Raw-Plight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

292

Trades

682

lifetime

Volume

$9.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-30 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

73% 78% +$1

Crypto

18% 76% +$0

Politics

5% 69% $0

Sports

2% 69% +$0

Tech

1% 67% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	10-12 18:41
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	$0	10-25 01:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	6	$97	49	49	+0	No	$0	07-11 13:56
bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	5	$83	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-06 06:38
bitcoin above 58k on july 4 2026	4	$79	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 3?	4	$78	39	39	+0	No	$0	07-03 00:45
Will Mandy Ghusar advance from the CA-04 primary election?	3	$77	39	39	+0	No	+$0	06-13 14:52
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	06-28 20:57
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	6	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	06-30 22:13
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on May 17?	3	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	05-17 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 24?	3	$65	45	20	+26	No	+$0	05-24 02:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 27?	5	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	05-27 00:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 15?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-15 08:19
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-26 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-13 06:11
ethereum above 2000 on july 6 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-05 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 11?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-10 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 8?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-08 13:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 10?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-09 14:15
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on July 6?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-06 10:54
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-30 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-24 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or below on July 1?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-30 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 3?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	06-03 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 29?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-29 10:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 11?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-10 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 16?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-15 18:03
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 6?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-06 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on July 15?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-15 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 6?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-06 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 15?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-14 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or higher on July 13?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-13 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:48:39	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x50df8a…
10-25 01:28:51	Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb64f69…
10-12 18:41:27	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9cea02…
10-06 16:20:38	Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x54badd…
10-03 17:04:12	Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7cda1b…
10-03 17:03:21	Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4fa4f9…
10-03 17:02:23	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5221af…
10-03 17:01:30	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3753f0…
09-26 22:32:11	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5b4be0…
09-26 22:31:20	Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x62c84a…
09-26 22:30:27	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x66a6eb…
09-26 22:29:36	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x756b68…
09-26 22:28:44	Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3b1459…
09-22 21:30:21	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a506a…
09-20 15:35:09	Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b8640…
09-16 15:11:33	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67955a…
09-13 09:23:00	Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53628f…
09-07 00:50:52	Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb8c37…
09-06 08:52:22	Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6b3f1c…
09-02 16:07:40	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xaa354a…
08-13 05:45:39	Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4d8290…
08-13 05:38:04	Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a0553…
08-09 14:56:24	Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc539b9…
08-07 06:56:34	Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x47b535…
08-06 14:52:24	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x175be2…
07-29 22:27:48	Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe50ab…
07-26 12:22:48	Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b6b93…
07-15 16:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x534a71…
07-15 15:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xafa60f…
07-14 15:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x58d8af…
07-14 14:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on July 14?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x230028…
07-14 14:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xec7a04…
07-14 12:57:40	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xde504d…
07-14 12:53:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xda5993…
07-14 11:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 14?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0267a4…
07-14 11:51:41	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb3e761…
07-14 09:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 15?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0xb68764…
07-14 08:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on July 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfa2c51…
07-14 07:16:44	will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x0f6949…
07-14 05:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x863ce5…
07-13 18:35:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1a710e…
07-13 18:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 14?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd7ccab…
07-13 18:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 14?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x58dfe3…
07-13 18:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0aff3c…
07-13 16:30:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2fa206…
07-13 14:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 13?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe813a4…
07-13 14:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb5f46b…
07-13 13:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x89122f…
07-13 10:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1b5ef7…
07-13 06:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa42518…
07-13 04:52:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf96931…
07-13 03:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf071ca…
07-13 02:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7a614d…
07-13 02:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 13?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xed823e…
07-13 02:47:14	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x33dcb5…
07-13 02:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xcf49d0…
07-13 02:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3b9462…
07-12 22:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x004497…
07-12 20:10:35	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb48e01…
07-12 20:00:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 13?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc4baba…
07-12 16:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8834e2…
07-12 15:25:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe6ddaa…
07-12 13:40:58	bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x823a12…
07-12 13:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 13?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x1b5a3d…
07-12 13:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x441221…
07-12 12:32:29	bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x064b07…
07-12 08:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on July 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xf15bf2…
07-12 07:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb5431d…
07-12 01:25:44	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x22aa21…
07-11 23:09:31	will bitcoin reach 72k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xec0e58…
07-11 22:03:17	will bitcoin reach 72k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6fb86c…
07-11 19:56:29	ethereum above 2000 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x15b4a3…
07-11 19:34:04	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf49862…
07-11 18:15:47	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc6327f…
07-11 14:08:20	ethereum above 1600 on july 12 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa81959…
07-11 14:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xde3c79…
07-11 13:59:49	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe109d5…
07-11 13:56:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x068007…
07-11 13:04:25	ethereum above 1600 on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa70a88…
07-11 10:51:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6ee020…
07-11 09:31:25	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbae4af…
07-11 06:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06cef3…
07-11 05:06:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2c3173…
07-11 05:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 12?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2d164…
07-11 05:02:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x1efdd8…
07-11 04:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbd9215…
07-11 04:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 12?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8e95ae…
07-11 03:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8de8c2…
07-11 01:56:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x205015…
07-11 01:40:10	will the announcers say history during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901507	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3c8994…
07-10 23:50:26	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5ddf43…
07-10 23:28:53	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x181d9f…
07-10 22:05:40	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x816092…
07-10 21:47:34	will the announcers say history during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901507	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff2ca1…
07-10 16:46:59	ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x516af6…
07-10 15:29:49	will googl reach 390 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3bf1b4…
07-10 11:23:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 11?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x62d043…
07-10 10:26:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 11?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8545ed…
07-10 09:31:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x82a35a…
07-10 08:46:16	will googl reach 390 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7a682b…