Realized P&L
+$2.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
337
Trades
2,147
lifetime
Volume
$20.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$18
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 16:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 80 days
Categories
Crypto
54% 45% +$2,213
Other
43% 17% +$530
Sports
3% 27% +$80
Politics
0% 20% +$1
Tech
0% 20% -$9
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes -800 -$8 1¢ $-4 +$4 06-09 07:56
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes -114 -$10 3¢ $-4 +$7 07-02 13:17
Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 -$1 0¢ $2 +$2 10-20 18:13
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +125 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-25 16:12
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 09-23 02:13
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 09-23 02:13
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 09-18 09:41
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-17 07:21
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-16 23:56
Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-19 09:36
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-09 20:32
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-08 17:24
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-17 06:24
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-15 10:41
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-18 13:59
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-14 16:27
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-16 21:23
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +250 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-19 10:43
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +125 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-21 21:45
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes +114 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-19 23:16
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +62 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-16 18:08
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +31 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-12 01:38
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +99 $0 0¢ $0 +$1 10-13 06:48
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +62 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-12 01:38
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +1 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 09-15 23:48