Realized P&L
-$9.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$92
Hit rate
19.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,669
lifetime
Volume
$178.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$4.80K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 15:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
58% 20% $-9,144
Other
40% 100% +$29
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,262 $1,935 82¢ $1.9K $-69 06-26 07:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +906 $785 88¢ $793 +$7 07-01 15:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +600 $533 90¢ $543 +$10 06-22 10:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +435 $404 100¢ $434 +$29 06-29 12:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +232 $205 86¢ $201 $-4 06-17 07:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +500 $292 30¢ $147 $-144 06-26 08:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +150 $107 82¢ $122 +$15 06-27 11:43
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +150 $129 80¢ $121 $-8 06-29 21:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +120 $103 88¢ $105 +$2 06-18 12:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +123 $106 84¢ $104 $-2 06-15 08:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +99 $97 94¢ $92 $-5 06-23 17:37
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +68 $55 90¢ $61 +$6 06-08 14:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +77 $36 62¢ $47 +$11 06-17 16:55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +50 $32 76¢ $38 +$5 06-30 16:18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +38 $26 84¢ $32 +$5 06-08 14:10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +70 $42 40¢ $28 $-14 06-16 20:21
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +27 $21 82¢ $22 +$1 06-01 20:49
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No -28 $-20 72¢ $-20 $-0 06-15 08:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -110 $-28 16¢ $-18 +$9 05-28 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -770 $-54 $-3 +$51 06-11 05:30