Realized P&L
+$679
Unrealized P&L
-$66
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
1,781
Trades
5,686
lifetime
Volume
$76.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$2.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-13
last 09-13 05:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
75% 85% +$550
Politics
20% 77% +$31
Tech
3% 81% +$17
Sports
1% 100% +$4
Crypto
1% 82% +$69
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 1578 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +231 $222 99¢ $228 +$5 08-16 21:56
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +235 $155 78¢ $184 +$29 08-15 14:27
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +415 $134 43¢ $178 +$44 08-16 15:26
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +185 $169 96¢ $178 +$9 08-17 00:28
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No +183 $132 80¢ $146 +$13 08-15 05:20
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +222 $161 61¢ $136 -$25 08-15 14:15
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +469 $435 29¢ $135 -$300 08-16 23:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +135 $134 99¢ $134 +$0 08-15 09:40
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +180 $103 70¢ $125 +$22 08-15 04:55
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +120 $119 100¢ $120 +$1 08-16 23:33
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +114 $114 100¢ $114 +$0 08-16 20:35
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +115 $104 98¢ $113 +$10 08-16 22:56
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +100 $87 88¢ $88 +$0 09-13 03:26
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +85 $62 99¢ $84 +$22 08-13 13:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +80 $76 100¢ $80 +$4 08-13 15:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +80 $75 99¢ $79 +$4 08-13 14:37
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +80 $73 99¢ $79 +$6 08-16 20:18
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +135 $42 58¢ $78 +$36 08-16 20:38
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +80 $79 93¢ $74 -$4 08-15 09:15
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +80 $57 89¢ $71 +$14 08-16 08:20
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +80 $30 82¢ $66 +$36 08-15 21:15
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +66 $62 93¢ $62 -$1 08-17 00:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +60 $58 97¢ $58 +$1 08-15 14:06
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +60 $59 95¢ $57 -$2 09-13 03:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +74 $62 77¢ $57 -$6 08-16 05:00
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +80 $74 69¢ $55 -$18 08-16 05:46
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +56 $54 99¢ $55 +$1 08-15 16:54
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +90 $26 60¢ $54 +$28 08-16 21:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +53 $52 99¢ $53 +$0 08-14 18:10
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +50 $45 98¢ $49 +$4 08-16 22:39