Realized P&L
+$912
Unrealized P&L
+$1.73K
Hit rate
92.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
7,501
lifetime
Volume
$3.46M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$461
Open exposure
$43.3K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 10:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
56% 88% +$911
Other
38% 100% +$1
Sports
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +22,178 $20,923 100¢ $22.2K +$1,233 06-29 03:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -4,671 $-4,648 100¢ $-4666 $-19 06-13 16:36
Trump out as President before 2027? No +4,369 $3,932 92¢ $4.0K +$66 06-01 14:57
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +3,508 $3,234 100¢ $3.5K +$263 06-13 12:40
Trump out as President by June 30? No +2,369 $2,352 100¢ $2.4K +$14 06-17 16:34
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2,150 $2,111 100¢ $2.1K +$33 06-09 06:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +1,676 $1,538 100¢ $1.7K +$133 06-10 15:28
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +931 $929 100¢ $930 +$1 06-29 03:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,088 $794 72¢ $783 $-11 06-03 02:49
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +618 $608 100¢ $616 +$8 06-09 06:03
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No +462 $447 100¢ $461 +$14 06-04 04:04
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +28 $27 100¢ $28 +$0 06-10 15:27