Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
4,999
lifetime
Volume
$51.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$4.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 06-09 22:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
74%
—
—
Other
12%
100%
+$0
Politics
10%
—
—
Tech
3%
—
—
Sports
1%
100%
+$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk
• peak 880 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | 28 | $726 | 529 | 210 | +319 | open | — | 05-20 20:52 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 34 | $706 | 450 | 269 | +181 | open | — | 05-20 22:21 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | 42 | $630 | 222 | 412 | -190 | open | — | 06-09 20:48 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | 5 | $502 | 93 | 416 | -323 | open | — | 06-04 00:57 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 9 | $417 | 239 | 252 | -13 | open | — | 06-09 19:57 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | 10 | $414 | 420 | 0 | +420 | open | — | 06-06 22:32 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 8 | 10 | $409 | 410 | 0 | +410 | open | — | 06-08 03:24 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026? | 10 | $393 | 197 | 197 | +0 | open | — | 05-29 20:42 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | 1 | $372 | 0 | 380 | -380 | open | — | 06-04 00:40 |
| spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t | 11 | $333 | 336 | 0 | +336 | open | — | 06-09 21:54 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | 1 | $320 | 0 | 327 | -327 | open | — | 06-01 13:40 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | 16 | $319 | 326 | 0 | +326 | open | — | 05-20 15:21 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | 14 | $314 | 317 | 0 | +317 | open | — | 06-09 18:58 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | 8 | $309 | 312 | 0 | +312 | open | — | 06-08 11:08 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | 24 | $300 | 305 | 0 | +305 | open | — | 05-20 19:41 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 40 | $294 | 316 | 0 | +316 | open | — | 05-30 00:37 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | 23 | $292 | 295 | 0 | +295 | open | — | 06-06 18:12 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | 8 | $286 | 307 | 0 | +307 | open | — | 06-09 08:34 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | 7 | $269 | 272 | 0 | +272 | open | — | 05-26 08:20 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? | 10 | $253 | 145 | 109 | +36 | open | — | 05-27 20:25 |
| eth updown 15m 1774268100 | 84 | $249 | 498 | 3 | +495 | open | — | 03-23 12:22 |
| eth updown 15m 1774273500 | 25 | $235 | 401 | 171 | +229 | open | — | 03-23 13:55 |
| bitcoin up or down february 12 6am et | 3 | $209 | 110 | 110 | +0 | open | — | 02-12 11:59 |
| btc updown 15m 1770917400 | 8 | $209 | 110 | 110 | +0 | open | — | 02-12 17:44 |
| eth updown 15m 1770900300 | 4 | $208 | 109 | 109 | +0 | open | — | 02-12 12:59 |
| xrp updown 15m 1770892200 | 7 | $208 | 109 | 109 | +0 | open | — | 02-12 10:45 |
| bitcoin up or down on february 12 | 2 | $208 | 109 | 109 | +0 | open | — | 02-12 16:59 |
| bitcoin up or down february 12 12am et | 4 | $205 | 106 | 106 | +0 | open | — | 02-12 05:59 |
| btc updown 15m 1770873300 | 5 | $205 | 106 | 106 | +0 | open | — | 02-12 05:29 |
| xrp updown 15m 1770885900 | 5 | $204 | 105 | 105 | +0 | open | — | 02-12 08:59 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x7164…9db6 | 750 | $325.2K | 49,905 | 04-02 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc | 746 | $18.6K | 2,259 | 04-05 11:40 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | 661 | $1.18K | 2,001 | 04-18 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4543…72d1 | 653 | $359.2K | 47,630 | 03-24 03:13 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | 639 | $692 | 1,835 | 06-10 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76 | 593 | $170.5K | 37,999 | 03-24 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x5487…a014 | 582 | $146.1K | 26,796 | 03-24 03:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba | 580 | $4.40K | 7,883 | 03-14 02:23 |