Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
5,379
lifetime
Volume
$55.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.69K
23 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 07-01 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
67%
Other
17% 100% +$0
Politics
11%
Tech
4%
Sports
1% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +316 $294 95¢ $299 +$5 05-30 00:37
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +248 $243 97¢ $241 $-2 07-01 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +219 $204 94¢ $206 +$2 06-09 08:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -191 $-170 94¢ $-179 $-9 06-11 17:15
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +128 $112 92¢ $118 +$5 06-09 19:17
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +114 $113 100¢ $114 +$1 06-18 14:08
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +88 $81 91¢ $80 $-1 06-07 18:46
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +80 $74 92¢ $74 $-0 07-01 06:20
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -81 $-74 89¢ $-72 +$2 06-20 18:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +66 $66 100¢ $65 $-1 07-01 17:32
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +51 $47 96¢ $49 +$2 06-08 09:40
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +55 $47 86¢ $48 +$0 06-25 08:07
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 06-17 21:41
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +29 $27 92¢ $27 $-0 06-23 15:26
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +53 $26 50¢ $26 +$0 06-23 16:33
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 +$0 06-12 12:51
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? No +9 $9 98¢ $9 +$0 06-25 06:07
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +7 $6 99¢ $7 +$1 06-21 15:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 06-25 00:20
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 06-21 16:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +7 $7 94¢ $7 +$0 06-23 17:44
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 07-01 15:01
Obama arrested before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-23 17:31