Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?
open
Total volume
$1,350
$4,381 in 24h
Trades
20
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$47,987
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-10-31
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 05:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $75 | $75 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $36 | $218 | $182 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $68 | $68 |
| Median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| unranked | 6 | — | $218 | $218 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superior-Haversack 0x46ee…eb1e | Yes | +4,000 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-07 20:21 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | Yes | +1,142 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 03:30 |
| Compassionate-Labour 0xfc60…8b6d | No | +121 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-14 05:40 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +69 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 05-13 19:12 |
| Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | +3 | $3 | $10 | 5 | 05-08 05:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 05:40:29 | Compassionate-Labour 0xfc60…8b6d | No | BUY | 121 | 99¢ | $120 | 0x38ccde… |
| 05-13 19:12:42 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x263fbe… |
| 05-13 19:11:37 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x381e03… |
| 05-12 03:19:13 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $54 | 0x78f5d1… |
| 05-10 22:36:40 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xb19553… |
| 05-09 10:35:27 | Emotional-Parsnip 0x17b6…0805 | No | SELL | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x549e61… |
| 05-09 10:15:16 | Emotional-Parsnip 0x17b6…0805 | No | BUY | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x4d0930… |
| 05-09 09:05:00 | Profuse-Guide 0xb3be…96a4 | No | SELL | 523 | 99¢ | $519 | 0xa416b7… |
| 05-09 03:30:07 | Enchanted-Plaintiff 0x51fd…4272 | Yes | BUY | 1,142 | 1¢ | $8 | 0x91506a… |
| 05-08 06:35:35 | Adorable-Signup 0x1aa2…048a | No | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $120 | 0xb9e4ea… |
| 05-08 05:10:19 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x19b56c… |
| 05-08 03:35:48 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xcc9c00… |
| 05-08 00:20:12 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xecda82… |
| 05-07 20:21:21 | Superior-Haversack 0x46ee…eb1e | Yes | BUY | 4,000 | 1¢ | $28 | 0x844ae7… |
| 05-07 10:50:34 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x46ab2a… |
| 05-07 08:30:39 | Monumental-Pressure 0x63c6…9f34 | No | SELL | 97 | 99¢ | $96 | 0x357ea1… |
| 05-07 06:23:06 | Messy-Pine 0xe85b…65ee | No | SELL | 70 | 99¢ | $70 | 0x458f1d… |
| 05-07 05:18:14 | Pleasant-Dugout 0x7ee5…f0bf | No | SELL | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x0a9f0b… |
| 05-07 03:43:46 | Dense-Ninja 0x70d9…a684 | Yes | SELL | 397 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xbdfdbf… |
| 05-06 04:44:50 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2ec12d… |