Realized P&L (7d)
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
70
70 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.16K
$1.16K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 07:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
70% 0% $-1
Politics
29%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No -166 $-131 81¢ $-135 $-4 05-05 03:26
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? No -179 $-131 66¢ $-118 +$13 05-05 10:40
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? No -154 $-127 77¢ $-118 +$9 05-05 20:12
Will the Republican Party win the CA-18 House seat? No -92 $-87 94¢ $-87 +$0 05-05 03:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -138 $-72 62¢ $-86 $-14 05-05 02:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -325 $-78 24¢ $-78 +$0 05-05 12:35
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? No -92 $-59 64¢ $-59 $-0 05-06 00:23
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m? No -85 $-60 57¢ $-49 +$11 05-06 05:25
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No -68 $-46 68¢ $-46 $-1 05-06 04:04
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May? Yes -58 $-28 62¢ $-36 $-7 05-06 07:09
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? No -36 $-31 86¢ $-31 +$0 05-05 19:51
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes -250 $-30 11¢ $-28 +$2 05-05 04:35
Will Carter Jensen win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 05-05 00:24
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-1 05-05 03:00
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? No -20 $-18 90¢ $-18 $-0 05-06 00:53
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -400 $-19 $-18 +$1 05-06 01:39
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? No -20 $-18 90¢ $-18 +$0 05-05 15:04
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No -33 $-15 46¢ $-15 $-0 05-05 14:10
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes -400 $-52 $-13 +$39 05-05 19:26
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? No -20 $-13 66¢ $-13 $-0 05-06 01:28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes -50 $-9 18¢ $-9 $-0 05-06 05:04
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes -26 $-8 30¢ $-8 $-0 05-05 04:25
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -278 $-3 $-8 $-4 05-04 21:59
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes -40 $-4 11¢ $-4 +$0 05-05 21:40
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May? Yes -100 $-6 $-4 +$2 05-05 13:20
Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election? No -100 $-3 $-3 $-0 05-06 04:40
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $8.50 in May? Yes -50 $-2 $-3 $-0 05-05 03:10
Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes -20 $-3 10¢ $-2 +$1 05-05 02:05
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No -283 $-39 $-2 +$37 05-05 09:11
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-1 $-2 $-0 05-04 23:29