Realized P&L (90d)
-$420
Unrealized P&L
+$259
Hit rate
27.7%
Resolved (90d)
31
Trades (90d)
59
2,563 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.99K
$45.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$3.13K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 15:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
38% 35% -$2,863
Politics
36% 43% -$320
Sports
22% 47% -$355
Crypto
3% 33% -$400
Tech
2% 100% +$112
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$844 26¢ $-1042 -$198 11-04 13:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 -$529 64¢ $-635 -$106 08-20 09:41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$252 18¢ $-353 -$101 11-04 02:21
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -360 -$261 83¢ $-299 -$38 09-04 16:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -800 -$276 37¢ $-298 -$22 05-23 20:47
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No -300 -$190 95¢ $-285 -$95 06-19 16:26
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? Yes +1,124 $315 9¢ $101 -$214 07-22 12:11
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -800 -$141 6¢ $-49 +$92 05-27 03:26
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -2,467 -$79 1¢ $-23 +$55 05-19 19:33
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,604 $80 0¢ $19 -$61 11-04 15:40
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$685 2¢ $-17 +$668 05-24 06:43
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,000 -$218 1¢ $-6 +$211 07-28 07:31
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4,000 -$49 0¢ $-4 +$45 05-13 18:42
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,200 -$25 0¢ $-2 +$23 05-13 03:36
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -24 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-13 02:35