Private-Backup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$253

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-17 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% 100% +$2

Politics

19% 0% $-2

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	1	$53	0	56	-56	open	—	07-17 20:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$32	0	34	-34	open	—	07-17 20:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-13 16:34
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	04-13 18:39
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$16	0	18	-18	open	—	07-17 20:18
EU dissolves before 2027?	1	$15	0	16	-16	open	—	07-17 20:19
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$11	0	11	-11	open	—	01-23 23:17
Nothing Ever Happens: May	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-08 09:25
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	0	11	-11	open	—	07-17 20:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$9	20	5	+15	open	—	01-10 11:10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	1	$8	0	9	-9	open	—	07-17 20:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$8	0	11	-11	open	—	07-17 20:20
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	07-17 20:20
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	07-17 20:20
russia strike on kyiv municipality by december 31 684	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-01 09:58
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-06 06:12
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	07-17 20:19
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-01 10:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-06 06:16
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 16:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	$-2	04-06 06:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 20:20:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xb1906d…
07-17 20:20:30	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x1b278f…
07-17 20:20:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xc06ab2…
07-17 20:20:06	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xd8c517…
07-17 20:19:57	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x4bcde1…
07-17 20:19:18	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x3ae887…
07-17 20:19:04	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x4112c8…
07-17 20:18:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x8d9890…
07-17 20:18:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xe595d0…
07-17 20:02:37	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xbf0942…
05-08 09:25:56	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8f1198…
04-17 13:20:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xb13c04…
04-13 18:39:17	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x8c44ac…
04-13 16:37:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9feabb…
04-13 16:34:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x238358…
04-12 19:11:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x296254…
04-06 06:16:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x241636…
04-06 06:14:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x64ffc8…
04-06 06:13:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf20651…
04-06 06:12:35	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52831c…
01-23 23:17:32	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x95191b…
01-10 11:10:20	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa414d5…
01-10 11:09:54	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x7cdf1b…
01-01 10:46:35	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x4f867b…
01-01 10:26:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x12aeeb…
01-01 09:58:51	russia strike on kyiv municipality by december 31 684	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x877804…