frosique1 0x91c7f5…92b576
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
19.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,374
lifetime
Volume
$160.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$2.43K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-08 14:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
58% 20% $-9,144
Other
39% 100% +$29
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +554 $537 99¢ $550 +$13 05-30 04:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -346 $-337 99¢ $-342 $-5 05-29 07:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +205 $197 97¢ $199 +$2 06-02 18:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +170 $164 98¢ $166 +$2 06-01 16:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No -165 $-163 98¢ $-163 +$0 06-04 08:31
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026? No +164 $158 97¢ $159 +$1 06-01 16:18
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +133 $124 96¢ $127 +$4 05-29 06:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -111 $-97 90¢ $-100 $-2 06-01 22:17
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +100 $96 98¢ $98 +$2 05-28 19:30
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No +94 $89 99¢ $93 +$4 06-02 15:07
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -89 $-87 98¢ $-87 $-0 06-03 07:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +90 $77 88¢ $79 +$1 05-29 17:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +87 $74 76¢ $67 $-7 05-29 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +68 $55 82¢ $56 +$2 06-08 14:51
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +38 $26 72¢ $27 +$1 06-08 14:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +90 $58 30¢ $27 $-32 05-29 17:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -110 $-28 20¢ $-21 +$6 05-28 17:59
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +27 $21 80¢ $21 +$1 06-01 20:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +20 $16 82¢ $16 +$1 05-29 15:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +30 $20 53¢ $16 $-4 05-28 21:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -15 $-14 94¢ $-14 $-0 05-28 18:26