Realized P&L (90d)
+$5.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$115
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved (90d)
56
Trades (90d)
336
7,980 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$148.0K
$3.77M lifetime
Avg / trade
$472
Open exposure
$12.0K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-11 05:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Politics
55% 92% +$37,710
Other
40% 90% +$48,232
Sports
5% 88% +$18,331
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$30
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -5,131 -$4,698 98¢ $-5011 -$313 07-20 16:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +3,000 $2,580 94¢ $2.8K +$225 09-20 03:45
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +1,812 $1,397 96¢ $1.7K +$344 11-11 05:47
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026? No +569 $541 97¢ $551 +$11 11-06 09:10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +569 $501 93¢ $529 +$28 09-30 18:18
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? No +569 $484 90¢ $509 +$26 11-06 09:10
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by November 30, 2026? No +512 $485 97¢ $499 +$14 11-04 03:44
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +208 $195 97¢ $201 +$7 11-04 03:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1,509 $646 12¢ $189 -$457 11-04 05:13