U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
open
Total volume
$8,243
Trades
244
Unique wallets
109
Liquidity
$15,465
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-30 16:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $8 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $20 | $447 | $427 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $8 | $116 | $108 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 61 | $26 | $493 | $467 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $4 | $447 | $444 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $6 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Median | 18 | — | $200 | $200 |
| Below median | 12 | $4 | $33 | $28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $2 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $19 | $43 | $25 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $4 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| unranked | 40 | $22 | $343 | $321 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +843 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-22 16:22 |
| Somber-Creativity 0x69ea…15cd | No | +462 | $447 | $447 | 1 | 06-04 04:04 |
| Bitter-Cartoon 0xa0bc…d428 | No | +300 | $288 | $288 | 1 | 06-02 09:03 |
| True-Adaptation 0x0013…3c30 | Yes | +250 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 23:23 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +183 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-16 12:36 |
| Reliable-Airman 0xb04a…acfc | No | +180 | $173 | $173 | 1 | 06-02 09:03 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-04 04:04 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +80 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 06-02 09:03 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +68 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-16 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdd6…b6f5 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 06-01 16:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +52 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 22:57 |
| Advanced-Document 0x9fc0…cb4b | No | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 06-04 04:04 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +45 | $-0 | $9 | 11 | 06-30 16:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xe56a…6bd0 | No | +44 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 06-04 06:47 |
| Rosy-Zither 0x8086…4b0a | No | +34 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-13 04:21 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +31 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-16 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-06 14:11 |
| Full-Capability 0x5d14…f8bd | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-04 04:04 |
| Aggravating-Ziggurat 0x3c4f…b2be | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 22:59 |
| Probable-Pup 0x569e…fdab | Yes | +22 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 05-30 08:52 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-30 08:52 |
| Even-Bidder 0xd130…9b13 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 15:07 |
| Repentant-Youth 0xa091…5765 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-29 14:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 04:04 |
| Unfit-Boutique 0xd0b7…fa4b | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-02 09:03 |
| Upbeat-Saucer 0x7a65…36ab | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-03 18:48 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 04:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa3a…4ff0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x73c0…308d | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-06 12:39 |
| Great-Shift 0xa594…cc22 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 04:04 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xeecc…807e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 04:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb034…179f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 04:06 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +1 | $0 | $110 | 6 | 06-14 10:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 16:51:16 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | No | SELL | 487 | 100¢ | $486 | 0xa8a773… |
| 06-30 16:51:16 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 487 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8a773… |
| 06-30 13:23:01 | Competent-Storey 0xb56c…8567 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xf0d9ca… |
| 06-30 13:23:01 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0d9ca… |
| 06-30 09:17:40 | Junior-Eagle 0xef01…1359 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x00512a… |
| 06-30 09:17:40 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x00512a… |
| 06-30 01:40:37 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x578a6a… |
| 06-30 01:40:37 | (anonymous) 0x8584…bbe4 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x578a6a… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Dual-Recession 0x9680…f6a8 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | First-Vintage 0x1c9f…6ada | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Grouchy-Share 0x519a…42bc | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Unknown-Decongestant 0xf0d1…a7ab | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Raw-Plight 0x1934…28a5 | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Variable-Tangerine 0x1964…d43e | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Dependent-Antler 0x2e69…908e | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Unfolded-Inhibitor 0x3880…3649 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Plaintive-Gymnast 0xba16…d4ec | No | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 260 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | Loathsome-Unibody 0x7d0e…2ace | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-30 00:29:19 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e4102… |
| 06-29 20:48:31 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x5c11de… |
| 06-29 20:48:31 | Junior-Eagle 0xef01…1359 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x5c11de… |
| 06-29 17:41:17 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xeec621… |
| 06-29 17:41:17 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xeec621… |
| 06-29 17:41:17 | Usable-Steam 0x107b…7cb0 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xeec621… |
| 06-29 15:02:17 | Grouchy-Share 0x519a…42bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0e914e… |
| 06-29 15:02:17 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0e914e… |
| 06-29 14:21:08 | Repentant-Youth 0xa091…5765 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x45cd54… |
| 06-29 14:21:08 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x45cd54… |
