Competent-Storey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

320

Trades

722

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 11-10 00:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

75% 75% +$1

Crypto

19% 74% $0

Politics

3% 54% $0

Sports

2% 45% $0

Tech

0% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	$0	11-10 00:40
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+2	$2	100¢	$2	$0	09-07 00:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on july 16 2026	8	$156	78	78	+0	No	$0	07-16 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26?	5	$94	47	47	+0	No	+$0	05-26 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on June 3?	4	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	06-03 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 4?	3	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-04 04:20
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song this week?	5	$77	38	38	+0	No	+$0	07-03 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-17 06:12
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	4	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	06-01 04:00
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 30?	4	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	05-30 21:26
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	4	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	05-28 00:23
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 16?	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 17:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 26?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-26 11:04
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on June 1?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	06-01 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 25?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-25 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 26?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-25 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 3?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-03 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on May 27?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-27 07:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-30 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 31?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-31 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 16?	4	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 01:19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 25?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-25 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on July 16?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-16 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-19 22:23
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $700b on June 30?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-01 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 16?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-15 18:27
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 25?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-25 09:47
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 28?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-28 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on June 30?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-29 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 4?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-04 09:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 00:40:03	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc4f330…
10-21 03:57:24	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2db89a…
10-11 21:38:07	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xf84e52…
10-09 15:52:22	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd38503…
10-09 15:51:28	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0c57e7…
10-09 15:50:31	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc2256b…
09-20 16:32:55	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfa7768…
09-18 05:06:28	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0e5b3e…
09-11 18:51:06	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x190454…
09-11 00:03:54	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x920185…
09-11 00:02:45	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2b98d9…
09-07 00:16:27	Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x47a346…
08-27 09:36:28	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcdbcde…
08-14 13:15:21	Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x508d5e…
08-08 00:51:24	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x308b25…
07-23 15:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 92°F or higher on July 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9b5a43…
07-23 07:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 23?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x73a3bf…
07-23 06:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 23?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4f157f…
07-23 04:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 92°F or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x169374…
07-22 22:37:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 23?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x11aa47…
07-22 22:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 23?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xff5288…
07-22 22:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x67f8cf…
07-22 22:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf5d9c0…
07-22 22:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcab9a3…
07-22 22:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 23?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdae2ea…
07-22 22:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xa89ebf…
07-22 20:38:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x3c4470…
07-22 17:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4c75a0…
07-22 15:53:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x86e18c…
07-22 10:53:24	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd03135…
07-22 10:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x9c606e…
07-22 05:01:58	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaf0b55…
07-22 04:34:33	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x83b428…
07-22 04:28:07	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa31e23…
07-22 04:26:04	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc7a53d…
07-21 22:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9ece1a…
07-21 21:52:07	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd265d1…
07-21 19:53:34	xrp above 1pt4 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x314edd…
07-21 15:12:40	xrp above 1pt4 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x686601…
07-21 13:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb9dcd4…
07-21 12:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 22?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1519ab…
07-21 11:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x534b15…
07-21 09:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x26766e…
07-21 08:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1e1a98…
07-21 06:37:03	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x742328…
07-21 05:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf315aa…
07-21 03:50:24	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xff6fb2…
07-21 03:44:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd7db44…
07-21 03:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x9f0507…
07-21 03:24:48	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x270d5c…
07-21 03:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcd5fe4…
07-21 00:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe92ea8…
07-20 22:12:10	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5d6b68…
07-20 22:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x84086c…
07-20 20:45:40	ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x95a99e…
07-20 20:09:00	Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 25?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd392cd…
07-20 20:00:36	Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 25?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xada1dd…
07-20 18:34:36	Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb46484…
07-20 13:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb9133f…
07-20 12:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbd2c19…
07-20 09:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc3df33…
07-20 09:00:13	ethereum above 1600 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7db9f9…
07-20 08:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xdf40dc…
07-20 06:02:03	ethereum above 1600 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x38c099…
07-20 04:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C on July 20?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xcb9d4b…
07-20 03:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C on July 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x751829…
07-20 00:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xdeebd3…
07-19 22:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x82fc86…
07-19 21:00:34	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x052ff4…
07-19 20:39:06	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1625c…
07-19 19:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 20?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc60c02…
07-19 15:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3b4cb9…
07-19 13:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 19?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x75e21e…
07-19 09:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc6c4cb…
07-19 07:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9e04fc…
07-19 05:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5b505d…
07-19 05:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 19?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x72d15c…
07-19 04:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe25a7e…
07-19 02:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38268f…
07-19 01:44:09	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3642ad…
07-18 23:37:30	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb22d4a…
07-17 22:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1c4218…
07-17 22:23:21	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mark hubbard	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfc085f…
07-17 21:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30fa4f…
07-17 20:46:15	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 mark hubbard	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x42d0d3…
07-17 16:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0xe7dd47…
07-17 15:23:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x357b90…
07-17 13:30:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xd49156…
07-17 10:56:57	ethereum above 2000 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x344932…
07-17 10:24:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x91b227…
07-17 08:52:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6e1798…
07-17 06:49:15	ethereum above 2000 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xaa1035…
07-17 04:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xc4faac…
07-17 00:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc796e6…
07-16 23:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 17?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd3b906…
07-16 23:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x89f033…
07-16 16:36:29	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x3b4065…
07-16 15:20:31	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xe4b784…
07-16 11:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xebc0c6…
07-16 10:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x731bfb…