Cavernous-Explanation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$138

Unrealized P&L

+$153

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

100

4,004 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.36K

$50.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$4.12K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 11-14 23:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Sports

62% 55% +$4,786

Other

31% 53% +$5,911

Crypto

4% 55% +$1,463

Politics

3% 0% -$778

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+5,500	$766	15¢	$798	+$32	11-10 22:15
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+9,263	$625	8¢	$695	+$70	11-11 02:46
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+13,135	$509	4¢	$532	+$23	10-29 12:14
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+8,086	$454	6¢	$522	+$68	11-03 08:02
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+11,104	$313	5¢	$505	+$192	11-05 06:32
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+16,876	$522	3¢	$430	-$91	10-29 22:14
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+10,040	$276	2¢	$201	-$75	10-30 17:49
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+35,616	$192	1¢	$196	+$4	11-10 20:16
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+57,001	$224	0¢	$143	-$81	11-14 03:54
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)	Cavaliers	+30	$18	94¢	$28	+$10	11-14 22:09
Devils vs. Capitals	Devils	+30	$17	76¢	$23	+$6	11-14 21:24
Nets vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	+20	$11	84¢	$17	+$6	11-14 23:03
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+137	$14	10¢	$14	$0	10-21 03:16
Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	+20	$12	52¢	$10	-$2	11-14 23:03
Red Wings vs. Lightning	Lightning	+20	$13	32¢	$6	-$7	11-14 21:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	61	$2.5K	2,229	1,326	+903	Yes	+$1,039	06-17 01:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	21	$2.0K	1,150	1,235	-85	Yes	+$411	06-12 22:51
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	52	$1.6K	7,356	7,356	-0	No	+$1,007	10-27 01:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	26	$1.6K	1,912	528	+1,384	No	+$821	06-27 00:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	61	$1.2K	3,944	0	+3,944	Yes	+$2,720	06-18 18:32
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	26	$1.2K	860	775	+85	No	+$360	05-22 12:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	42	$1.1K	2,366	0	+2,366	No	+$1,243	05-21 13:46
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	12	$842	770	770	+0	open	—	07-03 02:09
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	52	$804	12,062	3,976	+8,086	open	—	11-03 08:02
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	24	$769	3,003	0	+3,003	No	-$769	07-13 14:31
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	9	$766	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	11-10 22:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	39	$761	3,039	0	+3,039	Yes	-$761	05-18 03:41
will wti reach 80 in july 2026	31	$667	1,201	159	+1,042	Yes	-$532	07-13 14:37
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?	34	$639	5,264	0	+5,264	No	-$639	08-12 08:44
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	12	$625	9,263	0	+9,263	open	—	11-11 02:46
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	24	$597	7,306	0	+7,306	Yes	+$6,709	07-04 05:27
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	31	$546	881	0	+881	No	+$335	06-17 11:44
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	62	$522	16,876	0	+16,876	open	—	10-29 22:14
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	82	$509	13,135	0	+13,135	open	—	10-29 12:14
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	56	$506	1,535	0	+1,535	$80k	+$1,028	03-02 14:23
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$499	687	654	+33	No	-$198	07-15 20:48
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	9	$478	807	807	+0	open	—	10-27 16:50
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?	13	$404	3,036	3,036	+0	No	+$3	07-22 04:44
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?	32	$399	3,555	3,555	+0	No	-$1	08-01 01:19
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?	21	$395	4,830	0	+4,830	No	-$395	07-02 18:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	23	$371	1,297	0	+1,297	Yes	+$925	06-16 14:49
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?	39	$313	8,097	8,097	+0	No	-$66	08-15 13:30
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	45	$313	11,104	0	+11,104	open	—	11-05 06:32
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	50	$307	8,286	8,286	+0	No	-$65	08-02 04:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	24	$306	680	0	+680	No	+$374	05-23 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 23:03:50	Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x246847…
11-14 23:03:26	Nets vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xc758fe…
11-14 22:09:14	Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xf631c0…
11-14 21:55:52	Red Wings vs. Lightning	Lightning	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xc26096…
11-14 21:24:16	Devils vs. Capitals	Devils	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x2dd5f3…
11-14 03:54:53	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x27e9eb…
11-14 02:50:22	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc3028c…
11-13 22:12:13	Predators vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xa3440d…
11-13 22:11:04	Rangers vs. Canucks	Rangers	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x1b9942…
11-13 22:08:25	Grizzlies vs. Pelicans	Grizzlies	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x38fd6d…
11-13 03:52:33	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xe99fa2…
11-13 03:52:19	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$8	0xde9875…
11-13 03:51:01	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xfb4371…
11-13 03:50:48	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$8	0x057e31…
11-12 19:17:16	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9f36bd…
11-12 18:43:10	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x3b336e…
11-12 14:59:58	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x0da4d2…
11-12 14:57:19	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x6921eb…
11-12 14:56:12	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	76ers	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x6260fd…
11-12 14:56:12	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	76ers	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x37c9c1…
11-12 14:56:07	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	76ers	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x94597c…
11-12 10:40:33	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2,457	0¢	$5	0xd648b2…
11-12 10:04:37	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x3c02ed…
11-12 03:35:55	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x9c9991…
11-12 03:35:01	Warriors vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xf9bf82…
