Realized P&L
-$920
Unrealized P&L
-$203
Hit rate
0.7%
Resolved
139
Trades
17,216
lifetime
Volume
$817.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$986
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 06-28 17:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
50% 3% $-513
Politics
31% 8% $-394
Sports
7% 0% $-11
Tech
7% 0%
Crypto
4% 20% $-2
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 621 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No -128 $-97 91¢ $-116 $-19 06-15 19:27
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? Avengers: Doomsday +109 $156 96¢ $105 $-52 06-25 11:17
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? No +106 $88 93¢ $99 +$10 06-25 22:32
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +93 $83 87¢ $81 $-2 06-13 23:48
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +110 $67 64¢ $70 +$3 06-25 11:31
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +117 $87 58¢ $68 $-19 06-23 17:28
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? No +81 $67 78¢ $63 $-4 06-26 15:17
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -57 $-53 98¢ $-56 $-3 06-09 11:38
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -54 $-43 88¢ $-48 $-4 06-02 02:53
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +40 $41 97¢ $39 $-2 06-02 18:51
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +34 $33 95¢ $32 $-1 06-26 02:08
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +220 $68 14¢ $30 $-39 06-28 16:59
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-18 70¢ $-23 $-5 06-09 20:37
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +298 $30 $22 $-8 06-25 03:23
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes +400 $24 $22 $-2 06-10 00:37
Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +28 $21 74¢ $21 $-0 06-26 05:42
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -400 $-12 $-15 $-2 06-12 11:19
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +30 $15 46¢ $14 $-2 06-28 15:59
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +20 $15 68¢ $14 $-2 06-25 06:54
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +187 $46 $13 $-33 06-26 14:40
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +25 $14 49¢ $12 $-2 06-28 10:40
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $10 11¢ $7 $-2 06-28 12:35
Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +6 $11 99¢ $6 $-5 06-25 03:46
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? SpaceX -4 $-3 97¢ $-4 $-0 06-13 02:41
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +20 $3 $2 $-1 06-03 17:46
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes +18 $3 $1 $-1 06-14 18:47
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -20 $5 $-1 $-6 06-25 12:21
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-31 12:24
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-16 01:05
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +1 $2 93¢ $1 $-2 06-27 23:32