Immaculate-Cabbage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$133

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

222

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$45.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$1.02K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-31 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

90% 97% +$99

Politics

6% 100% +$44

Crypto

4% 92% -$11

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	+300	$286	98¢	$295	+$9	10-11 08:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+200	$190	97¢	$194	+$5	10-09 02:18
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+134	$127	98¢	$132	+$4	08-24 10:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$97	98¢	$98	+$1	10-09 02:46
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	+100	$94	97¢	$97	+$2	10-09 02:33
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	+82	$79	97¢	$80	+$0	10-31 09:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-200	-$72	38¢	$-75	-$4	05-21 02:47
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+50	$47	97¢	$48	+$1	08-24 10:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	15	$1.8K	927	927	+0	No	+$18	06-30 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	21	$1.6K	982	1,011	-29	No	-$26	04-17 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 8?	2	$1.2K	1,225	0	+1,225	No	+$1	05-07 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?	2	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$10	07-01 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	4	$921	930	0	+930	Yes	+$10	05-02 02:16
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on May 24?	1	$851	854	0	+854	No	+$3	05-22 10:13
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 30?	1	$832	834	0	+834	No	+$2	05-30 10:35
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	1	$814	814	0	+814	No	+$1	04-10 13:44
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on May 12?	2	$721	723	0	+723	No	+$2	05-12 02:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?	43	$699	310	409	-99	No	+$5	04-27 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13?	1	$688	691	0	+691	No	+$3	06-13 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 9?	2	$686	687	0	+687	No	+$1	05-08 01:43
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on May 17?	2	$576	577	0	+577	No	+$1	05-17 01:17
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	4	$556	286	285	+0	No	+$3	06-29 17:45
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 27?	1	$540	543	0	+543	Yes	+$3	05-27 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on May 9?	2	$539	540	0	+540	No	+$1	05-08 01:39
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$535	300	300	+0	No	+$28	02-25 02:37
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 21corbelow	1	$502	503	0	+503	No	+$1	04-21 22:42
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on April 26?	3	$495	500	0	+500	No	+$5	04-26 01:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 15?	3	$494	495	0	+495	No	+$1	05-15 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 28?	7	$491	257	257	+0	Yes	+$3	04-28 08:09
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 28?	2	$470	472	0	+472	No	+$2	05-28 00:44
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on May 26?	1	$466	471	0	+471	No	+$5	05-25 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?	1	$463	463	0	+463	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 10?	1	$450	450	0	+450	No	+$0	09-10 02:12
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 11?	2	$446	450	0	+450	Yes	+$4	05-11 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	2	$445	446	0	+446	Yes	+$1	05-13 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 30?	10	$428	430	0	+430	No	+$2	04-30 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 27?	2	$417	428	0	+428	No	+$11	04-27 01:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$403	204	204	+0	No	+$3	04-26 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:57:42	Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xc00ec1…
10-25 11:05:57	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	85¢	$48	0xbdb786…
10-24 13:01:18	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xa18fb0…
10-11 08:06:09	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8c4a2b…
10-09 13:47:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa5112c…
10-09 02:46:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x93e674…
10-09 02:45:03	Will XRP reach $3.00 in October?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x8c22fd…
10-09 02:33:29	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x82b36d…
10-09 02:32:29	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x735e35…
10-09 02:31:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd49af9…
10-09 02:29:17	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in October?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x26f169…
10-09 02:18:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x59e8a7…
09-28 09:01:47	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in September?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xbe1471…
09-28 09:01:08	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in September?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x6c7fec…
09-28 08:59:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in September?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x616254…
09-28 08:36:33	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $300 end of September?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xdcd219…
09-24 01:55:02	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1d86d8…
09-24 01:53:08	Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x866a20…
09-10 02:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 10?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$450	0xdfa4e0…
08-26 12:17:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0x4b34a4…
08-26 12:16:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0dbe97…
08-26 12:14:24	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa1309e…
08-26 12:12:40	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc406c5…
08-26 12:12:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xea0c25…
08-26 12:09:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xad9fc4…
08-24 10:29:48	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	134	95¢	$127	0xf93acf…
08-24 10:29:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x32ab2a…
08-24 10:29:07	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0x8604cf…
08-24 10:26:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xe7a7c6…
08-24 10:16:46	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 17°C on August 24?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xf1180c…
