Loathsome-Unibody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

300

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$8.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-26 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

78% 82% +$1

Crypto

14% 79% +$0

Politics

6% 59% $0

Sports

2% 43% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	$0	10-15 21:27
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	09-22 18:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 17?	5	$86	43	43	+0	No	$0	05-17 18:26
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$73	36	36	+0	No	$0	05-31 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on June 25?	3	$73	36	36	+0	No	+$0	06-25 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 7?	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-07 07:25
bitcoin above 68k on june 25 2026	3	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	06-24 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 3?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-03 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 39°C or higher on July 2?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-01 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on May 22?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-22 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-31 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 4?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-03 22:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 25?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-25 17:49
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-31 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 5?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-05 05:32
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	06-30 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 10?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-09 23:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 3?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-02 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 24?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-24 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C or below on June 25?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-25 13:04
Will Scott Schlagel be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-03 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on June 28?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-28 02:43
ethereum above 1200 on july 2 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	07-01 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 15?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-14 23:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 12?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-11 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 15?	5	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-14 19:14
ethereum above 1800 on july 1 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-01 09:26
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	06-30 16:29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 16?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-16 00:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-02 22:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 12?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-12 15:13
bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-13 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:06:26	Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x62fbed…
10-26 08:05:30	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaaacfe…
10-26 08:04:38	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xba5a85…
10-26 08:03:47	Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcd66cf…
10-26 08:02:57	Will Espanyol win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4fa981…
10-15 21:27:59	Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa42df4…
10-13 13:57:08	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x41dfb6…
10-12 15:36:14	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x08c768…
10-09 14:21:19	Will Espanyol win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf6aaff…
10-04 01:16:19	Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xaf7faa…
10-04 01:15:26	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0xe35e23…
10-04 01:14:37	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfe0b99…
09-22 22:31:02	Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x246e22…
09-22 18:27:55	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2cd971…
09-13 03:18:09	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba30d1…
09-06 15:25:09	Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5c48e0…
09-01 11:35:22	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xab0de7…
08-26 23:30:09	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x99a494…
08-26 16:05:16	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8fc0a…
08-25 19:57:49	Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe6d592…
08-25 19:56:45	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdf3f89…
08-12 09:05:28	Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3c4152…
08-07 11:32:55	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfc009a…
08-06 02:58:44	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6a92dd…
07-26 05:44:30	Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2187ea…
07-15 07:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 15?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x16bac6…
07-15 00:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 44°C or higher on July 15?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x6833c1…
07-14 23:23:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa51e2a…
07-14 17:07:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcd0ff2…
07-14 15:47:58	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe54d3d…
07-14 15:21:32	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x13f951…
07-14 14:10:52	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x231487…
07-14 13:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x639689…
07-14 11:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd02123…
07-14 11:35:49	solana above 90 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcdc10b…
07-14 11:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 44°C or higher on July 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xb32752…
07-14 09:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xb0a683…
07-14 07:39:02	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x42e3e3…
07-13 16:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf020cf…
07-13 15:44:55	solana above 90 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xea3abd…
07-13 15:22:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8edc6f…
07-13 13:01:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbc11a7…
07-13 12:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xd9fbde…
07-13 10:40:04	ethereum above 2100 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0a1637…
07-13 08:18:16	ethereum above 2100 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb90524…
07-13 07:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 13?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x9ade98…
07-13 04:28:01	ethereum above 2100 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9f4d3e…
07-13 04:14:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x35b1a7…
07-13 01:26:26	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc050b0…
07-13 01:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xac98c8…
07-13 00:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf86033…
07-12 23:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on July 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe120de…
07-12 22:17:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8c7902…
07-12 19:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7c0519…
07-12 18:02:50	bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe6b895…
07-12 15:59:11	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3cca44…
07-12 15:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x98a1ee…
07-12 15:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x25f70c…
07-12 15:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 12?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4620bd…
07-12 09:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf459b4…
07-12 08:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc22667…
07-12 05:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa3bf99…
07-12 02:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6b5a22…
07-12 01:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1fe2c2…
07-12 00:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3e9c1b…
07-12 00:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x69f1de…
07-12 00:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0xbb4061…
07-12 00:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9a0b1d…
07-11 22:24:55	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x549190…
07-11 19:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb86c3d…
07-11 18:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xef66de…
07-11 16:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde5247…
07-11 11:40:47	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2e02c3…
07-11 11:39:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 12?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xf5c3c7…
07-11 10:38:32	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc5a044…
07-11 07:54:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x695fb9…
07-11 05:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8940a1…
07-11 04:17:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcf1e5d…
07-11 01:32:19	bitcoin above 60k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x18ddc6…
07-11 00:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 11?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x416607…
07-11 00:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on July 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf23b6a…
07-11 00:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 11?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9c7b1e…
07-11 00:04:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb41ea4…
07-10 22:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 11?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6a7234…
07-10 20:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 87°F or below on July 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6ca9fc…
07-10 17:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7a649f…
07-10 17:01:23	Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x88a92f…
07-10 15:22:37	Will PN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x53e182…
07-10 11:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 10?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe70df8…
07-10 11:03:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x35b6fd…
07-10 06:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf824ad…
07-10 05:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C or below on July 11?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x811dd9…
07-10 01:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C or below on July 11?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9040d4…
07-10 00:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4d0008…
07-09 23:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x666d45…
07-09 23:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 10?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xfce8d8…
07-09 23:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3718db…
07-09 18:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C or higher on July 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x426776…
07-09 13:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 9?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0f382d…
07-09 13:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on July 9?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2d21d9…