frosique1 0x91c7f5…92b576
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.26K
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
355
Trades
4,216
lifetime
Volume
$254.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$13.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 19:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Politics
57% 69% -$11,817
Other
40% 70% -$723
Crypto
2% 86% +$54
Sports
0% 50% +$125
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,775 $1,576 92¢ $1.6K +$66 10-24 17:11
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,513 $1,341 92¢ $1.4K +$43 10-26 18:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,182 $1,044 92¢ $1.1K +$38 10-26 05:13
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes -1,014 -$904 92¢ $-936 -$32 10-25 17:29
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +943 $924 96¢ $906 -$18 10-25 05:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -954 -$971 94¢ $-892 +$79 10-26 11:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -604 -$547 90¢ $-547 +$1 10-18 23:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +524 $511 98¢ $515 +$4 10-26 15:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +442 $424 99¢ $438 +$15 10-20 03:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +718 $468 59¢ $424 -$44 10-20 16:14
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? No +393 $369 99¢ $389 +$21 10-22 12:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,966 $2,860 12¢ $341 -$2,518 07-19 19:01
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? No +320 $302 96¢ $306 +$3 10-06 21:12
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +350 $302 82¢ $289 -$13 07-18 19:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +350 $303 81¢ $284 -$20 10-21 18:54
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $270 94¢ $284 +$14 09-29 19:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +315 $269 86¢ $272 +$3 10-19 13:59
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -272 -$248 96¢ $-261 -$13 05-19 11:54
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +300 $245 74¢ $223 -$21 07-21 15:29
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -226 -$208 98¢ $-220 -$13 05-22 13:46
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +219 $216 99¢ $217 +$1 10-24 12:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +220 $190 97¢ $213 +$23 07-06 09:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +200 $198 100¢ $199 +$1 10-25 22:49
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +187 $141 94¢ $176 +$35 10-06 19:49
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +213 $109 80¢ $170 +$61 10-14 22:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +250 $164 66¢ $164 $0 10-23 21:21
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +169 $136 94¢ $158 +$21 10-24 12:34
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +150 $140 98¢ $148 +$8 10-26 17:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +140 $131 94¢ $132 +$2 10-04 21:28
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +150 $132 86¢ $128 -$4 09-24 22:01