Realized P&L
+$1.91K
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
816
Trades
2,021
lifetime
Volume
$33.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.59K
22 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
56% 67% +$722
Sports
20% 96% +$209
Politics
18% 85% +$973
Tech
5% 92% +$7
Pop-Culture
1% 69% -$1
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +375 $351 94¢ $351 -$1 09-24 11:47
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +242 $241 100¢ $242 +$1 10-03 23:59
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +133 $129 95¢ $127 -$2 10-03 04:07
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +124 $123 91¢ $113 -$10 10-03 05:45
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 +$0 09-27 00:11
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +95 $94 100¢ $95 +$1 09-25 05:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 $0 09-24 16:03
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +66 $65 100¢ $66 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +63 $60 100¢ $63 +$3 10-03 19:47
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 96¢ $61 -$1 09-27 00:14
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +59 $58 96¢ $56 -$2 10-03 14:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? No +49 $49 100¢ $49 +$0 09-23 15:15
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +72 $53 49¢ $35 -$18 10-01 01:11
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +39 $37 88¢ $34 -$3 09-29 16:35
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +34 $33 96¢ $33 -$1 09-22 21:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 09-25 13:20
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +36 $24 54¢ $20 -$4 10-01 02:17
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +14 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 09-29 02:20
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 $0 09-30 20:12
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +9 $6 95¢ $9 +$3 09-28 16:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-25 05:42
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? No +6 $5 87¢ $5 +$1 10-03 09:50