Aggravating-Ziggurat 0x3c4ff1…30b2be
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Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
43.4%
Resolved
12
Trades
125
lifetime
Volume
$142
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$15
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-08 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Sports
33% 50% +$5
Politics
29% 25% $-3
Other
28% 0% $-4
Tech
8% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3 $1 62¢ $2 +$0 06-01 22:59
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +30 $1 6¢ $2 +$0 06-05 06:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +2 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-03 22:55
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 06-04 19:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 06-02 16:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +30 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 06-07 21:36
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +11 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-05 16:09
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +2 $1 51¢ $1 $-0 06-01 22:59
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes +27 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 06-08 17:23
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 05-31 21:12
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +9 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 06-08 20:39
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 06-04 19:33
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 06-03 10:40
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? Yes +44 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-08 16:42
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +22 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-01 22:59