Strong-Visual 0x168fd7…249e00
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
55
lifetime
Volume
$980
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$878
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69% — —
Politics
29% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No -166 $-131 82¢ $-135 $-4 05-05 03:26
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? No -154 $-127 77¢ $-118 +$9 05-05 20:12
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? No -179 $-131 64¢ $-114 +$17 05-05 10:40
Will the Republican Party win the CA-18 House seat? No -92 $-87 94¢ $-87 +$0 05-05 03:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -138 $-72 63¢ $-87 $-15 05-05 02:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -325 $-78 24¢ $-78 +$0 05-05 12:35
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? No -92 $-59 64¢ $-59 $-0 05-06 00:23
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? No -36 $-31 86¢ $-31 +$0 05-05 19:51
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes -250 $-30 11¢ $-28 +$2 05-05 04:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May? Yes -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-1 05-05 04:14
Will Carter Jensen win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 05-05 00:24
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-1 05-05 03:00
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No -20 $-18 90¢ $-18 $-0 05-06 00:53
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? No -20 $-18 90¢ $-18 +$0 05-05 15:04
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -33 $-15 36¢ $-12 +$3 05-05 14:10
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes -26 $-8 29¢ $-7 +$0 05-05 04:25
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -278 $-3 3¢ $-7 $-4 05-04 21:59
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes -40 $-4 11¢ $-4 +$0 05-05 21:40
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May? Yes -100 $-6 4¢ $-4 +$2 05-05 13:20
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $8.50 in May? Yes -50 $-2 6¢ $-3 $-0 05-05 03:10
Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes -20 $-3 11¢ $-2 +$1 05-05 02:05
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No -283 $-39 1¢ $-2 +$37 05-05 09:11
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-1 8¢ $-2 $-0 05-04 23:29
Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa? No -92 $-1 2¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 14:05
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No -2 $-1 66¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 00:39
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -14 $-1 8¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 19:14
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 NL West title? Yes -20 $-0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-06 00:08
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? No -4 $-0 8¢ $-0 $-0 05-05 00:24