11-12 03:28:55	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x211f7c…
11-12 03:28:45	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0xf2c706…
11-11 23:21:18	Magic vs. Jazz	Magic	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xd29fea…
11-11 23:20:33	Nets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xe398ca…
11-11 23:19:19	Wizards vs. Pacers	Wizards	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x84c173…
11-11 23:18:07	Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x140fb2…
11-11 03:58:31	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x722432…
11-11 02:46:13	Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	249	7¢	$17	0x69a4fc…
11-11 02:43:54	Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xe0d7f7…
11-11 02:43:30	Spread: Jets (-2.5)	Devils	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x241e8f…
11-11 02:43:12	Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs	Avalanche	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x23eb4a…
11-11 02:41:21	Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	506	7¢	$35	0x208407…
11-11 00:50:39	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x218dd2…
11-11 00:37:46	Spread: Jets (-2.5)	Devils	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xee2000…
11-11 00:33:33	Spread: Jets (-1.5)	Devils	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x5213b7…
11-11 00:09:25	Red Wings vs. Blues	Blues	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5f58b6…
11-11 00:08:19	Wild vs. Canadiens	Wild	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc30b6e…
11-10 23:01:09	Panthers vs. Blue Jackets	Panthers	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x7a9250…
11-10 23:00:36	Devils vs. Jets	Devils	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x99e6ac…
11-10 22:59:52	Clippers vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xded212…
11-10 22:59:06	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x1f589f…
11-10 22:58:15	Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs	Avalanche	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xb90ed9…
11-10 22:15:40	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	375	16¢	$60	0xdfec27…
11-10 22:15:40	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x136804…
11-10 20:16:21	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	293	1¢	$2	0x544eda…
11-10 20:15:51	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xfe2318…
11-10 20:15:51	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	637	1¢	$4	0x78d484…
11-10 18:43:16	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x6ae7eb…
11-10 16:33:30	Heat vs. Jazz	Heat	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc7b507…
11-10 16:26:37	Capitals vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x6f9a3a…
11-10 14:25:49	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x89b701…
11-10 13:55:04	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	680	1¢	$5	0x973226…
11-10 04:20:45	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$4	0x0b4e9c…
11-10 04:20:19	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3,400	0¢	$10	0x2871de…
11-10 04:10:04	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x34268f…
11-10 03:44:42	Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x428934…
11-10 03:42:46	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x8aa8c6…
11-09 21:52:16	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb786ec…
11-09 21:52:03	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x9b04d3…
11-09 21:51:49	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xeec2bf…
11-09 21:51:49	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa03922…
11-09 21:22:34	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x63c2cb…
11-09 19:37:06	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x4d5e1b…
11-09 19:35:42	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb8ded8…
11-09 15:46:36	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Nuggets	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x125ad7…
11-09 15:40:30	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Nuggets	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xaeb9ad…
11-09 15:36:06	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Nuggets	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x9cf8ae…
11-09 15:35:33	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Nuggets	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xffaa70…
11-09 13:06:55	Spread: Raptors (-6.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x0f6d1a…
11-09 12:42:55	Cavaliers vs. Hornets	Cavaliers	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x8c479b…
11-09 12:27:15	Cavaliers vs. Hornets	Cavaliers	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x80a5c9…
11-09 07:54:55	nba nop gsw 2026 11 09 spread home 4pt5	Warriors	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x41391c…
11-09 06:12:43	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xd6b905…
11-09 06:02:03	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x32ad7c…
11-09 06:01:24	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x2bdb0f…
11-09 05:35:01	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa15f8b…
11-09 05:30:49	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xcb7fb5…
11-09 05:28:16	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x6e4d8e…
11-09 04:54:19	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Grizzlies	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0xa9da58…
11-09 04:49:48	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Grizzlies	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb147b4…
11-09 04:47:45	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xd88966…
11-09 01:36:39	Pelicans vs. Clippers	Pelicans	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x88ebbc…
11-09 01:03:00	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	390	16¢	$62	0xebdafb…
11-09 01:01:12	Buccaneers vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xba515b…
11-09 00:58:51	Penguins vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x79a8df…
11-09 00:41:10	Nets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x22b847…
11-09 00:40:52	Nets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x5735c4…
11-08 23:27:21	Devils vs. Maple Leafs	Devils	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2a89be…
11-08 23:27:09	Devils vs. Maple Leafs	Devils	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x17ffb0…
11-08 22:58:45	Lightning vs. Jets	Lightning	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x109f1f…
11-08 22:06:51	Texans vs. Chargers	Texans	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xdc04e2…
11-08 20:29:31	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x98d0ca…
11-08 20:22:12	Golden Knights vs. Sabres	Golden Knights	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x78a01d…
11-08 02:52:10	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x541e6f…
11-07 23:36:24	Nets vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xbafc97…