Realized P&L (7d)
+$57
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
16.8%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
10
2,592 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$741
$45.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$3.33K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 15:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Other
38% 34% -$2,890
Politics
36% 43% -$320
Sports
22% 47% -$355
Crypto
3% 33% -$400
Tech
2% 100% +$112
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$844 27¢ $-1090 -$246 11-04 13:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 -$529 90¢ $-895 -$366 08-20 09:41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -2,000 -$252 18¢ $-361 -$109 11-04 02:21
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -800 -$276 37¢ $-292 -$16 05-23 20:47
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? No -300 -$190 91¢ $-272 -$82 06-19 16:26
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -360 -$261 69¢ $-248 +$13 09-04 16:29
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? Yes +1,124 $315 5¢ $57 -$258 07-22 12:11
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes -2,467 -$79 1¢ $-32 +$47 05-19 19:33
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes -800 -$141 3¢ $-27 +$114 05-27 03:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$685 2¢ $-21 +$664 05-24 06:43
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7,604 $80 0¢ $19 -$61 11-04 15:40
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,000 -$218 1¢ $-6 +$211 07-28 07:31
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4,000 -$49 0¢ $-6 +$43 05-13 18:42
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,200 -$25 0¢ $-2 +$23 05-13 03:36
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes -246 -$8 0¢ $-0 +$8 08-02 07:42
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -24 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 05-13 02:35
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? Yes +0 -$8 0¢ $0 +$8 07-09 00:37