Realized P&L
-$88
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
37.0%
Resolved
381
Trades
533
lifetime
Volume
$690
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$70
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 10-07 03:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
51% 37% -$47
Sports
23% 34% +$4
Politics
22% 23% -$23
Tech
3% 8% -$16
Crypto
2% 14% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +10 $6 100¢ $10 +$4 05-04 17:46
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 88¢ $4 +$2 08-02 22:25
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +25 $1 13¢ $3 +$2 06-02 21:33
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes +10 $1 29¢ $3 +$2 07-30 02:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18 $1 15¢ $3 +$2 06-03 08:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3 $1 90¢ $3 +$1 06-01 22:59
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +3 $1 84¢ $3 +$1 06-01 12:37
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +3 $1 80¢ $2 +$1 10-01 06:48
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +185 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 09-22 15:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +3 $1 72¢ $2 +$1 06-02 21:28
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +60 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 09-25 14:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3 $1 68¢ $2 +$1 05-27 19:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $1 66¢ $2 +$1 07-04 23:06
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 09-16 21:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 65¢ $2 +$1 09-16 21:53
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +185 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 10-01 17:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$1 09-16 21:53
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 05-20 12:03
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 07-30 22:47
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 09-30 20:49
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +20 $2 9¢ $2 +$0 09-07 10:23
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 07-05 23:23
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 07-02 21:15
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3 $1 56¢ $2 +$1 06-25 21:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes +31 $3 5¢ $2 -$1 09-22 06:42
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 08-01 13:02
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 09-16 21:53
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 06-28 15:20
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +30 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 09-21 19:40
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +9 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 08-01 13:02