Cavernous-Explanation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.37K

Unrealized P&L

+$6.32K

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

1,616

Trades

3,686

lifetime

Volume

$45.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$8.44K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-27 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Sports

58% 54% -$3,231

Other

35% 53% +$5,911

Crypto

5% 55% +$1,463

Politics

3% 0% -$778

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+7,306	$597	96¢	$7.0K	+$6,424	07-04 05:27
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+8,396	$296	4¢	$365	+$69	10-27 20:39
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+14,419	$462	2¢	$317	-$144	10-27 23:28
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+7,376	$210	3¢	$225	+$15	10-26 00:55
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+3,976	$231	5¢	$181	-$50	10-27 23:54
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+2,367	$142	6¢	$154	+$12	10-26 00:59
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+21,901	$122	0¢	$99	-$24	10-27 01:48
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+13,991	$44	0¢	$63	+$19	10-27 01:46
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+137	$14	10¢	$14	+$1	10-21 03:16
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)	Celtics	+16	$10	36¢	$6	-$4	10-27 23:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	61	$2.5K	2,229	1,326	+903	Yes	+$1,039	06-17 01:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	21	$2.0K	1,150	1,235	-85	Yes	+$411	06-12 22:51
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	52	$1.6K	7,356	7,356	+0	open	—	10-27 01:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	26	$1.6K	1,912	528	+1,384	No	+$821	06-27 00:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	61	$1.2K	3,944	0	+3,944	Yes	+$2,720	06-18 18:32
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	26	$1.2K	860	775	+85	No	+$360	05-22 12:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	42	$1.1K	2,366	0	+2,366	No	+$1,243	05-21 13:46
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	12	$842	770	770	+0	open	—	07-03 02:09
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	24	$769	3,003	0	+3,003	No	-$769	07-13 14:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	39	$761	3,039	0	+3,039	Yes	-$761	05-18 03:41
will wti reach 80 in july 2026	31	$667	1,201	159	+1,042	Yes	-$532	07-13 14:37
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	34	$639	5,264	0	+5,264	No	-$639	08-12 08:44
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	24	$597	7,306	0	+7,306	open	—	07-04 05:27
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	31	$546	881	0	+881	No	+$335	06-17 11:44
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	56	$506	1,535	0	+1,535	$80k	+$1,028	03-02 14:23
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$499	687	654	+33	No	-$198	07-15 20:48
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	9	$478	807	807	+0	open	—	10-27 16:50
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	59	$462	14,419	0	+14,419	open	—	10-27 23:28
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?	13	$404	3,036	3,036	+0	No	+$3	07-22 04:44
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	32	$399	3,555	3,555	+0	No	-$1	08-01 01:19
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	21	$395	4,830	0	+4,830	No	-$395	07-02 18:05
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	23	$371	1,297	0	+1,297	Yes	+$925	06-16 14:49
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?	39	$313	8,097	8,097	+0	No	-$66	08-15 13:30
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	50	$307	8,286	8,286	+0	No	-$65	08-02 04:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	24	$306	680	0	+680	No	+$374	05-23 11:21
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	76	$296	8,396	0	+8,396	open	—	10-27 20:39
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	15	$291	12,216	0	+12,216	No	-$291	07-05 20:44
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	18	$276	6,607	0	+6,607	No	-$276	08-03 04:45
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	2	$246	337	0	+337	No	-$246	07-02 01:40
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	26	$231	3,976	0	+3,976	open	—	10-27 23:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:54:00	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	286	5¢	$14	0x148f29…
10-27 23:28:24	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xee9c70…
10-27 23:26:54	Spread: Celtics (-10.5)	Celtics	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x1813ef…
10-27 20:59:14	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7bf0f1…
10-27 20:41:51	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Diego Dedura-Palomero	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x24d4b2…
10-27 20:39:27	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xe2e900…
10-27 20:37:50	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$3	0x776a55…
10-27 18:42:21	Sioux Falls: James Kent Trotter vs Maks Kasnikowski	Maks Kasnikowski	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1c461a…
10-27 16:54:45	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	943	2¢	$21	0x82666f…
10-27 16:54:20	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$83	0x410d05…
10-27 16:50:53	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	707	11¢	$81	0xbbb4a0…
10-27 04:41:14	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	229	4¢	$10	0x9f37be…
10-27 04:39:00	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	319	2¢	$8	0x4d57bb…
10-27 04:38:48	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	469	2¢	$11	0xb1c1f8…
10-27 04:19:21	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$21	0x5029bc…
10-27 02:31:56	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	634	4¢	$26	0xdd3853…
10-27 01:48:18	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,900	1¢	$11	0x59f7df…
10-27 01:46:23	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3,778	0¢	$11	0xf1c355…
10-27 01:36:00	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	2,759	4¢	$116	0x6cbea4…
10-26 04:02:38	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,004	0¢	$5	0x0b4286…
10-26 01:22:47	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x6771ef…
10-26 01:21:57	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc02d7f…
10-26 00:59:33	Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,367	6¢	$142	0xefca9e…
10-26 00:55:03	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xbdf2a9…
