26d40f…
08-10 07:06:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0xc9efcc…
08-10 05:20:48	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0x9412a4…
08-10 05:02:51	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe87b91…
08-10 03:29:10	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2fa670…
08-09 22:35:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x8b554a…
08-09 22:35:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xc8b980…
08-09 22:16:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xcd7587…
08-09 22:13:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	84	48¢	$40	0xfd2c32…
08-09 22:11:28	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x0b6f91…
08-09 21:58:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x20dd1b…
08-09 21:42:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x71b6e6…
08-09 21:22:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0xc2784c…
08-09 20:35:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x03d9f1…
08-09 16:27:24	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xddfdbb…
08-09 15:35:37	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xdbde5c…
08-09 10:54:18	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0523bb…
08-09 10:49:07	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xfac4a3…
08-09 03:00:52	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf61d07…
08-09 00:34:04	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x464f90…
08-08 23:10:33	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xc6be35…
08-08 17:30:34	ufc die bil1 2026 08 08	Billy Quarantillo	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x49a6c8…
08-08 16:57:46	lisa cook out as fed governor by october 31 20260807204638264	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x436a2f…
08-08 16:56:12	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xc79f4d…
08-08 16:47:12	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x5303b4…
08-08 16:45:33	ufc gcanut car24 2026 08 08	Carol Foro	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x64beeb…
08-08 16:39:54	ufc bru13 diy 2026 08 08	Bruno Lopes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x793efe…
08-08 05:54:21	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x9473f4…
08-07 20:50:39	Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfebaf1…
08-07 20:14:51	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb99fec…
08-06 14:03:14	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xe992d8…
08-06 11:23:17	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	349	96¢	$336	0xd5289a…
08-06 08:41:45	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xddf5de…
08-06 08:41:36	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x2c9615…
08-06 08:41:03	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x14f931…
08-06 08:40:50	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4857dd…
08-06 08:36:42	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x8c108e…
08-06 08:36:05	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x135d4b…
08-06 08:35:54	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x590a5c…
08-06 07:44:48	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x75f2db…
08-06 07:23:57	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x5a2416…
07-17 22:21:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xb2ba73…
07-14 12:51:08	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x905b70…
07-14 12:39:13	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xa47935…
07-14 10:42:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0xc83f54…
07-14 09:18:44	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x2c1b8a…
07-14 09:14:55	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xab219c…
07-14 09:07:25	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xefed28…
07-14 09:07:25	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xed0503…
07-14 09:07:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd2265a…
07-14 09:07:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8e27d5…
07-14 09:07:20	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3c3083…
07-14 08:00:17	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xa6a12c…
07-14 07:55:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xa7e33a…
07-14 07:46:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x85e11e…
07-14 07:39:02	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9b2073…
07-14 05:24:14	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7e511f…
07-14 05:12:50	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xa04066…
07-13 22:54:50	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x480fa3…
07-13 20:24:49	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xdfe1ca…
07-13 10:40:50	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa01c0d…
07-13 06:02:17	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4d1117…
07-13 05:58:58	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xb330b7…
07-13 05:58:08	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xa1b8f4…
07-13 05:57:40	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xced027…
07-13 05:57:22	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x672581…
07-13 04:18:37	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xb8e9b5…
07-13 01:40:07	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb4d158…
07-13 01:40:07	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1829b9…
07-13 01:15:25	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xde7ec1…
07-12 17:35:28	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x0d4e89…
07-12 14:43:25	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x1cf695…
07-12 13:43:35	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x920b80…
07-12 13:43:25	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x861ba7…
07-12 13:43:25	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x1a3810…
07-12 13:43:23	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0x656f7a…
07-12 12:25:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe4d8ca…
07-12 12:09:02	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6d28f7…
07-12 12:08:01	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xeb3b58…
07-12 12:07:16	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x71897a…
07-12 12:07:11	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4ce821…
07-12 06:51:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5dca2f…
07-12 04:30:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0xed736a…
07-12 02:48:10	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xcd1863…
07-12 02:47:55	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0xad1148…
07-12 02:47:19	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x8fdf8e…
07-12 02:47:01	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xaa5caf…
07-12 02:46:44	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Cory Sandhagen	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0x56722a…
07-12 02:46:44	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4231c3…
07-12 02:46:26	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x15e8af…
07-12 02:46:11	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xd3f6bc…
07-12 02:45:56	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x9792e0…
07-12 02:45:41	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xbeb288…