Dependent-Antler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

344

Trades

751

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-29 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

75% 77% -$5

Crypto

18% 79% +$0

Sports

3% 50% $0

Politics

3% 55% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	10-28 15:04
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+3	$3	100¢	$3	$0	10-29 09:16
Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	09-12 23:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 5?	4	$93	46	46	+0	No	$0	07-05 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 63°F or below on June 29?	7	$91	46	46	+0	No	+$0	06-29 12:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	5	$81	41	41	+0	No	$0	07-20 22:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 14?	7	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-13 15:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 1?	4	$78	39	39	+0	No	+$0	06-01 22:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 17?	4	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-17 00:39
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 26 be between 90 and 95?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-10 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 6?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-06 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 23?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-22 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or higher on July 4?	7	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-04 11:44
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 27?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-27 17:10
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-30 06:31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 2?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-02 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on May 12?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-11 19:08
bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 10:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-31 20:11
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on June 26?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-25 21:38
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 11?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-11 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 3?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-02 23:14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 8?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-07 23:32
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-19 08:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-17 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-27 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 5?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-05 10:06
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-18 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 30?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-30 01:54
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	01-29 20:46
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 28?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-28 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 18?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-17 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on May 22?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-21 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:16:01	Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7c8282…
10-28 15:04:53	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29303e…
10-27 15:03:48	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x9e7035…
10-13 07:06:19	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc16e14…
10-13 07:05:28	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe0e045…
10-09 22:19:14	Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf88fb9…
09-23 15:12:28	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xfa34fb…
09-12 23:24:00	Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x67d147…
09-04 08:13:13	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb8120e…
08-23 19:13:24	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9795b1…
08-13 21:15:57	Will Jayden Quaintance win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x529fd1…
08-09 23:59:21	Will Jayden Quaintance win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x15a63e…
07-23 18:34:25	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x70239d…
07-23 15:34:31	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x67ffa4…
07-23 08:28:48	xrp above 1pt3 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb05589…
07-23 07:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 23?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0ddbdd…
07-23 06:12:27	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x969be4…
07-23 05:17:00	bitcoin above 62k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x33f937…
07-23 01:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa67761…
07-22 23:52:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 23?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc0b3d0…
07-22 22:56:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 23?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5890cf…
07-22 21:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x35a30d…
07-22 17:42:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8f3a36…
07-22 11:14:21	bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x4b0412…
07-22 05:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x035200…
07-22 01:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x519637…
07-22 01:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 23?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$29	0x8a5f0b…
07-22 01:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x50d006…
07-22 00:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5c6146…
07-21 23:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 22?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3a6230…
07-21 23:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeb2ca0…
07-21 22:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x434061…
07-21 22:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x200585…
07-21 21:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa802a0…
07-21 18:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9aba12…
07-21 16:08:15	ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x36fd97…
07-21 16:01:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 22?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x737268…
07-21 14:07:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc3ff4f…
07-21 14:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa8378f…
07-21 13:42:34	ethereum above 1800 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x453542…
07-21 10:48:27	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xee2be5…
07-21 09:56:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1e15d6…
07-21 09:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfb1f0c…
07-21 06:54:48	ethereum above 1700 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5f395b…
07-21 04:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1531d3…
07-21 04:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x404ba6…
07-21 04:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2b0fae…
07-21 03:29:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x71a7fe…
07-21 02:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x27b38c…
07-20 22:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf609a6…
07-20 21:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x051e8c…
07-20 20:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3478a4…
07-20 19:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x871b2b…
07-20 19:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 20?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1ace75…
07-20 18:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x695d3a…
07-20 14:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x313bd0…
07-20 12:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe44c7e…
07-20 10:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 20?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xeb5b89…
07-20 10:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 20?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xcb5a42…
07-20 09:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc688fc…
07-20 06:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6e8fa4…
07-20 04:28:07	ethereum above 2100 on july 20 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xafedab…
07-20 04:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x57d8a1…
07-20 02:59:27	ethereum above 2100 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa737c9…
07-19 23:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6f76d0…
07-19 23:26:21	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0c4c21…
07-19 22:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbdcc03…
07-19 20:18:13	Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x41fadf…
07-19 19:47:13	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0dcb1b…
07-19 10:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 19?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x298683…
07-19 09:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb465c8…
07-19 08:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x8bfbd0…
07-19 06:58:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc45727…
07-19 04:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7d2352…
07-19 02:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd07546…
07-18 23:10:24	Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6f8013…
07-18 11:29:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0xa7020a…
07-18 10:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd74db8…
07-18 09:07:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x66e411…
07-17 21:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1d6d32…
07-17 20:37:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcfacb8…
07-17 18:39:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x93badc…
07-17 17:13:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb14a0a…
07-17 14:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 18?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3f660c…
07-17 14:01:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x27b382…
07-17 14:01:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 17 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0x3f3835…
07-17 13:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9b5a7e…
07-17 11:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x199629…
07-17 10:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6c0b97…
07-17 09:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 98°F or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6dfd6c…
07-17 07:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x32539f…
07-17 07:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x64c121…
07-17 07:29:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 17?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x152aea…
07-17 07:28:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xca0f08…
07-17 07:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on July 18?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x014be7…
07-17 06:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x04b6b2…
07-17 03:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7f3675…
07-17 02:46:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x882b06…
07-17 01:01:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 17?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3575c5…
07-17 00:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 17?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x67c276…