| 06-29 14:11:32 | Dependent-Antler 0x2e69…908e | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x07be0a… |
| 06-29 14:11:32 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x07be0a… |
| 06-29 06:56:56 | Competent-Storey 0xb56c…8567 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x1e6451… |
| 06-29 06:56:56 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x1e6451… |
| 06-29 05:01:31 | Loathsome-Unibody 0x7d0e…2ace | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x42d7bc… |
| 06-29 05:01:31 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x42d7bc… |
| 06-29 04:52:08 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9480ae… |
| 06-29 04:52:08 | (anonymous) 0x3e7d…7f5c | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x9480ae… |
| 06-29 02:48:20 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x70fde3… |
| 06-29 02:48:20 | Dual-Recession 0x9680…f6a8 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x70fde3… |
| 06-29 01:38:28 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x1bd2d3… |
| 06-29 01:38:28 | Unfolded-Inhibitor 0x3880…3649 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x1bd2d3… |
| 06-28 23:12:05 | Unknown-Decongestant 0xf0d1…a7ab | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x3948a4… |
| 06-28 23:12:05 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x3948a4… |
| 06-28 21:21:55 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x85cbf7… |
| 06-28 21:21:55 | First-Vintage 0x1c9f…6ada | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x85cbf7… |
| 06-28 21:21:55 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x85cbf7… |
| 06-28 20:44:25 | Variable-Tangerine 0x1964…d43e | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xa06fb2… |
| 06-28 20:44:25 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xa06fb2… |
| 06-28 19:33:01 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x6fea60… |
| 06-28 19:33:01 | Plaintive-Gymnast 0xba16…d4ec | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x6fea60… |
| 06-28 17:33:11 | Raw-Plight 0x1934…28a5 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xb0e06b… |
| 06-28 17:33:11 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xb0e06b… |
| 06-28 14:10:58 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x07ba72… |
| 06-28 14:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x07ba72… |
| 06-28 03:26:28 | (anonymous) 0x3e7d…7f5c | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xb66ede… |
| 06-28 03:26:28 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xb66ede… |
| 06-25 12:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x386034… |
| 06-25 12:59:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x386034… |
| 06-24 16:48:08 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x192d69… |
| 06-24 16:48:08 | (anonymous) 0x7f29…0760 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x192d69… |
| 06-23 08:39:59 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 252 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9f522a… |
| 06-23 08:39:59 | Classic-Parallelogram 0xce4d…d0e2 | No | SELL | 252 | 100¢ | $252 | 0x9f522a… |
| 06-22 16:22:43 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 843 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xf02c55… |
| 06-22 16:22:43 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 730 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xf02c55… |
| 06-22 16:22:43 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 113 | 100¢ | $113 | 0xf02c55… |
| 06-22 09:01:37 | (anonymous) 0x6349…f99c | No | SELL | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x32bd78… |
| 06-22 09:01:37 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x32bd78… |
| 06-22 01:43:50 | (anonymous) 0x5a3b…b269 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xc6f9d9… |
| 06-22 01:43:50 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xc6f9d9… |
| 06-20 23:23:46 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 230 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfd8dfa… |
| 06-20 23:23:46 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd8dfa… |
| 06-20 23:23:46 | True-Adaptation 0x0013…3c30 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfd8dfa… |
| 06-20 14:17:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x26b901… |
| 06-20 14:17:22 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x26b901… |
| 06-20 01:05:28 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9afc42… |
| 06-20 01:05:28 | Cluttered-Incense 0x4add…8cdf | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x9afc42… |
| 06-18 13:39:52 | Avaricious-Salt 0x19a6…1cec | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x1db9cc… |
| 06-18 13:39:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1db9cc… |
| 06-18 08:00:26 | Specific-Capital 0xc11d…e297 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc89023… |
| 06-18 08:00:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc89023… |
| 06-17 11:29:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d5f53… |
| 06-17 11:29:58 | Funny-Distinction 0xd2de…099b | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x9d5f53… |
| 06-17 10:15:25 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | Yes | SELL | 53 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f7dfe… |
| 06-17 10:15:25 | (anonymous) 0x5a3b…b269 | No | SELL | 53 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x0f7dfe… |
| 06-16 15:17:31 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | Yes | SELL | 79 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb022ac… |
| 06-16 15:17:31 | frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | SELL | 79 | 100¢ | $79 | 0xb022ac… |
| 06-16 14:23:28 | frosique1 0x91c7…b576 | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xa38cee… |
| 06-16 14:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa38cee… |
| 06-16 12:36:18 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x88fbbc… |
| 06-16 12:36:18 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x88fbbc… |
| 06-16 12:36:18 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 1,688 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x88fbbc… |
| 06-16 12:36:18 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x88fbbc… |
| 06-16 12:36:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 85 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x88fbbc… |
| 06-16 12:36:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 183 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88fbbc… |
| 06-16 12:36:18 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 47 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88fbbc… |
| 06-16 12:36:18 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88fbbc… |
| 06-16 12:36:18 | Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4 | Yes | SELL | 2,507 | 0¢ | $7 | 0x88fbbc… |
| 06-15 16:26:33 | (anonymous) 0xaa29…aa7b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b12d8… |