Neglected-Execution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$536

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

170

Trades

380

lifetime

Volume

$274.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$723

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-25 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Sports

49% 57% -$9,026

Other

36% 33% +$9,948

Crypto

12% 40% +$115

Politics

2% — —

Tech

2% 0% -$1,573

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	2	$26.6K	16,667	16,667	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$6,650	05-17 22:38
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$23.9K	2,229,352	1,686,801	+542,552	No	-$6,563	06-30 22:51
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17?	2	$17.8K	12,855	12,855	+0	Yes	+$7,842	05-17 21:01
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$17.8K	12,821	12,821	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$7,808	05-17 19:56
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	3	$11.4K	21,547	21,547	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$9,227	05-17 22:17
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$6.8K	13,131	0	+13,131	No	+$6,331	05-16 20:56
atp shang rublev 2026 08 04	2	$6.5K	5,433	5,433	+0	Juncheng Shang	+$4,351	08-04 23:09
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	3	$5.8K	14,920	0	+14,920	No	-$5,848	05-27 16:39
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$5.0K	185,059	185,059	+0	No	-$1,447	07-09 21:35
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$4.9K	14,977	14,977	+0	No	+$493	07-12 07:17
mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	3	$4.4K	3,222	3,222	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$2,066	09-30 21:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:40 UTC	4	$4.2K	2,759	2,759	+0	Up	+$1,264	06-09 19:45
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$4.0K	99,470	0	+99,470	No	-$4,000	05-17 22:18
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$3.6K	29,024	29,024	+0	No	-$430	05-18 15:24
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$3.6K	2,736	2,736	+0	open	—	10-17 05:15
mlb det nyy 2026 07 01	2	$3.4K	4,545	4,545	+0	Detroit Tigers	+$1,409	07-01 20:03
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total away 0pt5	2	$3.3K	2,435	2,435	+0	Under	+$1,289	06-30 22:50
mlb cws hou 2026 09 30	1	$3.2K	3,893	0	+3,893	Chicago White Sox	+$701	09-30 21:23
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?	1	$3.0K	9,880	0	+9,880	Yes	+$6,880	05-17 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET	5	$2.9K	3,109	3,109	+0	Down	+$1,002	09-16 18:35
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw?	2	$2.9K	1,832	1,832	+0	Yes	+$786	10-16 20:25
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9am et	2	$2.3K	2,046	2,046	+0	Up	+$487	06-30 13:43
atp virtane shelton 2026 06 29	2	$2.3K	1,930	1,930	+0	Otto Virtanen	+$1,525	06-30 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET	4	$2.3K	3,502	3,502	-0	Up	+$429	06-12 21:51
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	2	$2.3K	4,762	4,762	+0	No	+$286	06-20 20:34
atp butvila milavsk 2026 08 12	2	$2.1K	1,303	1,303	+0	Daniel Milavsky	+$468	08-13 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET	2	$2.1K	2,085	2,085	+0	Up	+$2,018	09-16 18:00
mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	2	$2.0K	1,054	1,054	+0	New York Yankees	+$83	06-10 20:02
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$2.0K	1,887	1,887	+0	Minnesota Twins	+$19	09-16 18:50
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	1	$2.0K	5,167	0	+5,167	Yes	-$2,000	05-27 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:57:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	900	6¢	$54	0x769d26…
10-25 18:56:41	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,654	2¢	$51	0x71e808…
10-17 05:27:34	wta kraus kobori 2026 10 17	Momoko Kobori	BUY	1,686	28¢	$471	0x6b3ce8…
10-17 05:18:07	wta ito grant 2026 10 17	Tyra Caterina Grant	BUY	752	31¢	$233	0x0a31e3…
10-17 05:15:20	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,736	64¢	$1,751	0x3d091a…
10-16 20:30:00	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,736	66¢	$1,806	0xf829a7…
10-16 20:25:56	Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,832	100¢	$1,830	0x47bd73…
10-16 20:08:23	Will Hellas Verona FC vs. US Catanzaro 1929 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,832	57¢	$1,044	0x6d3fad…
10-16 20:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	625	100¢	$624	0x5d23a6…
10-16 20:00:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	625	56¢	$350	0x3e3f78…
10-16 19:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	815	99¢	$808	0x5ce8e0…
10-16 19:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	177	42¢	$74	0x1c0cc1…
10-16 19:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	317	46¢	$146	0xbe6034…
10-16 19:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	321	46¢	$146	0x6b4c5b…
10-16 19:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	380	100¢	$379	0x5a1d68…
10-16 18:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	380	37¢	$140	0x9367fc…
10-16 18:12:26	Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	843	18¢	$152	0x3693db…
10-16 17:58:45	Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	843	62¢	$523	0x9300b5…
10-16 17:55:15	atp gaston kjaer 2026 10 16	Hugo Gaston	BUY	375	12¢	$45	0xb96af7…
10-15 21:05:17	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	313	62¢	$194	0x39ff89…
10-14 21:36:19	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	313	63¢	$197	0x1737b6…
10-09 18:30:13	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	146	58¢	$85	0x393b86…
10-09 18:29:11	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0xc78985…
10-09 18:26:25	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x091d3b…
10-09 10:34:45	Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,940	3¢	$52	0x5fd685…
10-06 11:16:45	Will the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	339	3¢	$10	0xa3eb2a…
10-06 11:16:37	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	3,982	4¢	$162	0xdc7277…
10-04 23:28:58	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	616	21¢	$131	0xc760b1…
10-04 23:28:38	mlb sd mil 2026 10 04	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	221	100¢	$220	0x141699…
10-04 20:35:11	mlb sd mil 2026 10 04	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	221	38¢	$84	0x6a80f4…
