Realized P&L
-$9.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.03K
Hit rate
19.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,726
lifetime
Volume
$183.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$67
Open exposure
$4.03K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 15:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
57% 20% $-9,144
Other
40% 100% +$29
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +940 $845 90¢ $841 $-4 07-20 14:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +906 $785 92¢ $829 +$44 07-01 15:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,273 $1,431 52¢ $656 $-775 07-19 19:01
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +300 $250 88¢ $266 +$15 07-04 07:02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +268 $237 90¢ $240 +$3 07-18 19:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +220 $190 86¢ $190 +$1 07-06 09:51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +199 $190 94¢ $187 $-3 07-20 15:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +232 $205 72¢ $166 $-39 06-17 07:41
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $147 78¢ $157 +$10 07-05 03:06
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +130 $97 82¢ $107 +$9 07-08 06:57
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +123 $106 74¢ $92 $-14 06-15 08:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $52 90¢ $54 +$2 07-19 08:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +77 $36 68¢ $52 +$16 06-17 16:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 92¢ $46 +$0 07-19 07:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +50 $32 76¢ $38 +$6 06-30 16:18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +38 $26 66¢ $25 $-1 06-08 14:10
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No -28 $-20 82¢ $-23 $-3 06-15 08:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +27 $21 82¢ $22 +$1 06-01 20:49
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +70 $42 30¢ $21 $-21 06-16 20:21
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -110 $-28 12¢ $-14 +$14 05-28 17:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +500 $292 $5 $-287 06-26 08:06