Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$397
$1,316 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$6,131
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 11:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $327 | $327 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $1 | $68 | $67 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $14 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | $34 | $34 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $302 | $302 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $18 | $18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +287 | $286 | $286 | 2 | 05-14 05:56 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +66 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:54 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-14 10:39 |
| Hasty-Junior 0x6be2…f498 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 10:55 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 00:34 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 10:43 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 00:36 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 06:34 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 11:29 |
| Huge-Sombrero 0x21a5…22f1 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 10:19 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 05:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 00:36 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:34 |
| Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:56 |
| Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 11:34:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbfb833… |
| 05-14 11:29:14 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x9813c2… |
| 05-14 10:55:11 | Hasty-Junior 0x6be2…f498 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x6e12aa… |
| 05-14 10:43:54 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4515c2… |
| 05-14 10:39:16 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x0506e2… |
| 05-14 10:19:05 | Huge-Sombrero 0x21a5…22f1 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb60924… |
| 05-14 06:29:04 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68f8a6… |
| 05-14 06:28:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb73151… |
| 05-14 05:56:28 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 251 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x3fbb59… |
| 05-14 05:20:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ee934… |
| 05-14 05:20:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f3c5d… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe09841… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe6a8e2… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x005b77… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x253e7f… |
| 05-14 01:17:06 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd8767f… |
| 05-14 01:06:26 | Necessary-Wasp 0x5abf…4f48 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x27a332… |
| 05-14 00:56:26 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0842e4… |
| 05-14 00:46:27 | Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3ad78d… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9e6119… |
| 05-14 00:37:05 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9940c5… |
| 05-14 00:36:58 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc5a97b… |
| 05-14 00:36:57 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x517187… |
| 05-14 00:34:23 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8dd0b4… |
| 05-14 00:34:12 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe183c9… |
| 05-14 00:34:12 | Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8ef678… |
| 05-14 00:34:12 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x921677… |
| 05-14 00:34:12 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xc9f912… |
| 05-14 00:04:11 | Classic-Vault 0x6c27…4db9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x11f305… |
| 05-13 12:43:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6df01e… |
| 05-13 09:54:11 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9de048… |
| 05-13 09:54:09 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x5f4a4e… |
| 05-13 06:36:21 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4c8e86… |
| 05-13 06:36:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb07cde… |
| 05-13 06:34:25 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x6647e3… |