10-01 13:33:11	Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: Republic of Ireland O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1,026	37¢	$383	0xc3e617…
10-01 13:31:15	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	616	16¢	$100	0xc888e9…
10-01 06:49:36	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	602	94¢	$567	0x6b6d98…
10-01 06:06:03	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	602	53¢	$320	0x4a15e0…
09-30 21:23:59	mlb cws hou 2026 09 30	Chicago White Sox	BUY	3,893	82¢	$3,193	0x48feb3…
09-30 21:22:48	mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	3,222	100¢	$3,219	0xca0123…
09-30 20:15:06	mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	2,662	33¢	$878	0x5faac7…
09-30 20:03:42	Will the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	339	3¢	$10	0x4ba728…
09-30 20:03:20	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,982	5¢	$100	0x7231bc…
09-30 20:03:03	Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xacece9…
09-30 18:52:30	mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	560	49¢	$275	0xc1a073…
09-27 19:27:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	128	10¢	$13	0x801667…
09-27 19:24:44	Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	931	1¢	$10	0xd73083…
09-27 19:05:36	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	270	6¢	$16	0xe13778…
09-27 19:05:23	Will the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	335	3¢	$9	0xa146a9…
09-27 19:05:15	Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$7	0x672c4b…
09-27 19:05:06	Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$9	0x225439…
09-27 19:04:50	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	447	4¢	$18	0x2a00a4…
09-27 19:04:39	Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	13,158	2¢	$283	0x3ed48e…
09-27 18:51:39	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	1,135	2¢	$22	0xb8df14…
09-27 18:42:56	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	838	1¢	$10	0xf90099…
09-27 18:35:38	Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xafa98f…
09-27 16:34:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,691	17¢	$288	0x3234a6…
09-27 16:34:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	758	60¢	$455	0x19da8c…
09-25 20:56:11	Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox	Chicago Cubs	BUY	1,044	53¢	$553	0x93ea45…
09-23 22:37:58	mlb tor bal 2026 09 23	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	283	44¢	$124	0x764416…
09-23 22:37:05	Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xe5d03f…
09-23 22:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,487	7¢	$106	0xd6110c…
09-23 22:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1,050	9¢	$91	0xa4c9ab…
09-23 22:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	529	10¢	$53	0x946ccc…
09-23 22:30:44	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	220	5¢	$10	0x7af739…
09-23 22:27:13	Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	13,158	4¢	$500	0x352ac7…
09-23 22:09:56	Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xc3ccbb…
09-23 22:09:20	Will the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	335	3¢	$10	0x21d9c7…
09-23 21:21:29	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	9,530	0¢	$10	0x1dda31…
09-23 21:21:11	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0xb8e0ea…
09-23 21:20:58	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x9dc144…
09-23 21:20:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,691	21¢	$354	0x2751c8…
09-23 21:19:29	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	758	66¢	$500	0xe2b052…
09-21 21:25:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd2aecb…
09-21 21:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x537f39…
09-20 17:25:51	Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	488	69¢	$337	0xbe165b…
09-20 17:21:34	Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 SV 07 Elversberg?	Yes	SELL	341	100¢	$341	0xaf5dd3…
09-20 17:14:49	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	732	53¢	$388	0x5d0335…
09-20 16:42:07	Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 SV 07 Elversberg?	Yes	BUY	341	25¢	$85	0x90dc83…
09-16 18:50:13	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	SELL	1,887	54¢	$1,019	0x214425…
09-16 18:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	923	67¢	$617	0x737e8d…
09-16 18:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	2,118	61¢	$1,291	0x7d4c97…
09-16 18:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	68	57¢	$38	0xc3440a…
09-16 18:25:18	New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	1,887	53¢	$1,000	0x93981a…
09-16 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2,415	29¢	$689	0xa25280…
09-16 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	694	37¢	$255	0x13d98b…
09-16 18:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	2,085	99¢	$2,073	0x695734…
09-16 17:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2,085	3¢	$55	0xd34255…
08-28 15:17:16	atp fearnle rodiono 2026 08 27	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	53	54¢	$29	0x7034c0…
08-20 22:52:06	atp prado martine 2026 08 20	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x55a8aa…
08-20 22:39:06	atp rocha hurkacz 2026 08 20	Hubert Hurkacz	SELL	7	66¢	$4	0x5347a6…
08-20 22:15:51	atp rocha hurkacz 2026 08 20	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x200d52…
08-20 22:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb20834…
08-20 22:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9a8d75…
08-20 21:06:48	xauusd up or down on august 21 2026	Down	SELL	245	50¢	$121	0x533a11…
08-20 21:05:34	xauusd up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	245	53¢	$129	0xafc05a…
08-17 06:15:28	bitcoin up or down august 17 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	138	30¢	$41	0xb83acc…
08-17 06:14:28	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x6fb915…
08-17 06:14:13	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	5,749	1¢	$38	0xcdeabc…
08-13 22:41:37	wta swiatek rybakin 2026 08 13	Elena Rybakina	BUY	826	23¢	$190	0x3e7a61…
08-13 22:27:39	atp tirante choinsk 2026 08 13	Jan Choinski	SELL	729	55¢	$401	0xc47728…
08-13 21:06:45	Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski	Jan Choinski	BUY	1,458	13¢	$190	0xb1dfbe…
08-13 19:07:39	atp michals neumaye 2026 08 13	Daniel Michalski	BUY	974	56¢	$541	0x37faf9…
08-13 19:00:27	atp schwaer andrade 2026 08 10	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	200,000	0¢	$200	0xd57131…