Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 11?
Yes won
Total volume
$357
Trades
27
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 18:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $3
vs crowd: 95% YES on $294)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $36 | — | +$36 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $242 | $15 | +$227 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $47 | $4 | +$43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $34 | — | +$34 |
| Median | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 8 | $26 | $11 | +$15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $132 | — | +$132 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outlandish-Current 0x652d…46b3 | No | +102 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | +88 | $77 | $186 | 5 | 05-11 06:04 |
| Lean-Aftermath 0x6b50…c9ba | Yes | +55 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 05-11 03:54 |
| Vibrant-Eyelid 0x7c41…fee4 | No | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 18:47 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | +34 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-11 05:54 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 05:08 |
| Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 10:41 |
| Reasonable-Impediment 0x66b9…03e9 | No | +14 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 03:11 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 05:44 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-11 03:17 |
| Disguised-Log 0xfd30…4dad | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 12:34 |
| Intrepid-Pathogenesis 0xa28b…a196 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 19:48 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:51 |
| Good-Blessing 0xe54b…95c0 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f9f…d2b7 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:32 |
| Lumbering-Zebrafish 0x65c6…8e1a | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 18:47:56 | Vibrant-Eyelid 0x7c41…fee4 | No | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9f6771… |
| 05-11 17:34:07 | Jagged-Current 0x4a28…d58b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8d6681… |
| 05-11 12:18:16 | Outlandish-Current 0x652d…46b3 | No | BUY | 102 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x119085… |
| 05-11 10:41:38 | Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xffa34e… |
| 05-11 06:04:47 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xbe9a55… |
| 05-11 05:54:28 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xbf99bf… |
| 05-11 05:44:08 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x610045… |
| 05-11 05:39:19 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | Yes | BUY | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0xfcfd61… |
| 05-11 05:08:21 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x5dba99… |
| 05-11 04:51:56 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 93¢ | $50 | 0x22e93f… |
| 05-11 04:51:43 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 89¢ | $80 | 0x2f5872… |
| 05-11 04:17:41 | Lumbering-Zebrafish 0x65c6…8e1a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x1ef988… |
| 05-11 03:54:25 | Lean-Aftermath 0x6b50…c9ba | Yes | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $25 | 0xbf80e2… |
| 05-11 03:42:15 | Lean-Aftermath 0x6b50…c9ba | Yes | BUY | 25 | 83¢ | $21 | 0x085684… |
| 05-11 03:17:45 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x17f2c1… |
| 05-11 03:11:20 | Reasonable-Impediment 0x66b9…03e9 | No | BUY | 14 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xc987ee… |
| 05-11 02:41:02 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0x8f08ac… |
| 05-11 02:31:07 | Elaborate-Psychiatrist 0xcbfc…0be4 | No | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xa11b72… |
| 05-10 23:12:15 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x61b1d9… |
| 05-10 22:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x3f9f…d2b7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x6900c2… |
| 05-10 19:48:58 | Intrepid-Pathogenesis 0xa28b…a196 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xe16039… |
| 05-10 13:52:33 | Subtle-Collectivization 0x9de5…6fc7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x315b1b… |
| 05-10 11:21:49 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x551fac… |
| 05-10 08:54:47 | Good-Blessing 0xe54b…95c0 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x742bca… |
| 05-10 07:23:12 | Academic-Hubris 0x2ef2…faa5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x7b8ba4… |
| 05-10 06:51:45 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x6336da… |
| 05-09 12:34:27 | Disguised-Log 0xfd30…4dad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6461c3… |