08-24 10:16:28	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xaa57e9…
08-24 10:14:30	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6948cc…
08-24 10:12:04	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 1°C on August 24?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x14cf87…
08-24 09:42:37	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x924ad7…
08-24 09:42:19	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x31ed70…
08-24 09:42:06	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9d4372…
08-24 09:41:54	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x70269b…
08-24 09:41:40	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xc0fa58…
08-24 09:36:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xdfdf97…
08-24 09:35:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x2c39c3…
08-24 09:33:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0x82154b…
08-24 09:32:58	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x24270b…
08-24 09:15:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on August 24?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x7db027…
08-24 09:09:57	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x751e9d…
08-24 09:09:51	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on August 24?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd75a21…
08-24 09:09:04	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on August 24?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xe79e84…
08-24 09:08:54	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1e893a…
08-24 09:03:10	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on August 24?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xc662c7…
08-24 08:54:37	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 24?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2e05aa…
08-24 08:54:30	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc8bee1…
08-24 08:46:24	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9fbb85…
08-22 03:14:22	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xd95841…
08-22 03:13:58	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on August 22?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x5a8842…
08-22 03:11:40	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on August 22?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$66	0x48ca62…
08-22 03:11:28	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0xb6c85a…
08-22 02:42:27	Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 23°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ccc1e…
08-22 02:42:18	Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 25°C on August 21?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9a7583…
08-22 02:42:07	Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x0e7d2f…
08-22 02:38:22	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 6°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x79230b…
08-22 02:35:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on August 22?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf63f09…
08-21 13:22:03	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on August 21?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$75	0x23fe93…
08-21 13:21:48	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on August 21?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9c0627…
08-21 13:19:15	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x1141fb…
08-21 13:19:03	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	112	96¢	$107	0x8839a7…
08-21 10:36:36	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x14d09c…
08-21 10:36:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x5c5981…
08-21 10:32:39	will ethereum reach 2700 in august 2026	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xbb02a7…
08-06 03:43:12	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x1ab33d…
08-06 03:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 6?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xde4c27…
08-06 03:41:24	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on August 6?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0xe67027…
08-06 03:40:12	will ethereum reach 2700 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x411853…
08-05 08:45:50	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x8ff91d…
08-05 08:45:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x0884e1…
08-05 08:45:32	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7ccda9…
08-05 03:15:53	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x23377e…
07-17 12:46:00	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	378	100¢	$377	0xd71959…
07-17 12:39:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 18?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x475433…
07-17 12:38:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcd314a…
07-17 12:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb816af…
07-17 12:24:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x95e3e3…
07-17 12:23:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5eb95a…
07-17 12:22:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 18?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x35b398…
07-17 12:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x28b5d1…
07-17 12:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C on July 18?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x79c7d9…
07-17 12:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 41°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	339	100¢	$337	0x536c14…
07-17 10:24:40	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xfddbfc…
07-01 03:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?	No	BUY	900	99¢	$892	0x367475…
07-01 03:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x195e1e…
06-30 13:54:19	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	539	100¢	$537	0xb6418a…
06-30 09:43:08	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x7383bb…
06-30 00:26:01	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb9e8d9…
06-30 00:22:52	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xc201ac…
06-30 00:22:46	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x474554…
06-29 19:43:52	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf23514…
06-29 19:43:52	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7c83e8…
06-29 17:45:38	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	280	98¢	$274	0xc1fc1f…
06-29 16:12:08	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc3e021…
06-29 16:12:08	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x53c9b2…
06-29 15:46:52	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1b32f9…
06-29 07:58:11	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x81b451…