Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
4,999
lifetime
Volume
$51.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$4.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 06-09 22:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
74%
Other
12% 100% +$0
Politics
10%
Tech
3%
Sports
1% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 880 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -380 $-372 99¢ $-376 $-4 06-04 00:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -327 $-320 99¢ $-322 $-2 06-01 13:40
Trump out as President by June 30? No -323 $-318 99¢ $-321 $-2 06-04 00:57
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +317 $314 99¢ $314 +$0 06-09 18:58
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +316 $294 94¢ $297 +$3 05-30 00:37
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +297 $292 99¢ $295 +$2 06-06 22:32
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +295 $292 99¢ $293 +$1 06-06 18:12
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +230 $227 99¢ $228 +$0 06-08 11:08
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +219 $204 94¢ $205 +$1 06-09 08:34
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -190 $-189 99¢ $-189 +$1 06-09 20:48
Chirayu Rana divorced? No +133 $132 99¢ $132 +$1 06-06 20:08
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +128 $112 88¢ $113 +$1 06-09 19:17
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No +99 $96 99¢ $98 +$2 06-09 19:24
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +92 $91 99¢ $91 +$0 06-06 05:46
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +88 $81 92¢ $81 +$0 06-07 18:46
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +82 $81 99¢ $81 $-0 06-09 12:29
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +63 $58 92¢ $58 $-0 06-09 20:54
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +53 $53 99¢ $53 +$0 06-05 21:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -60 $-52 86¢ $-52 +$0 06-09 19:57
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +51 $51 99¢ $50 $-0 06-08 14:05
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -49 $-49 100¢ $-49 $-0 06-04 13:55
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +51 $47 92¢ $47 +$0 06-08 09:40
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +47 $45 99¢ $47 +$2 06-03 06:59
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +44 $40 92¢ $41 +$1 06-07 18:56
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +41 $41 99¢ $41 +$0 06-06 11:46
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +41 $40 98¢ $40 $-0 06-07 21:38
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +41 $39 98¢ $40 +$1 06-08 14:23
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No +31 $31 99¢ $31 +$0 06-04 22:32
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 06-09 16:08
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-05 18:53