Hasty-Junior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

359

Trades

719

lifetime

Volume

$8.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-24 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

78% 85% -$12

Crypto

13% 89% +$0

Politics

7% 79% +$0

Sports

2% 25% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+1	$1	100¢	$1	$0	09-17 08:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	6	$104	52	52	+0	No	$0	05-19 20:07
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	2	$96	48	48	+0	No	+$0	04-13 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	6	$96	61	35	+27	No	$0	05-16 02:54
Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	3	$71	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:10
highest temperature in dallas on april 21 2026 52 53f	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	04-21 06:47
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	1	$63	63	0	+63	No	+$0	04-11 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 27?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	04-27 02:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	10	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 03:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 11 2026?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-15 12:43
Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-15 07:04
Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	3	$57	42	14	+28	No	+$0	05-23 01:53
Will "Hulk Hogan: Real American" be the top global Netflix show this week?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-04 12:37
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-05 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 8?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-07 21:04
Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-03 23:55
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on May 9?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:18
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 18corhigher	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	04-05 06:27
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-09 15:37
Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-18 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 7?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-07 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	6	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-17 10:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on April 25?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	04-25 07:33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 17?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-16 23:11
highest temperature in warsaw on april 4 2026 18c	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	04-04 02:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	2	$51	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 20?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-20 15:33
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	01-27 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 29?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-29 06:14
highest temperature in los angeles on april 7 2026 63forbelow	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	04-07 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?	2	$49	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-16 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 02:56:11	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcefefa…
10-24 02:55:18	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x283e52…
10-24 02:54:27	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfba079…
10-24 02:53:32	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4c82f5…
10-24 02:52:39	Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc6c144…
10-22 22:42:08	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5b6896…
10-12 12:31:12	Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x618aa7…
10-04 21:06:50	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xad06f5…
10-04 21:05:58	Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1f630f…
10-04 21:05:04	Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x27c715…
10-04 21:04:10	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x726b64…
10-04 21:03:20	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x16e2e4…
10-04 21:02:31	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8668c1…
10-04 21:01:38	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x139219…
09-17 08:32:45	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83c7f1…
09-12 02:48:28	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x23ecb4…
09-07 02:23:22	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb2203c…
09-01 18:39:07	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe95a41…
08-23 16:53:43	Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xef0327…
08-07 13:15:49	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd16e13…
08-01 01:53:26	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x222782…
07-27 21:29:55	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x927ca6…
07-22 09:33:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x665310…
07-16 17:22:02	Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59b478…
07-11 11:28:20	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6e4c3a…
07-11 11:27:23	Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf56e9d…
07-11 11:26:29	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x450d6b…
07-06 03:46:10	Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x18d647…
06-29 19:09:29	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa2e9fe…
06-27 18:52:26	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05b230…
06-22 20:11:13	Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x876437…
06-18 05:09:47	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4302cb…
05-23 01:53:39	Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x606e6b…
05-20 17:13:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9f5824…
05-20 16:30:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x418c0b…
05-20 16:01:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb9315…
05-20 15:38:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xca74a0…
05-20 15:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 20?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x661b22…
05-20 11:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x231238…
05-20 10:11:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1095ff…
05-20 01:33:45	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4a6151…
05-19 20:07:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x3bebec…
05-19 17:52:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x77ac22…
05-19 15:22:19	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8d65e3…
05-19 14:50:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x25a8a2…
05-19 14:49:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc71037…
05-19 14:39:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x953311…
05-19 14:39:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2138b8…
05-19 13:40:46	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa915e7…
05-19 10:20:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xebbbb5…
05-19 08:28:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x0c6beb…
05-19 07:53:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4cac0c…
05-19 03:42:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x58d715…
05-19 03:38:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7771ac…
05-19 03:36:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xce7bc1…
05-19 03:25:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe720b7…
05-19 03:24:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xca6107…
05-19 03:21:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5526c5…
05-19 03:21:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x930d0d…
05-19 03:11:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc7ca1c…
05-19 01:57:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xaea9ff…
05-19 01:17:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2ca310…
05-18 22:50:55	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x91c6f4…
05-18 20:20:34	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x151d7e…
05-18 20:19:08	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xca24ef…
05-18 20:03:21	Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xffc114…
05-18 19:11:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 19?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x346094…
05-18 18:12:07	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5a8b63…
05-18 17:04:25	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x21aba9…
05-18 16:29:30	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6ae060…
05-18 15:29:04	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x07fad3…
05-18 13:16:36	Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7e111a…
05-18 11:50:14	Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7711ad…
05-18 11:50:14	Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0634fd…
05-18 11:35:20	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xa05873…
05-18 11:05:38	Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x35097e…
05-18 10:50:46	Will Doug Mastriano win the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb5659c…
05-18 08:18:29	Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x4e294b…
05-18 06:07:53	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xa3b8e0…
05-18 05:33:08	Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe1a91e…
05-18 04:44:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8e788b…
05-18 03:14:46	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d7748…
05-18 02:12:16	Will Leland Olinger II win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0c42d2…
05-18 00:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or below on May 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ab2b5…
05-17 23:20:06	Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7dea29…
05-17 22:33:14	Will Leland Olinger II win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe8ad33…
05-17 20:46:23	Will Ryan Dotson be the Republican Nominee for KY-06?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1abd07…
05-17 19:29:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 18?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x86ce54…
05-17 19:28:01	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3002c2…
05-17 19:08:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x41ccd0…
05-17 18:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbf71e8…
05-17 18:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xce83b0…
05-17 18:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xadd94b…
05-17 18:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xacf332…
05-17 18:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x42ed38…
05-17 17:18:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4fc1c8…
05-17 14:19:44	Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa46116…
05-17 12:44:28	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x76507a…
05-17 10:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xed32b9…
05-17 10:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33c3b2…