Huge-Sombrero — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$386

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 08-25 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

72% 100% +$22

Sports

27% 100% +$339

Crypto

1% 100% +$25

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$953	495	495	+0	Yes	+$21	04-28 06:13
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$561	900	0	+900	No	+$339	06-10 04:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:00 UTC	2	$24	50	0	+50	Down	+$25	03-03 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-14 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on May 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-17 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 07:50
Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-19 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 06:42
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-19 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 04:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 29?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C or higher on May 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-14 08:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-25 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 26?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-25 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 26?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 05:46
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 29?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 06:45
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 07:58:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc64340…
08-25 07:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x9a24e5…
08-25 07:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc23db1…
07-24 09:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8dc615…
07-24 09:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef6c72…
07-24 09:04:40	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xadc538…
07-17 07:02:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f36c2…
07-17 07:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9ed99b…
07-17 06:58:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc4a41f…
07-14 08:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x178cae…
07-14 08:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x690ad7…
07-14 08:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f324e…
07-02 07:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa97d8e…
07-02 07:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x615108…
07-02 07:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x08c704…
06-10 04:34:36	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	900	62¢	$561	0x1c6093…
06-08 07:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x165a20…
06-08 07:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on June 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2ecc8a…
06-08 07:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2463e2…
06-08 07:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd59cdc…
06-08 07:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e79d5…
05-29 08:12:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9ccf05…
05-29 08:10:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39bd58…
05-29 08:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9386c8…
05-29 08:07:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on May 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x068fa1…
05-25 05:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd117a2…
05-25 05:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x406bb7…
05-25 05:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ba257…
05-25 05:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcdfadb…
05-25 05:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x74796c…
05-25 05:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4ebc1a…
05-22 06:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe17d5f…
05-22 06:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x222732…
05-22 06:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e3847…
05-22 06:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d55eb…
05-22 06:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x685920…
05-22 06:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3c089…
05-21 04:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb76442…
05-21 04:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb66858…
05-21 04:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc20c4…
05-21 04:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x5e4833…
05-21 04:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8744f0…
05-21 03:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x374fbe…
05-20 09:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xa19948…
05-20 09:45:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ab4cd…
05-20 09:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0d1425…
05-19 08:17:22	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6e953…
05-19 08:15:39	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0b9717…
05-19 08:13:34	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb3bd6…
05-19 08:12:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82b676…
05-19 08:11:13	Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80cbe1…
05-19 08:09:59	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6f09a2…
05-14 10:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb60924…
05-14 10:18:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a645f…
05-14 10:16:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x319234…
05-14 03:16:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x893845…
05-14 03:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x517467…
05-14 03:14:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bd7bb…
05-14 03:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x999a05…
05-14 03:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc849f4…
05-14 03:11:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5c606d…
05-14 03:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcbc759…
05-14 03:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0dd68…
05-14 03:07:32	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x03cac1…
05-11 07:36:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3263c1…
05-11 07:35:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73d06b…
05-11 07:34:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62a6a7…
05-11 07:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xea6fe7…
05-11 07:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96b235…
05-11 07:30:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa4a72e…
05-11 07:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61410e…
05-11 07:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9410bb…
05-11 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4cc53…
05-11 07:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9ee94d…
05-11 07:25:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x29c134…
05-11 07:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2baf2c…
05-09 07:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf508d2…
05-09 07:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8148de…
05-09 07:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd51ac2…
05-08 09:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 19°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x155fbf…
05-08 09:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc23638…
05-08 09:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac6537…
05-07 09:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b66f0…
05-07 09:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x815831…
05-07 09:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x262235…
04-28 09:37:32	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6542b…
04-28 09:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c4cc4…
04-28 09:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e4f73…
04-28 06:13:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	495	98¢	$487	0xd7ed3f…
04-24 08:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x55586c…
04-24 08:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13ef76…
04-24 08:46:48	Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x234bd7…
04-24 04:47:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	267	94¢	$251	0x64c071…
04-24 04:33:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	174	94¢	$164	0x35b3cb…
04-24 04:33:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x01aca5…
03-03 02:59:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	47	49¢	$23	0x63e8ea…
03-03 02:59:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x133d40…