(anonymous) 0x96ef2e…d33d36
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved
916
Trades
2,188
lifetime
Volume
$45.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.59K
26 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
67% 78% -$1,130
Sports
15% 93% -$79
Politics
15% 82% -$404
Tech
3% 97% -$5
Pop-Culture
1% 78% -$5
Crypto
0% 80% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +420 $416 99¢ $416 $0 09-24 11:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +231 $224 92¢ $212 -$12 10-03 23:59
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +168 $167 100¢ $168 +$0 09-27 00:11
Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +157 $156 100¢ $157 +$1 09-27 00:33
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +85 $85 99¢ $84 -$1 09-24 15:38
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +80 $80 99¢ $80 $0 10-03 23:49
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 +$0 09-24 16:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +70 $55 96¢ $67 +$12 10-02 12:30
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 97¢ $62 -$1 09-27 00:14
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +49 $49 100¢ $48 $0 09-23 15:15
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +71 $25 57¢ $41 +$16 09-22 00:48
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +39 $39 99¢ $39 $0 09-22 22:29
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 09-25 13:20
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 $0 09-24 10:09
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 $0 09-28 14:13
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 09-29 03:15
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +15 $15 95¢ $14 $0 10-03 14:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? No +14 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 09-29 02:20
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 09-30 20:12
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-25 05:42
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +6 $5 93¢ $6 +$1 10-03 09:50
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +9 $8 62¢ $6 -$2 09-28 16:21
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +7 $4 55¢ $4 $0 10-01 23:04
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +52 $4 4¢ $2 -$2 09-27 17:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +19 $1 9¢ $2 +$1 10-03 23:53
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? No +13 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 10-02 11:08