Strong-Visual — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$920

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.7%

Resolved

139

Trades

17,216

lifetime

Volume

$817.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 06-28 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

50% 3% $-513

Politics

31% 8% $-394

Sports

7% 0% $-11

Tech

7% 0% —

Crypto

4% 20% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 621 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by May 31?	17	$6.0K	3,400	3,400	+0	open	—	05-26 14:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	36	$5.8K	4,892	4,892	+0	open	—	05-14 11:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	38	$5.6K	5,797	5,797	+0	open	—	05-26 22:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	15	$4.3K	3,328	2,400	+928	open	—	06-24 10:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	26	$4.3K	3,100	3,100	+0	open	—	04-25 20:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	19	$4.3K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	05-11 06:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	135	$4.2K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	04-25 13:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	23	$4.0K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	05-26 08:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	15	$3.8K	2,526	2,526	+0	open	—	05-19 19:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	16	$3.5K	2,378	2,378	+0	open	—	06-12 10:59
will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	12	$3.2K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	06-11 05:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$3.0K	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	06-10 02:52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	23	$3.0K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	04-19 16:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$3.0K	1,792	1,792	+0	open	—	06-26 20:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	12	$2.9K	2,317	2,317	+0	open	—	06-25 16:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	10	$2.9K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	$-26	04-22 07:26
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	13	$2.7K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	04-26 07:09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	39	$2.7K	3,438	3,438	+0	open	—	04-25 10:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	10	$2.6K	1,650	1,650	+0	open	—	05-18 00:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	19	$2.6K	2,530	2,530	+0	open	—	06-13 03:55
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	10	$2.6K	1,876	1,876	+0	open	—	04-24 02:11
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	16	$2.5K	2,439	2,439	+0	open	—	04-25 15:13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	8	$2.4K	1,984	1,984	+0	open	—	05-11 15:33
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	9	$2.4K	1,430	1,430	+0	open	—	06-22 00:11
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	18	$2.4K	2,475	3,075	-600	open	—	06-26 15:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	6	$2.3K	1,595	1,595	+0	open	—	06-11 04:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	6	$2.3K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	04-18 23:07
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	8	$2.3K	1,820	1,820	+0	open	—	06-11 01:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	12	$2.2K	1,667	1,667	+0	open	—	05-31 13:43
will apyx launch a token by september 30 2026	9	$2.2K	1,239	1,239	+0	open	—	06-25 14:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 17:12:29	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x1e279f…
06-28 17:12:28	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	70	65¢	$46	0xb78bcf…
06-28 17:12:26	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	53	65¢	$34	0xe3e514…
06-28 17:12:25	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xe804d7…
06-28 17:08:14	will wti dip to 50 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x69a6cf…
06-28 17:08:11	will wti dip to 50 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcea8dd…
06-28 17:03:40	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	91	64¢	$58	0x5fed13…
06-28 17:03:37	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	80	65¢	$52	0xe229e1…
06-28 17:03:31	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	366	67¢	$245	0x717eba…
06-28 16:59:01	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	150	15¢	$22	0xca638e…
06-28 16:44:37	will 9 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228794	No	SELL	290	84¢	$244	0xaa9ac6…
06-28 16:44:17	will 9 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228794	No	BUY	290	85¢	$246	0x9fd71b…
06-28 16:25:46	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	349	1¢	$5	0x171faa…
06-28 16:25:44	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xc23fd0…
06-28 16:25:41	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x75b6f0…
06-28 16:25:40	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	196	2¢	$4	0x2c0af3…
06-28 16:25:37	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$13	0x8b6dc7…
06-28 15:59:35	Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x0ead86…
06-28 15:57:19	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	95	15¢	$14	0xcf3785…
06-28 15:36:46	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xaef4f7…
06-28 15:03:50	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	95	4¢	$3	0xa637df…
06-28 15:03:49	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x2d499c…
06-28 15:03:44	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x403a12…
06-28 15:03:43	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xcae0d5…
06-28 15:03:41	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x29e406…
06-28 15:03:01	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	245	4¢	$11	0xf24336…
06-28 14:57:56	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x5c906d…
06-28 14:57:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	600	91¢	$546	0x89c4a4…
06-28 14:56:53	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	600	92¢	$552	0x60e888…
06-28 14:43:25	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044260	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x0e4a0d…
