Realized P&L
-$30.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.10K
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved
877
Trades
8,613
lifetime
Volume
$3.22M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$373
Open exposure
$23.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 05:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
76% 44% +$1,008
Crypto
12% 49% -$9,549
Sports
6% 35% -$24,217
Politics
3% 20% +$1,026
Tech
2% 47% -$820
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$1,892
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +4,512 $3,898 94¢ $4.2K +$344 10-27 00:02
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2,809 $2,686 97¢ $2.7K +$35 10-26 22:53
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +3,907 $2,635 56¢ $2.2K -$428 10-25 21:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,564 $1,439 92¢ $1.4K +$8 10-24 01:38
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +1,237 $930 96¢ $1.2K +$253 10-25 09:56
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,654 $1,035 69¢ $1.1K +$106 10-25 19:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +2,128 $686 48¢ $1.0K +$346 10-26 04:54
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +727 $685 100¢ $725 +$40 10-25 06:50
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +781 $678 90¢ $699 +$22 10-26 01:50
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +766 $525 88¢ $674 +$149 10-27 05:52
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +628 $581 93¢ $586 +$5 10-24 18:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +1,069 $511 52¢ $551 +$40 10-23 22:48
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +571 $358 96¢ $548 +$190 10-21 07:45
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +560 $492 94¢ $525 +$33 10-23 20:12
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +3,304 $533 16¢ $512 -$20 10-26 22:07
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +2,193 $634 22¢ $482 -$151 10-26 22:39
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +1,292 $292 28¢ $357 +$65 10-24 21:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +483 $366 68¢ $326 -$40 10-25 17:46
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +326 $320 98¢ $321 +$0 10-21 07:22
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +432 $274 70¢ $300 +$26 10-14 09:08
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? No +291 $284 99¢ $290 +$5 10-21 14:58
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +644 $330 44¢ $287 -$44 10-26 21:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +337 $284 84¢ $285 +$1 10-22 11:56
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October? No +280 $254 95¢ $267 +$14 10-24 15:12
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +255 $82 99¢ $252 +$170 10-22 14:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +337 $238 74¢ $248 +$10 09-24 11:48
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +204 $154 95¢ $194 +$40 10-26 11:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +195 $190 99¢ $193 +$3 10-24 15:40
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +220 $177 86¢ $188 +$11 10-01 18:56
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes +917 $303 18¢ $170 -$133 10-25 15:59