Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
5,674
lifetime
Volume
$62.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.88K
27 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 07-17 22:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
61%
Other
19% 100% +$0
Politics
14%
Sports
4% 100% +$4
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +316 $294 96¢ $303 +$8 05-30 00:37
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +242 $216 90¢ $219 +$3 07-10 03:35
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +219 $204 94¢ $207 +$3 06-09 08:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -191 $-170 94¢ $-180 $-11 06-11 17:15
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +163 $153 95¢ $155 +$2 07-14 07:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +158 $152 97¢ $154 +$2 07-12 00:54
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +88 $81 92¢ $81 +$0 06-07 18:46
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +84 $78 96¢ $81 +$3 07-14 09:14
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +85 $78 93¢ $79 +$0 07-02 02:07
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -81 $-74 89¢ $-72 +$2 06-20 18:33
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +60 $56 95¢ $57 +$1 07-09 12:52
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +60 $56 92¢ $56 $-0 07-14 12:39
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? No +43 $41 99¢ $43 +$2 07-08 10:41
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 06-17 21:41
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +29 $27 93¢ $27 +$0 06-23 15:26
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +53 $26 50¢ $26 +$0 06-23 16:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +49 $18 40¢ $19 +$1 07-14 10:42
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 $-0 07-12 17:35
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -14 $-16 98¢ $-14 +$2 07-04 23:43
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +13 $12 96¢ $12 +$1 06-12 12:51
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026? No +9 $9 99¢ $9 +$0 06-25 06:07
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 88¢ $7 +$1 07-14 05:12
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +7 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 07-14 09:18
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 06-21 16:41
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +7 $7 94¢ $7 +$0 07-11 19:31
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-04 19:06
Obama arrested before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 06-23 17:31