Realized P&L
+$102.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$356
Hit rate
94.0%
Resolved
609
Trades
7,747
lifetime
Volume
$3.71M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$479
Open exposure
$51.4K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 14:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Politics
54% 92% +$35,990
Other
41% 90% +$47,888
Sports
5% 88% +$18,331
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$30
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? No +24,257 $23,958 100¢ $24.2K +$202 10-10 03:53
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +11,426 $10,976 99¢ $11.4K +$375 10-10 03:46
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +7,404 $6,811 92¢ $6.8K -$37 10-25 14:50
Trump out as President before 2027? No -5,131 -$4,698 96¢ $-4921 -$223 07-20 16:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,000 $2,580 86¢ $2.6K +$0 09-20 03:45
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +788 $561 74¢ $579 +$19 08-06 16:58
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +569 $550 96¢ $545 -$5 10-24 03:02
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +569 $501 92¢ $526 +$26 09-30 18:18