Specific-Capital — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$75

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-18 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

57% 50% -$12

Politics

42% 56% -$7

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-18).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No		-1	-$1	95¢	$-1	$0	05-19 07:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	05-20 18:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$13	28	32	-3	No	-$13	04-13 20:57
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by december 31 983	1	$6	0	6	-6	No	$0	01-01 08:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$1	05-31 19:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	05-05 12:12
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	1	$4	0	4	-4	No	$0	01-01 08:18
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-13 20:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	05-31 19:23
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 20:01
ice shooter fired by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-30 16:56
will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-11 15:02
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-30 16:52
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-02 15:19
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	04-17 11:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	-$2	03-30 16:54
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	01-06 20:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-05 12:16
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$1	0	1	-1	No	$0	06-18 08:00
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-06 21:21
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$1	0	1	-1	Yes	$0	03-11 15:01
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by december 31	1	$1	0	1	-1	No	$0	01-01 08:18
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-19 07:55
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$1	1	1	+0	Yes	-$1	02-02 15:18
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	04-07 11:57
will trump visit greenland by march 31	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	01-06 20:17
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-19 19:59
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	03-30 17:06
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	01-21 20:20
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	01-01 20:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-20 18:40
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	01-28 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 08:00:26	U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc89023…
05-31 19:23:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xc401f4…
05-31 19:18:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x05d1f3…
05-25 12:15:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0b0451…
05-20 18:40:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdbd916…
05-19 07:55:26	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9d208e…
05-05 12:16:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x29b865…
05-05 12:12:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x841f48…
04-17 11:49:16	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd4397d…
04-13 21:01:21	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3bbba9…
04-13 20:59:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8cca32…
04-13 20:57:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x9542ea…
04-09 21:08:37	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf723bd…
04-09 21:07:41	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x13db16…
04-07 11:57:49	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x91766e…
03-30 17:06:15	will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa33957…
03-30 16:56:39	ice shooter fired by march 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x16fefd…
03-30 16:54:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7c8aaf…
03-30 16:52:09	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6f4bb2…
03-23 19:06:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x879f52…
03-11 20:01:13	ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x92c9f2…
03-11 15:29:31	ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9acafc…
03-11 15:02:23	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd78720…
03-11 15:01:23	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xe78ac8…
03-06 21:21:03	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x2c5e36…
03-06 21:11:53	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x133dc3…
02-05 06:17:51	ukraine election called by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x846830…
02-05 06:17:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xadd528…
02-02 15:20:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xefcd8e…
02-02 15:19:50	US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x66e68d…
02-02 15:18:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x0b2b0f…
01-28 08:57:01	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0a8e9…
01-28 08:54:01	will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x80195c…
01-21 20:20:54	internet access restored in iran by friday 972	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb8d2ea…
01-19 20:01:52	ice shooter fired by march 31	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe05f08…
01-19 19:59:14	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x974abf…
01-19 18:42:22	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4670da…
01-17 16:33:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe7b4b1…
01-06 20:18:59	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0xb61b0a…
01-06 20:17:35	will trump visit greenland by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8c284c…
01-06 14:41:17	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa49c20…
01-06 14:38:23	US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x647907…
01-06 14:37:41	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0bd95e…
01-06 14:36:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc76e3b…
01-01 20:08:17	russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x171253…
01-01 20:07:31	will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x15eeb0…
01-01 08:24:45	will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9cac9e…
01-01 08:18:41	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by december 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x16fcd9…
01-01 08:18:09	us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x210fe9…
01-01 08:17:49	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by december 31 983	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2c83c1…