Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on May 12?
open
Total volume
$873
$1,070 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$972
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 05:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | — | $873 | $873 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $55 | $55 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $60 | $60 |
| Median | 7 | — | $678 | $678 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $46 | $46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immaculate-Cabbage 0x1617…55ed | No | +668 | $666 | $666 | 1 | 05-12 02:32 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-11 23:37 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +55 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 05-12 03:55 |
| Ordinary-Bell 0xe3f6…5078 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-12 01:18 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 05:04 |
| Sturdy-Regard 0x3a90…d8de | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 04:16 |
| Fumbling-Webpage 0x93cb…e84d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:55 |
| Rich-Worm 0xfb68…aabd | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:13 |
| Short-Term-Mastoid 0x0245…e257 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 10:18 |
| Adolescent-Cereal 0xfd80…161c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 07:20 |
| Sneaky-Cash 0x231e…22b3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 06:04 |
| Immaculate-Pillow 0x6e7d…adb4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 05:04:26 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x350e2f… |
| 05-12 04:55:51 | Fumbling-Webpage 0x93cb…e84d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x322497… |
| 05-12 03:55:53 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57600a… |
| 05-12 03:55:53 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0xdd5f60… |
| 05-12 03:55:53 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6203d9… |
| 05-12 03:55:53 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x18ce9b… |
| 05-12 03:55:53 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c93f0… |
| 05-12 03:55:53 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x726f79… |
| 05-12 03:55:53 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeebb87… |
| 05-12 03:55:43 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x454cb1… |
| 05-12 03:55:43 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79877a… |
| 05-12 03:55:43 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xadcc50… |
| 05-12 02:32:54 | Immaculate-Cabbage 0x1617…55ed | No | BUY | 668 | 100¢ | $666 | 0x34c03a… |
| 05-12 01:18:53 | Ordinary-Bell 0xe3f6…5078 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x3e0593… |
| 05-11 23:37:46 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x69ce5c… |
| 05-11 10:18:06 | Short-Term-Mastoid 0x0245…e257 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xcd21b9… |
| 05-11 07:20:09 | Adolescent-Cereal 0xfd80…161c | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x7764f5… |
| 05-11 06:04:24 | Sneaky-Cash 0x231e…22b3 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4f67a6… |
| 05-11 05:23:33 | Immaculate-Pillow 0x6e7d…adb4 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5636b4… |
| 05-10 04:16:39 | Sturdy-Regard 0x3a90…d8de | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf25bc3… |
| 05-10 04:13:44 | Rich-Worm 0xfb68…aabd | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x9da0bb… |