Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on May 9?
open
Total volume
$2,367
$15,641 in 24h
Trades
18
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$5,881
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 09:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | — | $2.4K | $2.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 7 | — | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $105 | $105 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alienated-Developer 0x0b63…a379 | No | +1,026 | $1,025 | $1,025 | 1 | 05-07 10:46 |
| Trustworthy-Marines 0x9177…0491 | No | +1,003 | $1,001 | $1,001 | 2 | 05-08 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9296…ffbc | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-07 09:15 |
| Wide-Extension 0x09f7…b032 | No | +101 | $101 | $101 | 2 | 05-08 04:19 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 08:24 |
| Plaintive-Hide-Award 0x7024…89b5 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 09:25 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 05:13 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 08:19 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 07:29 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 13:24 |
| Flippant-Stew 0xa5fe…5476 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 09:09 |
| Austere-Replacement 0xac46…6cdc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 09:09 |
| Willing-Basin 0xb2a1…378a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 09:09 |
| Abandoned-Blouse 0xd7ff…5a25 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:39 |
| Sneaky-Cash 0x231e…22b3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:40:35 | Trustworthy-Marines 0x9177…0491 | No | BUY | 979 | 100¢ | $977 | 0x3be721… |
| 05-08 09:25:32 | Plaintive-Hide-Award 0x7024…89b5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xeb5b74… |
| 05-08 09:09:07 | Flippant-Stew 0xa5fe…5476 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf185a0… |
| 05-08 09:09:03 | Willing-Basin 0xb2a1…378a | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x72c1bb… |
| 05-08 09:09:01 | Austere-Replacement 0xac46…6cdc | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xca001f… |
| 05-08 08:39:41 | Abandoned-Blouse 0xd7ff…5a25 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x96edad… |
| 05-08 08:24:57 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x474cb4… |
| 05-08 07:44:28 | Sneaky-Cash 0x231e…22b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x83efdd… |
| 05-08 05:13:49 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x8a62bb… |
| 05-08 04:19:45 | Wide-Extension 0x09f7…b032 | No | BUY | 76 | 100¢ | $76 | 0x5ef525… |
| 05-08 03:49:21 | Wide-Extension 0x09f7…b032 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xbe9dbf… |
| 05-07 23:06:26 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25d51c… |
| 05-07 13:24:25 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xdfd7d9… |
| 05-07 10:46:18 | Alienated-Developer 0x0b63…a379 | No | BUY | 1,026 | 100¢ | $1,025 | 0x0c1123… |
| 05-07 09:15:13 | (anonymous) 0x9296…ffbc | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x827d57… |
| 05-07 09:15:13 | Trustworthy-Marines 0x9177…0491 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x525345… |
| 05-07 08:19:43 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1b5a26… |
| 05-07 07:29:05 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xa183f3… |