06-28 14:39:59	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xbe7582…
06-28 14:39:56	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xa6456c…
06-28 14:39:55	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x046137…
06-28 14:39:52	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xd6566f…
06-28 14:38:44	will senegal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149742	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xa45f40…
06-28 14:38:22	will senegal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149742	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x822a28…
06-28 14:22:55	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 115 mph 20260626193609219	Yes	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0x0a7651…
06-28 14:22:53	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 115 mph 20260626193609219	Yes	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0xa2c19f…
06-28 14:00:46	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0xf52b7f…
06-28 14:00:34	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$25	0x81da4f…
06-28 13:54:41	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	36	94¢	$33	0x9df1da…
06-28 13:54:40	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	96	94¢	$90	0xf5b2be…
06-28 13:54:38	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	42	94¢	$39	0x1280e1…
06-28 13:54:37	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x85d7f3…
06-28 13:54:35	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9aacff…
06-28 13:54:32	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x4dfee2…
06-28 13:54:31	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	129	94¢	$122	0xc41650…
06-28 13:54:14	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	343	94¢	$323	0x8ee36e…
06-28 13:47:46	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xcdfe4c…
06-28 13:47:43	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x6d7505…
06-28 13:36:52	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x2a8171…
06-28 13:36:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x32ad92…
06-28 13:26:26	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x580417…
06-28 13:26:19	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfdd9c9…
06-28 13:17:19	jd vance out as vp by july 31 20260626154902197	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x3e706b…
06-28 13:16:53	jd vance out as vp by july 31 20260626154902197	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x692de1…
06-28 13:08:07	xi meets with lee jae myung by july 31 20260626183415029	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x830b94…
06-28 13:08:04	xi meets with lee jae myung by july 31 20260626183415029	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x5ea02b…
06-28 12:58:53	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xc85af2…
06-28 12:58:53	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x353ed4…
06-28 12:58:50	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xe2e8f8…
06-28 12:58:31	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xcc0dfd…
06-28 12:58:31	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x4afe13…
06-28 12:58:29	Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0xc633df…
06-28 12:50:41	meloni out as prime minister of italy by december 31	No	SELL	144	87¢	$125	0xf4a62c…
06-28 12:50:38	meloni out as prime minister of italy by december 31	No	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0x366c09…
06-28 12:49:56	meloni out as prime minister of italy by december 31	No	BUY	201	92¢	$185	0x2ec8a5…
06-28 12:37:53	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	275	2¢	$6	0x40f8e9…
06-28 12:37:52	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x52dc55…
06-28 12:37:49	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe7987d…
06-28 12:37:47	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xfff3b2…
06-28 12:37:46	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x02dce9…
06-28 12:37:43	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x63c672…
06-28 12:37:41	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x80e5b6…
06-28 12:37:40	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x41e108…
06-28 12:37:38	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x132879…
06-28 12:37:37	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xddc4d9…
06-28 12:37:11	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0x8b0026…
06-28 12:35:58	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	8¢	$11	0x1c9e6a…
06-28 12:35:53	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0x739f73…
06-28 12:35:44	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	10¢	$24	0x143cbc…
06-28 12:27:40	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xce2f19…
06-28 12:19:10	will trump speak to luiz inacio lula da silva in july 20260626154217439	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x5c96bf…
06-28 12:18:43	will trump speak to luiz inacio lula da silva in july 20260626154217439	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x49a692…
06-28 12:07:11	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x7ca4e7…
06-28 12:01:13	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x57c8e0…
06-28 11:57:19	Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	7¢	$2	0xbbbb01…
06-28 11:54:37	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x87639b…
06-28 11:50:50	Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	90¢	$42	0xb3ba60…
06-28 11:50:43	Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0xc489e8…
06-28 11:48:10	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x617e3a…
06-28 11:45:37	Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0xed854a…
06-28 11:45:32	Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xc61256…
06-28 11:44:41	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x999bac…
06-28 11:44:34	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xca28f1…
06-28 11:41:59	Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xdeb45e…
06-28 11:41:53	Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x6d61ca…
06-28 11:39:29	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xbe2e78…
06-28 11:39:11	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x1fd250…
06-28 11:31:50	will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xc138f5…