Realized P&L
-$920
Unrealized P&L
-$165
Hit rate
0.7%
Resolved
139
Trades
11,460
lifetime
Volume
$594.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$1.27K
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 06-11 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
54% 3% $-513
Politics
33% 8% $-394
Tech
7% 0%
Sports
3% 0% $-11
Crypto
2% 20% $-2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 337 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No +305 $257 80¢ $243 $-14 06-09 08:57
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No -233 $-200 97¢ $-225 $-26 05-30 00:03
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July? No -168 $-153 89¢ $-150 +$3 06-03 05:11
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No -128 $-100 86¢ $-109 $-10 06-01 03:58
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? No +105 $103 92¢ $97 $-7 06-02 05:39
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +338 $120 26¢ $88 $-32 06-10 21:27
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +195 $88 32¢ $61 $-27 06-11 05:55
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -57 $-53 98¢ $-56 $-2 06-09 11:38
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -54 $-43 82¢ $-45 $-1 06-02 02:53
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +40 $41 96¢ $38 $-3 06-02 18:51
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? No -30 $-26 99¢ $-30 $-3 05-28 23:33
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? No +124 $43 20¢ $25 $-18 06-10 18:23
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +400 $24 $24 +$0 06-10 00:37
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes -50 $-14 48¢ $-24 $-10 06-08 21:26
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-18 56¢ $-19 $-1 06-09 20:37
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -400 $-12 $-11 +$1 06-05 07:42
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 06-11 22:55
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No -26 $-5 18¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 04:45
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes +44 $8 10¢ $4 $-4 06-06 06:29
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +20 $3 12¢ $2 $-0 06-03 17:46
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $5 12¢ $2 $-2 06-11 19:29
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 $-1 05-31 12:24
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-07 09:18
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +1 $2 80¢ $1 $-2 06-08 20:45
Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30? Yes +18 $4 $1 $-4 06-05 00:37
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +2 $1 $0 $-0 06-07 08:06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in May? Yes -100 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-29 20:38
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027? No +0 $0 11¢ $0 $-0 06-10 15:20
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? Yes +0 $4 $0 $-4 06-07 16:18