Realized P&L (7d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved (7d)
38
Trades (7d)
0
2,188 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$45.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$1.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
67% 81% -$1,297
Sports
15% 94% -$79
Politics
15% 80% -$461
Tech
3% 95% +$12
Pop-Culture
1% 80% -$5
Crypto
0% 80% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +236 $224 96¢ $226 +$2 10-03 19:49
Will the Winnipeg Jets be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +139 $138 100¢ $139 +$1 10-04 10:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? No +111 $93 82¢ $92 -$2 09-30 09:43
Will Greece win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? No +93 $92 98¢ $91 -$1 09-29 07:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 +$0 09-24 16:03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 25%-30%? No +65 $54 99¢ $65 +$11 10-03 03:39
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 99¢ $63 +$0 09-27 00:14
Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +54 $54 99¢ $54 $0 10-02 18:59
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +51 $51 100¢ $51 $0 09-24 09:10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +71 $25 72¢ $51 +$26 09-22 00:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +49 $49 100¢ $49 +$0 09-23 15:15
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? No +48 $47 100¢ $47 +$0 10-02 09:41
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +47 $47 99¢ $47 $0 10-02 19:49
Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 $0 10-02 07:57
Will Ferencvaros win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +42 $42 98¢ $41 -$1 09-29 16:29
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? No +42 $40 90¢ $38 -$2 09-28 17:14
Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3? No +180 $34 20¢ $37 +$3 09-29 07:08
Will Olympiacos win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +38 $37 98¢ $37 -$1 09-21 14:40
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? No +36 $34 100¢ $36 +$2 09-24 21:52
Will SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? No +36 $36 100¢ $36 $0 09-25 09:25
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey? No +36 $35 97¢ $35 -$1 09-29 01:07
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +34 $34 97¢ $33 -$1 09-22 21:48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-03 House election by 25% or more? No +33 $33 99¢ $33 $0 09-22 17:40
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? No +32 $32 100¢ $32 +$0 10-01 03:06
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +32 $31 99¢ $31 $0 10-02 19:19
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? No +29 $23 98¢ $28 +$5 09-28 13:58
Will Brian Ortega be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $0 09-21 14:44
Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? No +28 $22 98¢ $28 +$6 10-02 04:45
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 09-25 13:20
Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 $0 09-24 07:29