10-26 00:51:23	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$35	0x594ac9…
10-25 16:53:20	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0xbd03b9…
10-25 16:53:20	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	217	3¢	$7	0x546faa…
10-25 16:53:20	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	137	3¢	$5	0x2a8760…
10-25 15:56:26	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x26c54f…
10-25 14:01:51	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x03f216…
10-25 12:49:30	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc71145…
10-25 12:48:29	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x86120f…
10-25 06:27:12	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe00196…
10-25 06:27:12	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	145	5¢	$7	0xd82932…
10-25 06:27:12	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xa304b4…
10-25 06:27:12	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	230	5¢	$10	0x965ba5…
10-25 04:06:30	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	404	3¢	$14	0x4dd123…
10-25 04:06:11	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x0fcd52…
10-25 04:03:54	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	77	5¢	$3	0x87594f…
10-25 04:00:51	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	440	0¢	$2	0x82060d…
10-25 03:53:48	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	920	13¢	$118	0x2bf812…
10-24 19:21:45	Kings vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x2747d4…
10-24 18:44:24	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	961	3¢	$27	0x241c54…
10-24 18:42:54	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x52ce9d…
10-24 15:56:54	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0xb76410…
10-24 15:56:53	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x2e458b…
10-24 15:56:15	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0x039a48…
10-24 15:56:05	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x493a87…
10-24 15:55:41	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x8277a2…
10-24 15:55:32	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	157	5¢	$8	0xdf3fd3…
10-24 15:55:32	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0x736149…
10-24 15:55:12	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x22336c…
10-24 15:55:11	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xb0aec2…
10-24 14:52:00	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	125	5¢	$7	0x50f662…
10-24 14:06:26	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	154	5¢	$8	0xd54910…
10-24 14:00:23	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xb20f49…
10-24 14:00:21	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xc0391a…
10-24 13:50:54	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xba49ba…
10-24 13:50:54	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xb4f83b…
10-24 13:50:42	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf82931…
10-24 13:50:42	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x981340…
10-24 13:05:54	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	228	3¢	$6	0x68e927…
10-24 13:05:54	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$11	0x018cd7…
10-24 13:05:14	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	330	3¢	$10	0x89718f…
10-24 13:05:06	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	198	3¢	$6	0x8c9f3a…
10-24 13:04:59	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	309	3¢	$9	0x3f4322…
10-24 13:04:53	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xfeecc3…
10-24 12:15:06	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$25	0x02e3b4…
10-24 12:13:35	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,267	3¢	$33	0x6f083d…
10-24 12:12:33	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$28	0xa66a3a…
10-24 12:06:41	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$36	0x859e00…
10-24 03:11:33	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	1,839	22¢	$413	0x83eeff…
10-23 02:21:12	Utah vs. Kraken	Utah	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x9a1f03…
10-23 02:20:14	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Hurricanes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x277e03…
10-23 02:03:00	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	450	3¢	$14	0xeba18a…
10-23 02:02:09	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xd96d84…
10-23 02:01:36	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$12	0xebc161…
10-23 02:00:00	Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	625	3¢	$20	0xf9edc5…
10-22 22:50:57	Panthers vs. Penguins	Panthers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea2d69…
10-22 22:50:36	Predators vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x98b96e…
10-22 22:49:59	Kings vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x39dbe2…
10-22 22:48:47	Ducks vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9d5d53…
10-22 22:48:08	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x3c8e95…
10-22 03:25:42	W35 Qian Daohu: Xi Luo vs Jiangxue HAN	Xi Luo	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xc50fe0…
10-22 03:19:57	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	772	3¢	$25	0xe4d851…
10-22 03:16:42	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	212	3¢	$6	0x0b2e69…
10-22 03:16:30	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0x0492ba…
10-22 03:11:32	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xecf459…
10-22 03:11:02	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x3f94cc…
10-22 03:08:14	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	296	3¢	$8	0x5bbd68…
10-22 03:07:50	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x91eb98…
10-22 03:07:18	Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	799	3¢	$21	0x46d23c…
10-22 02:51:42	Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2,313	1¢	$16	0x4cdaa8…
10-22 02:48:47	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	259	0¢	$1	0x34ccab…
10-21 23:18:42	Flyers vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x6c30fa…
10-21 16:51:08	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xb849f3…
10-21 16:51:08	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	290	4¢	$12	0xb699cb…
10-21 16:51:08	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	170	4¢	$7	0x0b8456…
10-21 16:42:27	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x1716b9…
10-21 09:43:09	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0xdc43c9…