Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.12K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,774

lifetime

Volume

$185.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

57% 20% $-9,144

Other

40% 100% +$29

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	32	$7.7K	2,357	5,496	-3,140	open	—	01-24 16:37
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	114	$7.6K	4,204	4,204	+0	open	—	01-30 19:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	43	$7.2K	3,778	3,778	-0	open	—	04-15 21:33
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	76	$6.2K	3,471	3,142	+329	open	—	04-01 06:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	86	$6.0K	3,343	3,355	-13	open	—	03-26 05:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	39	$6.0K	3,336	3,147	+189	open	—	03-11 12:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	83	$5.6K	5,631	5,913	-282	open	—	02-28 21:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	37	$5.2K	3,025	2,269	+756	open	—	02-01 06:55
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	49	$4.9K	2,670	2,470	+200	open	—	02-28 03:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	54	$4.6K	4,948	0	+4,948	Yes	$-4,627	05-08 10:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	34	$3.1K	2,155	1,844	+311	Yes	$-120	04-21 04:24
Netanyahu out by April 30?	23	$3.0K	1,533	1,533	-0	open	—	04-07 14:52
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	16	$2.7K	2,790	0	+2,790	open	—	01-30 08:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	32	$2.7K	790	7,120	-6,330	Yes	$-4,366	05-06 17:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	28	$2.6K	1,511	1,511	+0	open	—	04-08 03:29
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	35	$2.5K	1,430	1,201	+230	open	—	03-01 07:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	28	$2.5K	1,529	1,245	+284	open	—	04-30 01:36
maduro exiled to qatar by march 31	18	$2.5K	797	1,792	-995	open	—	01-11 09:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	32	$2.4K	2,262	989	+1,273	open	—	07-19 19:01
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	13	$2.4K	1,253	1,253	+0	open	—	05-20 17:59
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	19	$2.3K	554	1,822	-1,268	open	—	06-21 18:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	13	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-12 18:17
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	28	$2.1K	1,087	1,029	+58	Yes	+$29	04-15 09:36
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	25	$2.0K	917	1,178	-260	open	—	03-25 11:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	21	$2.0K	990	1,100	-110	open	—	05-30 22:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$1.8K	906	906	+0	open	—	05-15 14:47
Iran leadership change by April 30?	20	$1.7K	901	901	+0	open	—	05-01 01:58
netanyahu out by march 31 854	10	$1.7K	873	873	+0	open	—	03-23 14:35
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	30	$1.6K	1,234	1,250	-16	open	—	01-03 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	19	$1.5K	810	1,532	-722	open	—	07-04 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:46:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x151b75…
08-10 22:21:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x05ded4…
08-10 18:44:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc100cc…
08-10 15:24:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x0c6c98…
08-10 14:17:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	250	96¢	$240	0x64206d…
08-10 13:46:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xbe5e7d…
08-07 00:23:14	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x131225…
08-06 17:10:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x30bfac…
08-06 06:14:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xad6a14…
08-06 06:06:14	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0xa2004b…
08-06 06:03:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xdf3836…
08-06 06:00:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x96ce45…
08-04 18:10:32	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260801211334045	Yes	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xa11728…
08-04 15:39:20	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xf484e1…
08-04 10:53:59	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xd9ad7e…
08-04 07:45:12	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xcb25dd…
08-04 07:00:00	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x696687…
08-04 04:19:08	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in july 20260626154217423	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xf8c99c…
08-04 01:16:45	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x5d9f15…
08-03 16:42:50	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x8d3d4e…
08-03 16:17:00	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x273900…
08-03 13:14:06	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x74dfdb…
08-03 04:00:45	will trump speak to kim jong un in july 20260626154217424	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x95a638…
08-02 21:17:35	will trump speak to kim jong un in july 20260626154217424	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbee7ff…
08-02 17:42:30	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x2ce61e…
08-02 17:42:30	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x12ea50…
08-02 16:03:20	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x628415…
08-02 10:25:45	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0x1da917…
08-02 08:33:36	will zelenskyy talk to putin by august 31	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa23389…
08-02 08:14:50	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x51dce5…
08-02 07:53:33	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xa243ae…
08-02 07:42:11	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x9b4951…
08-02 07:38:14	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xcc0cdb…
08-02 05:32:11	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xbb6ec0…
08-02 02:14:08	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x7093f3…
08-01 21:00:42	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x20b662…
08-01 18:37:33	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	99	84¢	$83	0x0c7673…
08-01 18:25:06	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x250532…
08-01 16:22:32	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x4c651c…
08-01 15:17:36	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xfdf0e3…
08-01 14:00:56	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x415f8c…
08-01 13:34:14	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xc86dd5…
07-28 13:08:29	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x6fe0b1…
07-27 15:01:48	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x961b5b…
07-27 14:22:18	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x5750b8…
07-27 14:21:49	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x550b7b…
07-27 14:09:06	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	86	96¢	$83	0xb44fe6…
07-27 13:49:49	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x8981e9…
07-22 15:08:36	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by september 30 20260720194516250	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x173a6e…
07-21 15:29:48	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0x3f7f85…
07-21 11:14:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x58813d…
07-21 02:08:30	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x19e469…
07-20 15:56:27	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x85e532…
07-20 15:44:27	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b6439…
07-20 15:08:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xd0cda1…
07-20 14:15:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0x228822…
07-20 13:00:27	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x51ee8b…
07-20 12:50:28	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x03440a…
07-20 12:38:33	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8837d4…
07-20 10:59:06	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdcd29c…
07-20 10:58:34	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x94275c…
07-20 10:38:27	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x660d0e…
07-20 10:37:48	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x7e3ba2…
07-20 10:05:55	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xdaed81…
07-20 09:27:49	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x8f2846…
07-20 08:49:27	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	101	95¢	$96	0x166298…
07-20 08:42:22	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x7d42ec…
07-20 06:50:25	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0xf6b2ee…
07-20 05:56:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x754676…
07-19 19:01:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	251	51¢	$128	0x015547…
07-19 17:18:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	120	51¢	$61	0xbe1e64…
07-19 17:17:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	617	51¢	$315	0x8dfdea…
07-19 08:46:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x39f159…
07-19 07:49:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xf6cd2f…
07-18 19:41:18	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xf17644…
07-17 10:17:12	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x809866…
07-16 14:09:41	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x45b541…
07-16 10:38:17	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x951be6…
07-15 18:08:32	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	228	100¢	$227	0xba0d7c…
07-08 13:17:38	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xed40aa…
07-08 06:57:20	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x6630dd…
07-07 21:18:34	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x72cd83…
07-07 18:22:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x8673fe…
07-06 09:51:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x7822b6…
07-06 06:32:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xe672e7…
07-06 06:21:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x0a493b…
07-05 17:36:22	will trump speak to kim jong un in july 20260626154217424	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x677f8c…
07-05 04:07:28	will zelenskyy talk to putin by august 31	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x73b357…
07-05 03:06:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xe091fb…
07-04 19:48:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x0276b1…
07-04 17:59:37	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x89078f…
07-04 17:08:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x703f80…
07-04 07:22:26	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x55c266…
07-04 07:02:32	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xdc6c91…
07-04 06:56:56	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x0b6c53…
07-04 06:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0xc2107e…
07-04 06:20:40	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xdc1cf7…
07-03 15:39:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x35efb2…
07-03 15:36:23	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x27cb6a…
07-03 09:44:58	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xac1cd2…