Realized P&L
-$149
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
8
Trades
785
lifetime
Volume
$21.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$663
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
48% 17% +$225
Politics
28% 0% $-284
Sports
18% 0% $-90
Crypto
4%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -400 $-178 56¢ $-222 $-44 07-20 18:53
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -4,000 $-186 $-142 +$44 06-15 00:10
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +3,000 $118 $109 $-8 07-20 14:32
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -150 $-105 69¢ $-103 +$2 06-28 20:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +200 $44 24¢ $49 +$5 06-12 06:05
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? No -65 $-29 40¢ $-26 +$3 06-06 03:07
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? Yes +64 $12 18¢ $11 $-1 07-14 22:06