Realized P&L
+$46.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.00K
Hit rate
90.5%
Resolved
36,803
Trades
348,917
lifetime
Volume
$15.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$49.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-01
last 10-27 11:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
85% 79% +$29,936
Crypto
10% 45% +$15,676
Sports
5% 100% +$1,312
Politics
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 8678 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +6,947 $5,817 92¢ $6.4K +$606 10-27 12:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +5,304 $4,136 94¢ $5.0K +$876 10-08 09:39
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +4,905 $4,203 93¢ $4.6K +$353 10-27 12:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +3,509 $2,573 94¢ $3.3K +$726 10-02 14:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,952 $2,915 99¢ $2.9K +$18 10-09 13:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,716 $2,650 97¢ $2.6K -$6 10-09 21:09
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3,328 $2,760 67¢ $2.2K -$518 10-27 06:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,200 $2,189 100¢ $2.2K +$9 10-08 01:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,021 $1,486 79¢ $1.6K +$110 10-08 19:46
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +1,765 $698 88¢ $1.5K +$846 10-27 10:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,415 $1,409 100¢ $1.4K +$1 10-08 07:37
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +1,327 $632 96¢ $1.3K +$635 10-27 07:23
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,045 $1,044 100¢ $1.0K -$1 10-07 12:30
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,044 $992 97¢ $1.0K +$20 10-05 19:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,000 $996 99¢ $992 -$4 10-08 17:07
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +1,003 $712 98¢ $983 +$271 10-27 10:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +1,397 $850 70¢ $971 +$120 10-27 10:56
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,040 $953 86¢ $893 -$60 10-05 19:56
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +980 $854 90¢ $877 +$23 10-05 13:49
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,044 $847 82¢ $851 +$4 10-06 02:26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2,535 $688 33¢ $828 +$139 10-23 14:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? No +812 $800 100¢ $810 +$10 10-26 00:25
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? No +785 $784 100¢ $784 $0 10-03 14:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +959 $675 76¢ $724 +$49 10-02 13:53
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +732 $598 99¢ $722 +$124 10-27 12:36
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +720 $702 98¢ $707 +$5 10-26 15:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +774 $596 90¢ $701 +$105 10-27 10:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? No +679 $664 100¢ $678 +$14 10-27 11:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +7,709 $1,109 8¢ $582 -$527 10-27 07:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? No +602 $530 96¢ $578 +$48 10-27 06:19