Aggravating-Ziggurat 0x3c4ff1…30b2be Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$101
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
36.9%
Resolved
415
Trades
540
lifetime
Volume
$698
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$61
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 11-02 04:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
51% 35% -$65
Sports
23% 33% +$2
Politics
22% 28% -$16
Tech
3% 8% -$16
Crypto
2% 14% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18 $1 27¢ $5 +$4 06-03 08:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 92¢ $5 +$2 08-02 22:25
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +60 $1 7¢ $4 +$3 09-25 14:21
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +25 $1 14¢ $4 +$2 06-02 21:33
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +185 $1 2¢ $4 +$2 09-22 15:55
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +3 $1 92¢ $3 +$1 06-01 22:59
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +3 $1 90¢ $3 +$1 06-01 12:37
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +185 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 10-01 17:18
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +20 $2 11¢ $2 +$1 09-07 10:23
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 05-20 12:03
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$1 07-30 22:47
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 09-30 20:49
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 09-17 19:00
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 07-02 21:15
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 07-05 23:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +3 $1 57¢ $2 +$1 09-16 21:53
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No +2 $1 83¢ $2 +$0 10-01 18:44
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +2 $1 76¢ $2 +$0 10-30 15:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +11 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-08 01:07
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 08-01 13:02
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-16 21:53
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 06-16 12:42
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +30 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 09-21 19:40
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +9 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 08-01 13:02
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +25 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 06-28 15:20
Will the Los Angeles Kings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +60 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-01 03:23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 06-02 21:28
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $0 07-04 23:00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes +31 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 09-22 06:42
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +110 $1 1¢ $1 $0 11-02 04:26